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Author: John E. Silvia
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119349834
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 382
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Book Description
Reality-based modeling for today's unique economic recovery Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era presents a more realistic approach to modeling, using direct statistical applications to address the characteristics and trends central to current market behaviors. This book's unique focus on the reality of today's markets makes it an invaluable resource for students and practitioners seeking a comprehensive guide to more accurate forecasting. While most books treat the economy as if it were in a vacuum, building models around idealized or perception-biased behaviors, this book deals with the economy as it currently stands—in a state of recovery, limited by financial constraints, imperfect information, and lags and disparities in price movements. The authors identify how these characteristics impact various markets' behaviors, and quantify those behaviors using SAS as the primary statistical tool. Today's economy bears a number of unique attributes that usual modeling methods fail to consider. This book describes how to approach modeling based on real-world, observable data in order to make better-informed decisions in today's markets. Discover the three economic characteristics with the greatest impact on various markets Create economic models that mirror the current post-recession reality Adopt statistical methods that identify and adapt to structural breaks and lags Factor real-world imperfections into modeling for more accurate forecasting The past few years have shown a clear demarcation between policymakers' forecasts and actual outcomes. As the dust settles on the Great Recession, after-effects linger—and impact our current recovery in ways that diverge from past experience and theoretical expectations. Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era provides comprehensive guidance grounded in reality for today's economic decision-makers.
Author: John E. Silvia
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119349834
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 382
Get Book Here
Book Description
Reality-based modeling for today's unique economic recovery Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era presents a more realistic approach to modeling, using direct statistical applications to address the characteristics and trends central to current market behaviors. This book's unique focus on the reality of today's markets makes it an invaluable resource for students and practitioners seeking a comprehensive guide to more accurate forecasting. While most books treat the economy as if it were in a vacuum, building models around idealized or perception-biased behaviors, this book deals with the economy as it currently stands—in a state of recovery, limited by financial constraints, imperfect information, and lags and disparities in price movements. The authors identify how these characteristics impact various markets' behaviors, and quantify those behaviors using SAS as the primary statistical tool. Today's economy bears a number of unique attributes that usual modeling methods fail to consider. This book describes how to approach modeling based on real-world, observable data in order to make better-informed decisions in today's markets. Discover the three economic characteristics with the greatest impact on various markets Create economic models that mirror the current post-recession reality Adopt statistical methods that identify and adapt to structural breaks and lags Factor real-world imperfections into modeling for more accurate forecasting The past few years have shown a clear demarcation between policymakers' forecasts and actual outcomes. As the dust settles on the Great Recession, after-effects linger—and impact our current recovery in ways that diverge from past experience and theoretical expectations. Economic Modeling in the Post Great Recession Era provides comprehensive guidance grounded in reality for today's economic decision-makers.
Author: Derek Chau
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119381932
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 309
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Book Description
Effective transaction monitoring begins with proper implementation Anti-Money Laundering Transaction Monitoring Systems Implementation provides comprehensive guidance for bank compliance and IT personnel tasked with implementing AML transaction monitoring. Written by an authority on data integration and anti-money laundering technology, this book offers both high-level discussion of transaction monitoring concepts and direct clarification of practical implementation techniques. All transaction monitoring scenarios are composed of a few common elements, and a deep understanding of these elements is the critical factor in achieving your goal; without delving into actual code, this guide provides actionable information suitable for any AML platform or solution to help you implement effective strategies and ensure regulatory compliance for your organization. Transaction monitoring is increasingly critical to banking and business operations, and the effectiveness of any given solution is directly correlated to its implementation. This book provides clear guidance on all facets of AML transaction monitoring, from conception to implementation, to help you: Detect anomalies in the data Handle known abnormal behavior Comply with regulatory requirements Monitor transactions using various techniques Regulators all over the world are requiring banks and other companies to institute automated systems that combat money laundering. With many variables at play on both the transaction side and the solution side of the equation, a solid understanding of AML technology and its implementation is the most critical factor in successful detection. Anti-Money Laundering Transaction Monitoring Systems Implementation is an invaluable resource for those tasked with putting these systems in place, providing clear discussion and practical implementation guidance.
Author: Terisa Roberts
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111982494X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 214
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Book Description
A wide-ranging overview of the use of machine learning and AI techniques in financial risk management, including practical advice for implementation Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning introduces readers to the use of innovative AI technologies for forecasting and evaluating financial risks. Providing up-to-date coverage of the practical application of current modelling techniques in risk management, this real-world guide also explores new opportunities and challenges associated with implementing machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) into the risk management process. Authors Terisa Roberts and Stephen Tonna provide readers with a clear understanding about the strengths and weaknesses of machine learning and AI while explaining how they can be applied to both everyday risk management problems and to evaluate the financial impact of extreme events such as global pandemics and changes in climate. Throughout the text, the authors clarify misconceptions about the use of machine learning and AI techniques using clear explanations while offering step-by-step advice for implementing the technologies into an organization's risk management model governance framework. This authoritative volume: Highlights the use of machine learning and AI in identifying procedures for avoiding or minimizing financial risk Discusses practical tools for assessing bias and interpretability of resultant models developed with machine learning algorithms and techniques Covers the basic principles and nuances of feature engineering and common machine learning algorithms Illustrates how risk modeling is incorporating machine learning and AI techniques to rapidly consume complex data and address current gaps in the end-to-end modelling lifecycle Explains how proprietary software and open-source languages can be combined to deliver the best of both worlds: for risk models and risk practitioners Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning is an invaluable guide for CEOs, CROs, CFOs, risk managers, business managers, and other professionals working in risk management.
Author: John E. Silvia
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030762955
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 469
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Book Description
Effective decision making requires understanding of the underlying principles of financial markets and economics. Intellectually, economics and financial markets are genetically intertwined although when it comes to popular commentary they are treated separately. In fact, academic economic thinking appears separate from financial market equity strategy in most financial market commentary. Historically, macroeconomics tended to assume away financial frictions and financial intermediation whereas financial economists did not necessarily consider the negative macroeconomic spill overs from financial market outcomes. In more recent years, the economic discipline has gone through a serious self-reflection after the global crisis. This book explores the interplay between financial markets and macroeconomic outcomes with a conceptual framework that combines the actions of investors and individuals. Of interest to graduate students and those professionals working in the financial markets, it provides insight into why market prices move and credit markets interact and what factors participants and policy makers can monitor to anticipate market change and future price paths.
Author: Marie Lowman
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119362857
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 154
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Book Description
Analytics can make government work better—this book shows you how A Practical Guide to Analytics for Governments provides demonstrations of real-world analytics applications for legislators, policy-makers, and support staff at the federal, state, and local levels. Big data and analytics are transforming industries across the board, and government can reap many of those same benefits by applying analytics to processes and programs already in place. From healthcare delivery and child well-being, to crime and program fraud, analytics can—in fact, already does—transform the way government works. This book shows you how analytics can be implemented in your own milieu: What is the downstream impact of new legislation? How can we make programs more efficient? Is it possible to predict policy outcomes without analytics? How do I get started building analytics into my government organization? The answers are all here, with accessible explanations and useful advice from an expert in the field. Analytics allows you to mine your data to create a holistic picture of your constituents; this model helps you tailor programs, fine-tune legislation, and serve the populace more effectively. This book walks you through analytics as applied to government, and shows you how to reap Big data's benefits at whatever level necessary. Learn how analytics is already transforming government service delivery Delve into the digital healthcare revolution Use analytics to improve education, juvenile justice, and other child-focused areas Apply analytics to transportation, criminal justice, fraud, and much more Legislators and policy makers have plenty of great ideas—but how do they put those ideas into play? Analytics can play a crucial role in getting the job done well. A Practical Guide to Analytics for Governments provides advice, perspective, and real-world guidance for public servants everywhere.
Author: Paul Goodwin
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119416000
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 188
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Book Description
Go beyond technique to master the difficult judgement calls of forecasting A variety of software can be used effectively to achieve accurate forecasting, but no software can replace the essential human component. You may be new to forecasting, or you may have mastered the statistical theory behind the software’s predictions, and even more advanced “power user” techniques for the software itself—but your forecasts will never reach peak accuracy unless you master the complex judgement calls that the software cannot make. Profit From Your Forecasting Software addresses the issues that arise regularly, and shows you how to make the correct decisions to get the most out of your software. Taking a non-mathematical approach to the various forecasting models, the discussion covers common everyday decisions such as model choice, forecast adjustment, product hierarchies, safety stock levels, model fit, testing, and much more. Clear explanations help you better understand seasonal indices, smoothing coefficients, mean absolute percentage error, and r-squared, and an exploration of psychological biases provides insight into the decision to override the software’s forecast. With a focus on choice, interpretation, and judgement, this book goes beyond the technical manuals to help you truly grasp the more intangible skills that lead to better accuracy. Explore the advantages and disadvantages of alternative forecasting methods in different situations Master the interpretation and evaluation of your software’s output Learn the subconscious biases that could affect your judgement toward intervention Find expert guidance on testing, planning, and configuration to help you get the most out of your software Relevant to sales forecasters, demand planners, and analysts across industries, Profit From Your Forecasting Software is the much sought-after “missing piece” in forecasting reference.
Author: Michael N. Lewis
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119613582
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 228
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Book Description
Real-life examples of how to apply intelligence in the healthcare industry through innovative analytics Healthcare analytics offers intelligence for making better healthcare decisions. Identifying patterns and correlations contained in complex health data, analytics has applications in hospital management, patient records, diagnosis, operating and treatment costs, and more. Helping healthcare managers operate more efficiently and effectively. Transforming Healthcare Analytics: The Quest for Healthy Intelligence shares real-world use cases of a healthcare company that leverages people, process, and advanced analytics technology to deliver exemplary results. This book illustrates how healthcare professionals can transform the healthcare industry through analytics. Practical examples of modern techniques and technology show how unified analytics with data management can deliver insight-driven decisions. The authors—a data management and analytics specialist and a healthcare finance executive—share their unique perspectives on modernizing data and analytics platforms to alleviate the complexity of the healthcare, distributing capabilities and analytics to key stakeholders, equipping healthcare organizations with intelligence to prepare for the future, and more. This book: Explores innovative technologies to overcome data complexity in healthcare Highlights how analytics can help with healthcare market analysis to gain competitive advantage Provides strategies for building a strong foundation for healthcare intelligence Examines managing data and analytics from end-to-end, from diagnosis, to treatment, to provider payment Discusses the future of technology and focus areas in the healthcare industry Transforming Healthcare Analytics: The Quest for Healthy Intelligence is an important source of information for CFO’s, CIO, CTO, healthcare managers, data scientists, statisticians, and financial analysts at healthcare institutions.
Author: Karin M. Reed
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119324718
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 198
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Book Description
The invaluable handbook for acing your on-camera appearance On-Camera Coach is your personal coach for becoming great on camera. From Skype interviews and virtual conferences to shareholder presentations and television appearances, this book shows you how to master the art of on-camera presentation to deliver your message clearly, effectively, and with confidence. Fear of public speaking is common, but even the most seasoned speakers freeze in front of a single lens—being on camera demands an entirely new set of skills above and beyond the usual presentation to an audience you can actually see. It requires special attention to the way you move, the way you speak, and even the way you dress. This book provides the guidance and tools you need to ace it every time. Video is powerful, and it is everywhere; corporate YouTube channels, webinars, virtual meetings, TedTalks, and more are increasingly turning the lens on those who typically remain behind the scenes. This relatively recent trend will continue to expand as media plays a larger role in business, and the ability to appear confident, authoritative, and polished is becoming a necessary job skill. This book shows you everything you need to know about being on camera, from preparation through presentation and beyond. Learn how to prepare for an on-camera appearance Tailor your presentation to on-camera demands Discover how the camera interprets wardrobe and body language Appear dynamic, confident, and engaged when the lens points your way The lens captures everything—the awkward pauses, the nervous fidgets, poor posture, and every false start and mistake is captured for posterity. Is that the image you want to present? You want to get your message across and be heard; to do that, you must portray authority, energy, and confidence—even when you don't feel it. On-Camera Coach provides the expert instruction and insider secrets that help you make your message sing.
Author: Gregory S. Nelson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119425107
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 363
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Book Description
An evidence-based organizational framework for exceptional analytics team results The Analytics Lifecycle Toolkit provides managers with a practical manual for integrating data management and analytic technologies into their organization. Author Gregory Nelson has encountered hundreds of unique perspectives on analytics optimization from across industries; over the years, successful strategies have proven to share certain practices, skillsets, expertise, and structural traits. In this book, he details the concepts, people and processes that contribute to exemplary results, and shares an organizational framework for analytics team functions and roles. By merging analytic culture with data and technology strategies, this framework creates understanding for analytics leaders and a toolbox for practitioners. Focused on team effectiveness and the design thinking surrounding product creation, the framework is illustrated by real-world case studies to show how effective analytics team leadership works on the ground. Tools and templates include best practices for process improvement, workforce enablement, and leadership support, while guidance includes both conceptual discussion of the analytics life cycle and detailed process descriptions. Readers will be equipped to: Master fundamental concepts and practices of the analytics life cycle Understand the knowledge domains and best practices for each stage Delve into the details of analytical team processes and process optimization Utilize a robust toolkit designed to support analytic team effectiveness The analytics life cycle includes a diverse set of considerations involving the people, processes, culture, data, and technology, and managers needing stellar analytics performance must understand their unique role in the process of winnowing the big picture down to meaningful action. The Analytics Lifecycle Toolkit provides expert perspective and much-needed insight to managers, while providing practitioners with a new set of tools for optimizing results.
Author: Wouter Verbeke
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119286980
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 425
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Book Description
Maximize profit and optimize decisions with advanced business analytics Profit-Driven Business Analytics provides actionable guidance on optimizing the use of data to add value and drive better business. Combining theoretical and technical insights into daily operations and long-term strategy, this book acts as a development manual for practitioners seeking to conceive, develop, and manage advanced analytical models. Detailed discussion delves into the wide range of analytical approaches and modeling techniques that can help maximize business payoff, and the author team draws upon their recent research to share deep insight about optimal strategy. Real-life case studies and examples illustrate these techniques at work, and provide clear guidance for implementation in your own organization. From step-by-step instruction on data handling, to analytical fine-tuning, to evaluating results, this guide provides invaluable guidance for practitioners seeking to reap the advantages of true business analytics. Despite widespread discussion surrounding the value of data in decision making, few businesses have adopted advanced analytic techniques in any meaningful way. This book shows you how to delve deeper into the data and discover what it can do for your business. Reinforce basic analytics to maximize profits Adopt the tools and techniques of successful integration Implement more advanced analytics with a value-centric approach Fine-tune analytical information to optimize business decisions Both data stored and streamed has been increasing at an exponential rate, and failing to use it to the fullest advantage equates to leaving money on the table. From bolstering current efforts to implementing a full-scale analytics initiative, the vast majority of businesses will see greater profit by applying advanced methods. Profit-Driven Business Analytics provides a practical guidebook and reference for adopting real business analytics techniques.
