Earnings-Based and Accrual-Based Market Anomalies PDF Download
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Author: Daniel W. Collins
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 45
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Book Description
This paper investigates whether the accrual pricing anomaly documented by Sloan (1996) for annual data holds for quarterly data and whether this form of market mispricing is distinct from the post-earnings announcement drift anomaly. We find that the market appears to overestimate (underestimate) the persistence of the accrual (cash flow) component of quarterly earnings and, therefore, tends to overprice (underprice) accruals (cash flows). Moreover, the accrual (cash flow) mispricing appears to be distinct from post-earnings announcement drift. A hedge portfolio trading strategy that exploits both forms of market mispricing generates abnormal returns in excess of those based on unexpected earnings, accruals, or cash flow information alone.
Author: Daniel W. Collins
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 45
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Book Description
This paper investigates whether the accrual pricing anomaly documented by Sloan (1996) for annual data holds for quarterly data and whether this form of market mispricing is distinct from the post-earnings announcement drift anomaly. We find that the market appears to overestimate (underestimate) the persistence of the accrual (cash flow) component of quarterly earnings and, therefore, tends to overprice (underprice) accruals (cash flows). Moreover, the accrual (cash flow) mispricing appears to be distinct from post-earnings announcement drift. A hedge portfolio trading strategy that exploits both forms of market mispricing generates abnormal returns in excess of those based on unexpected earnings, accruals, or cash flow information alone.
Author: Leonard Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118127765
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352
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Book Description
Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Author: Jana Smith Raedy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This paper provides a reconciliation of many of the market anomalies documented in prior literature. While previous papers examined four or fewer anomalies, this paper utilizes regression analysis to reconcile eleven prevalent anomalies simultaneously. The major results of this paper are as follows. First, counter to Fama and French (1996), the cash-to-price anomaly is not subsumed by the book-to-market and size anomalies in this setting. Second, the short-term price momentum anomaly is subsumed by the long-term return reversal anomaly. Third, again counter to Fama and French (1996), the long-term return reversal strategy is not eliminated in the presence of the book-to-market and size anomalies. Other results indicate that the earnings-to-price anomaly is subsumed by the cash-to-price anomaly; the short-term returns to the Ou and Penman (1989a, 1989b) strategy is subsumed by post-earnings-announcement drift; and the long-term returns are subsumed by the size effect. Also, the Holthausen and Larcker (1992) anomaly is subsumed by the operating accrual anomaly, and the Abarbanell and Bushee (1998) anomaly is subsumed by the earnings-to-price anomaly. By determining which anomalies proxy for others, this research makes it possible for future studies to focus on the causes of the independent anomalies, in particular regarding the issue of identifying mispricing versus risk in trading strategies.
Author: Ming Gu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Earnings management
Languages : en
Pages : 105
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Book Description
This dissertation studies two pervasive financial anomalies: price momentum and accrual anomaly. The first essay establishes a robust link between momentum and accruals (the difference between accounting earnings and cash flow). I find that momentum profitability is statistically significant and economically large only among firms with high accruals. The cross-sectional characteristics of momentum previously documented do not subsume the effect of accruals on momentum profits, and the effect also holds in different market states. To understand the source of momentum, I analyze the predictive power of accruals for stock returns based on two hypotheses: earnings manipulation and earnings overestimation. I find that loser stocks with high accruals experience significant decreases in industry-adjusted sales growth and the largest amount of income-decreasing special items in subsequent years. Most of momentum profitability among high-accrual firms is attributable to the high discretionary accrual group. My findings indicate that, primarily due to the effect of earnings manipulation, the downward payoff of loser stocks with high accruals largely drives the accrual-based momentum profit. The second essay investigates the relationship between financial distress and accrual anomaly. I investigate whether the continued existence of the accrual anomaly is due to the failure to account for the compensation for distress risk. I find a U-shape pattern of distress risks across accrual portfolios. The accrual profit is mostly concentrated in firms with high distress, suggesting that the abnormal returns to the accrual trading strategy may result from the high distress-risk exposures. Market frictions such as idiosyncratic stock return volatility, illiquidity, and short-sale constraints do not generate the accrual anomaly, but they prevent stock prices from adjusting once financial distress triggers the abnormal returns to the accrual trading strategy.
Author: Elroy Dimson
Publisher: CUP Archive
ISBN: 9780521341042
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 328
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Book Description
Author: Bing Cao (S.M.)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
This paper examines whether short-sellers (bears) exploit post-earnings-announcement-drift (PEAD) and the accruals anomaly. I first find that short interest is higher during the period that follows a negative earnings surprise and, to a lesser extent, the announcement of earnings that contains an abnormal income-increasing accrual component. Second, holding both anomalies constant, I find that prices decline more quickly in the presence of higher short interest. However, I do not find that higher short interest improves the pricing of information about future earnings contained in current earnings.
Author: Amy Yunzhi Zang
Publisher: ProQuest
ISBN: 9780549163251
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 120
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Book Description
Author: Mitch Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118192419
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224
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Book Description
A timely guide to making the best investment strategies even better A wide variety of strategies have been identified over the years, which purportedly outperform the stock market. Some of these include buying undervalued stocks while others rely on technical analysis techniques. It's fair to say no one method is fool proof and most go through both up and down periods. The challenge for an investor is picking the right method at the right time. The Little Book of Stock Market Profits shows you how to achieve this elusive goal and make the most of your time in today's markets. Written by Mitch Zacks, Senior Portfolio Manager of Zacks Investment Management, this latest title in the Little Book series reveals stock market strategies that really work and then shows you how they can be made even better. It skillfully highlights earnings-based investing strategies, the hallmark of the Zacks process, but it also identifies strategies based on valuations, seasonal patterns and price momentum. Specifically, the book: Identifies stock market investment strategies that work, those that don't, and what it takes for an individual investor to truly succeed in today's dynamic market Discusses how the performance of each strategy examined can be improved by combining into them into a multifactor approach Gives investors a clear path to integrating the best investment strategies of all time into their own personal portfolio Investing can be difficult, but with the right strategies you can improve your overall performance. The Little book of Stock Market Profits will show you how.
Author: Jennifer Francis
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1601981147
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 97
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Book Description
This review lays out a research perspective on earnings quality. We provide an overview of alternative definitions and measures of earnings quality and a discussion of research design choices encountered in earnings quality research. Throughout, we focus on a capital markets setting, as opposed, for example, to a contracting or stewardship setting. Our reason for this choice stems from the view that the capital market uses of accounting information are fundamental, in the sense of providing a basis for other uses, such as stewardship. Because resource allocations are ex ante decisions while contracting/stewardship assessments are ex post evaluations of outcomes, evidence on whether, how and to what degree earnings quality influences capital market resource allocation decisions is fundamental to understanding why and how accounting matters to investors and others, including those charged with stewardship responsibilities. Demonstrating a link between earnings quality and, for example, the costs of equity and debt capital implies a basic economic role in capital allocation decisions for accounting information; this role has only recently been documented in the accounting literature. We focus on how the precision of financial information in capturing one or more underlying valuation-relevant constructs affects the assessment and use of that information by capital market participants. We emphasize that the choice of constructs to be measured is typically contextual. Our main focus is on the precision of earnings, which we view as a summary indicator of the overall quality of financial reporting. Our intent in discussing research that evaluates the capital market effects of earnings quality is both to stimulate further research in this area and to encourage research on related topics, including, for example, the role of earnings quality in contracting and stewardship.
Author: Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226531929
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 184
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Book Description
A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.
