Do Unit Value Export, Import, and Terms of Trade Indices Represent Or Misrepresent Price Indices?

Do Unit Value Export, Import, and Terms of Trade Indices Represent Or Misrepresent Price Indices? PDF Author: Mick Silver
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description
Unit value export and import indices compiled from returns to customs authorities are often used as surrogates for price indices in the measurement of inflation transmission, terms of trade (effects), and to deflate import and export value series to derive volume series. Their widespread use is mainly due to their relatively low cost compared with establishment price surveys. This paper provides evidence of substantial bias in their representation of such price changes. Their continued use would mislead economic analysis. The paper considers the efficacy of alternative strategies for their improvement, and argues for a move to establishment-based price surveys.

Do Unit Value Export, Import, and Terms of Trade Indices Represent Or Misrepresent Price Indices?

Do Unit Value Export, Import, and Terms of Trade Indices Represent Or Misrepresent Price Indices? PDF Author: Mick Silver
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description
Unit value export and import indices compiled from returns to customs authorities are often used as surrogates for price indices in the measurement of inflation transmission, terms of trade (effects), and to deflate import and export value series to derive volume series. Their widespread use is mainly due to their relatively low cost compared with establishment price surveys. This paper provides evidence of substantial bias in their representation of such price changes. Their continued use would mislead economic analysis. The paper considers the efficacy of alternative strategies for their improvement, and argues for a move to establishment-based price surveys.

Understanding Export and Import Price Indexes

Understanding Export and Import Price Indexes PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumer price indexes
Languages : en
Pages : 20

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Book Description


Export and Import Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice

Export and Import Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice PDF Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264085416
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 705

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Book Description
A joint production by six international organizations, this manual explores the conceptual and theoretical issues that national statistical offices should consider in the daily compilation of export and import price indices. Intended for use by both ...

Export and Import Price Index Manual

Export and Import Price Index Manual PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1452784027
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 706

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Book Description
"International Labour Office, International Monetary Fund, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Statistical Office of the European Communities (Eurostat), United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, The World Bank."

Compiling and Using Export and Import Price Indices

Compiling and Using Export and Import Price Indices PDF Author: Jemma Dridi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Consumer price indexes
Languages : en
Pages : 68

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Book Description


Commodity Terms of Trade

Commodity Terms of Trade PDF Author: Bertrand Gruss
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484393856
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 38

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Book Description
This paper presents a comprehensive database of country-specific commodity price indices for 182 economies covering the period 1962-2018. For each country, the change in the international price of up to 45 individual commodities is weighted using commodity-level trade data. The database includes a commodity terms-of-trade index—which proxies the windfall gains and losses of income associated with changes in world prices—as well as additional country-specific series, including commodity export and import price indices. We provide indices that are constructed using, alternatively, fixed weights (based on average trade flows over several decades) and time-varying weights (which can account for time variation in the mix of commodities traded and the overall importance of commodities in economic activity). The paper also discusses the dynamics of commodity terms of trade across country groups and their influence on key macroeconomic aggregates.

Unit Values for Import and Export Price Indexes

Unit Values for Import and Export Price Indexes PDF Author: Don A. Fast
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' import and export price indexes (MXPI) are published from an ever decreasing sample relative to the size of trade. The Principal Federal Economic Indicator has an opportunity to retain and regain detailed MXPI using unit values calculated from comprehensive administrative trade data. Unit values are known to be biased, although bias is less prevalent among homogeneous products. This research presents a new methodological and statistical approach to blend unit values into official price indexes. First, a proof of concept for identifying homogeneous items is based on an analysis of two export products - dairy and vegetables - for 2015-16. The results provide a prototype and a roadmap for a consistent and testable approach that aligns with the concepts in official MXPI measures, maximizes the use of high-frequency data, and mitigates unit value bias. Applying the prototype, 52 of 142 import and 50 of 129 export 5-digit BEA End Use categories are identified as homogeneous using administrative data. This coverage accounts for 35 and 39 percent of the 2016 value of imports and exports, respectively. Incorporating unit values has the potential to deepen coverage and expand publication of detailed import and export price indexes.

International Price Indexation

International Price Indexation PDF Author: J. D. A. Cuddy
Publisher: Lexington Books
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 160

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Book Description


Index Number Theory and Price Statistics

Index Number Theory and Price Statistics PDF Author: Peter M von der Lippe
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN: 3110511126
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

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Book Description


Unit Values for Import and Export Price Indexes

Unit Values for Import and Export Price Indexes PDF Author: Don Fast
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Exports
Languages : en
Pages : 29

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Book Description
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' import and export price indexes (MXPI) are published from an ever decreasing sample relative to the size of trade. The Principal Federal Economic Indicator has an opportunity to retain and regain detailed MXPI using unit values calculated from comprehensive administrative trade data. Unit values are known to be biased, although bias is less prevalent among homogeneous products. This research presents a new methodological and statistical approach to blend unit values into official price indexes. First, a proof of concept for identifying homogeneous items is based on an analysis of two export products -- dairy and vegetables -- for 2015-16. The results provide a prototype and a roadmap for a consistent and testable approach that aligns with the concepts in official MXPI measures, maximizes the use of high-frequency data, and mitigates unit value bias. Applying the prototype, 52 of 142 import and 50 of 129 export 5-digit BEA End Use categories are identified as homogeneous using administrative data. This coverage accounts for 35 and 39 percent of the 2016 value of imports and exports, respectively. Incorporating unit values has the potential to deepen coverage and expand publication of detailed import and export price indexes.