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Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108563309
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 503
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Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108563309
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 503
Get Book Here
Book Description
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author: Lysa TerKeurst
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780310691617
Category : Chrisitan women
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
In this twelve-session small group Bible study, Twelve Women of the Bible, Lysa TerKuerst, Elisa Morgan, Jeanne Stevens and other leaders look at the spiritual lessons learned from twelve biblical women and what they mean for your life today. You'll discover lessons from each of these women that will help you persevere through the circumstances you are facing today. Learn how to: Apply biblical lessons to their own modern-day struggles Live through their failures as well as successes Draw near to God in a world filled with trials Find lasting contentment Overcome rejection and insecurity This Participant Guide features discussion questions, background information on each character, space to write down thoughts, a helpful Leader's Guide, and much more. Sessions include: Eve: Finding Lasting Contentment in the Truth (Lysa TerKeurst) Rebekah: Breaking Free of Feminine Stereotypes (Jonalyn Fincher) Leah: Overcoming Rejection and Insecurity (Naomi Zacharias) Hannah: Surrendering in Waiting (Amena Brown) Abigail: Dealing with Confrontation in Relationships Gomer: Learning to Accept Unconditional Love (Jeanne Stevens) Mary, Mother of Jesus: Moving from Comfort to Courage (Jeanne Stevens) Mary Magdalene: Transforming from Outcast to Follower (Jonalyn Fincher) Mary of Bethany: Putting Our Faith into Action (Elisa Morgan) Martha: Finding Our Identity in Jesus (Amena Brown) The Woman at the Well: Turning Our Messes into Messages (Lysa TerKuerst) The Syrophoenician Woman: Approaching God with Persistency and Boldness (Naomi Zacharias) Designed for use with the Twelve Women of the Bible DVD 9780310691624 (sold separately).
Author: Deborah Arlene
Publisher: Christian Faith Publishing, Inc.
ISBN: 1644924609
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 238
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Book Description
When Seth Siracke's sleep is haunted by a recurring dream for a year, he falls into a pit of despair. His girlfriend, Katy, refuses to talk to him about the dream and grows increasingly frustrated with his lack of interest in nearly anything else. Desperate to make the dream stop, he reluctantly begins an investigative journey to uncover the cause. As life's difficulties pile on, an unlikely friendship with an elderly gentleman brings Seth face to face with the devastation of abortion and the revelation of a loving God. Though fiction, this book embraces the difficult topic of abortion in a way that mirrors real life. Through a story line with many captivating twists and turns, The Dream explores abortion from a biblical perspective and reveals its heartbreaking impact on the father, mother, grandparent, and unborn baby. In the midst of it all, our loving heavenly Father's desire for a genuine relationship with each one of us is tenderly demonstrated. "The Dream is powerful in that it deals with the issue of abortion in a way that should encourage those on both sides of the issue to pause for a moment and take a look at the humanity involved...Deb's compassion for people comes through in a strong way, and you will find that your heart will look at people in much the same way...far more than just "statistics" to be calculated, but human beings that our Heavenly Father loves. Human beings that He has a plan for, regardless of their past." ""Pastor Norman Lawrence
Author: Editors of Chase's
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1641432640
Category : Reference
Languages : en
Pages : 753
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Book Description
Find out what's going on any day of the year, anywhere across the globe! The world’s date book, Chase's is the definitive day-by-day resource of what America and the world are celebrating and commemorating. From national days to celebrity birthdays, from historical anniversaries to astronomical phenomena, from award ceremonies and sporting events to religious festivals and carnivals, Chase's is the must-have reference used by experts and professionals—a one-stop shop with 12,500 entries for everything that is happening now or is worth remembering from the past. Completely updated for 2019, Chase's also features extensive appendices as well as a companion website that puts the power of Chase's at the user's fingertips. 2019 is packed with special events and observances, including The International Year of the Periodic Table of Chemical Elements The Transit of Mercury National days and public holidays of every nation on Earth Celebrations and observances of Leonardo da Vinci's 500th death anniversary The 100th anniversary of the 1919 World Series Scandal The 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 moon landing The 200th birthdays of Queen Victoria and Walt Whitman The 150th birth anniversary of Mohandas Gandhi and the 100th birth anniversary of Jackie Robinson Scores of new holidays and national days Birthdays of new world leaders, office holders, and breakout stars And much more! All from the reference book that NPR's Planet Money calls the "Oxford English Dictionary of holidays."
Author: James Fallows
Publisher: Vintage
ISBN: 1101871857
Category : Travel
Languages : en
Pages : 440
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Book Description
NATIONAL BESTSELLER • "James and Deborah Fallows have always moved to where history is being made.... They have an excellent sense of where world-shaping events are taking place at any moment" —The New York Times • The basis for the HBO documentary streaming on HBO Max For five years, James and Deborah Fallows have travelled across America in a single-engine prop airplane. Visiting dozens of towns, the America they saw is acutely conscious of its problems—from economic dislocation to the opioid scourge—but it is also crafting solutions, with a practical-minded determination at dramatic odds with the bitter paralysis of national politics. At times of dysfunction on a national level, reform possibilities have often arisen from the local level. The Fallowses describe America in the middle of one of these creative waves. Their view of the country is as complex and contradictory as America itself, but it also reflects the energy, the generosity and compassion, the dreams, and the determination of many who are in the midst of making things better. Our Towns is the story of their journey—and an account of a country busy remaking itself.
Author: Debra B. Morton
Publisher: HarperChristian + ORM
ISBN: 1400208343
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 225
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Book Description
A handbook of help and hope when facing personal tragedy. When the storms of life blow in unexpectedly, wreaking havoc and leaving a trail of destruction, why does one person fall apart while another perseveres and even finds a deeper sense of purpose afterward? In Beyond the Storm, Debra Morton reveals why, providing the techniques and strategies that helped her and many others not only survive but also thrive, even in the most painful of circumstances. While ministering to victims of Hurricane Katrina and grieving the death of her granddaughter, Morton realized that the key to pushing forward in the midst of setbacks was having a defined set of coping skills. So she created the “Storm Playbook,” which teaches how to renew your hope, reclaim your passion, and experience fulfillment and joy again. That playbook is here for you to use immediately, along with interactive tools, journaling questions, and scripture studies that will guide you through pain and struggle and into strength and victory once again. Beyond the Storm is an essential help for flourishing after the devastating effects of life’s blows so you can actively pursue the purpose you were designed to fulfill.
Author: Debra Bell
Publisher: Thomas Nelson
ISBN: 1418574619
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 438
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Book Description
Now even more complete, with updated lists of available resource materials, this manual is your access guide to home schooling- maximizing our family life while providing a quality education for your children. If you're considering homeschooling, this book is a must-read before you decide; and if you've been at it for awhile, it's a fresh perspective, with plenty of tactics for renewing your energy and motivating your kids. With wit and wisdom gleaned from years of experience, Debra Bell sets forth a compelling vision for the joys of home-based learnng and the essential tools for success. The CD-ROM contains the complete text of the book, plus website links and a search engine.
Author: Deborah Starczewski
Publisher: Charisma Media
ISBN: 1616386657
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 240
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Book Description
Be encouraged by author Deborah Starczewski as she shares inspiring stories to show you how to see through the valley of darkness and treasure every single moment of your time with God.
Author: Joel Comiskey
Publisher: CCS Publishing
ISBN: 1950069028
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 148
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Book Description
Christians desire to grow in their relationship with God. They want to flourish, to experience victory in their Christian lives. They want to live in the overcoming power that the cross provides. But they are stuck. They are like my friend, John, who works sixty hours per week, sits in two hours of traffic each day and carries the burdens of the world on his shoulders. He and his wife, Jenny, love each other, or at least they used to. They now spend their time together carting their kids to activities after driving through Taco Bell for dinner. Every week, John sits in the second row at church, listening to the pastor, and he and Jenny volunteer in the children’s church. But he told me last week that he is exhausted. On the surface, he has a good life, but deep down he is drowning. He has no real victory. How does someone like John stem the tide? How does he start living the victorious lifestyle Jesus came to offer? Many find the answer in promises of a magic pill, something that provides a quick fix. But such fixes don’t exist. The victory of God is an ongoing lifestyle while adopting and applying certain priorities that prepare and equip us for life. True victory comes in heaven and not on earth. And only the Spirit of God living through the believer based on God’s Word can give true victory. But there are basic principles that God has used throughout the centuries to encourage believers and give them victory. In this book, I’ve pinpointed nine principles and priorities that will help a believer live a victorious Christian life. They are: -victory in preparing for eternity -victory in experiencing God's love -victory in God's grace -victory in God’s sovereignty -victory in spending time with Jesus -victory in close relationships -victory in the local church -victory in rest -victory in healthy living These nine priorities will help you understand and apply principles that are simple, biblical, and time-tested to produce spiritual, emotional, and physical benefits. My aim is to stimulate you to live these biblical truths while allowing the Holy Spirit to transform you.
Author: Michelle McClain-Walters
Publisher: Charisma Media
ISBN: 1629986070
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 146
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Book Description
Be Inspired by Deborah, A woman of great power and influence.
