Counterfactual Estimation in Semiparametric Discrete-Choice Models PDF Download
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Author: Khai Chiong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 19
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Book Description
We show how to construct bounds on counterfactual choice probabilities in semiparametric discrete-choice models. Our procedure is based on cyclic monotonicity, a convex-analytic property of the random utility discrete-choice model. These bounds are useful for typical counterfactual exercises in aggregate discrete-choice demand models. In our semiparametric approach, we do not specify the parametric distribution for the utility shocks, thus accommodating a wide variety of substitution patterns among alternatives. Computation of the counterfactual bounds is a tractable linear programming problem. We illustrate our approach in a series of Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application using scanner data.
Author: Khai Chiong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 19
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Book Description
We show how to construct bounds on counterfactual choice probabilities in semiparametric discrete-choice models. Our procedure is based on cyclic monotonicity, a convex-analytic property of the random utility discrete-choice model. These bounds are useful for typical counterfactual exercises in aggregate discrete-choice demand models. In our semiparametric approach, we do not specify the parametric distribution for the utility shocks, thus accommodating a wide variety of substitution patterns among alternatives. Computation of the counterfactual bounds is a tractable linear programming problem. We illustrate our approach in a series of Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application using scanner data.
Author: Khai Chiong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 19
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Book Description
We propose using cyclic monotonicity, a convex-analytic property of the random utility choice model, to derive bounds on counterfactual choice probabilities in semiparametric multinomial choice models. These bounds are useful for typical counterfactual exercises in aggregate discrete-choice demand models. In our semiparametric approach, we do not specify the parametric distribution for the utility shocks, thus accommodating a wide variety of substitution patterns among alternatives. Computation of the counterfactual bounds is a tractable linear programming problem. We illustrate our approach in a series of Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application using scanner data.
Author: Margarida Genius
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 121
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Author: Trueman Scott Thompson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 310
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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In the first chapter I propose a semiparametric estimator that allows for a flexible form of heteroskedasticity for multinomial discrete choice (MDC) models. Despite being semiparametric, the rate of convergence of the smoothed maximum score (SMS) estimator is not affected by the number of alternative choices. I show the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator. The rate of convergence of the SMS estimator for MDC models can be made arbitrarily close to the inverse of the square root of the sample size, which is the same as the rate of convergence of Horowitz's (1992) SMS estimator for the binary response model. Monte Carlo experiments provide evidence that the proposed estimator has a smaller mean squared error than both the conditional logit estimator and the maximum score estimator when heteroskedasticity exists. I apply the SMS estimator to study the college decisions of high school graduates using a subset of Chilean data from 2011. The estimation results of the SMS estimator differ significantly from the results of the conditional logit estimator, which suggests possible misspecification of parametric models and the usefulness of considering the SMS estimator as an alternative for estimating MDC models. Many MDC applications include potentially endogenous regressors. To allow for endogeneity, in the second chapter I propose a two-stage instrumental variables estimator where the endogenous variable is replaced by a linear estimate, and then the preference parameters in the MDC equation are estimated by the SMS estimator described in the first chapter. In neither stage do I specify the distribution of the error terms, so this two-stage estimation method is semiparametric. This estimator is a generalization of the estimator proposed by Fox (2007). Fox suggests applying the maximum score estimator in the second stage of estimation. This chapter is the first to derive the statistical properties of an estimator allowing for endogeneity in this semiparametric setting. The two-stage instrument variables estimator is consistent when the linear function of instrument variables and other covariates can rank order the choice probabilities. The second chapter also provides results of some Monte Carlo experiments.
Author: Hashimzade, Nigar
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1788976487
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 672
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Book Description
Written in a comprehensive yet accessible style, this Handbook introduces readers to a range of modern empirical methods with applications in microeconomics, illustrating how to use two of the most popular software packages, Stata and R, in microeconometric applications.
Author: Fu Ouyang
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780868316727
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Arthur Lewbel
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Keith Allan Heyen
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 134
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Author: Patrick Bajari
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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We view a game abstractly as a semiparametric mixture distribution and study the semiparametric efficiency bound of this model. Our results suggest that a key issue for inference is the number of equilibria compared to the number of outcomes. If the number of equilibria is sufficiently large compared to the number of outcomes, root-n consistent estimation of the model will not be possible. We also provide a simple estimator in the case when the efficiency bound is strictly above zero.
