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Author: Pengguo Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
In this paper, we develop a framework for evaluating the impact of conservative accounting on the structure of residual income models of equity valuation. We explore specific examples of both unconditional and conditional conservatism and observe a common mathematical structure. We proceed to generalise our model and identify the joint dependency of conservatism and the persistence of abnormal earnings on the weights attached to book values, earnings and dividends. We are able to show theoretically the likely numerical impact of conservatism on price-earnings ratios and under valuations produced by residual income models. We investigate empirically the interaction between conservatism and persistence and find they accord well with the theory developed. We briefly discuss the implications for testing of the effect of conservatism on valuation and linear information dynamics.
Author: Pengguo Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
In this paper, we develop a framework for evaluating the impact of conservative accounting on the structure of residual income models of equity valuation. We explore specific examples of both unconditional and conditional conservatism and observe a common mathematical structure. We proceed to generalise our model and identify the joint dependency of conservatism and the persistence of abnormal earnings on the weights attached to book values, earnings and dividends. We are able to show theoretically the likely numerical impact of conservatism on price-earnings ratios and under valuations produced by residual income models. We investigate empirically the interaction between conservatism and persistence and find they accord well with the theory developed. We briefly discuss the implications for testing of the effect of conservatism on valuation and linear information dynamics.
Author: David J. Ashton
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
In this paper we develop a general framework for evaluating the impact of conservative accounting on the structure of residual income models of equity valuation. This affords a theoretical understanding of the signs and sizes of the valuation weights observed in regression studies of the relationship between prices, book values, earnings and dividends. We proceed to generalize our model of conservatism and are able to show theoretically the likely numerical impact of conservatism on book values, price-earnings ratios and under valuations produced by residual income models. The analysis also affords an understanding of the limitations of empirical investigations of conservatism using linear information dynamics and hence to explain the failure of many such studies to detect conservatism.
Author: Julia Nasev
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3834984582
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 129
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Book Description
Julia Nasev examines the impact of conservative accounting numbers on valuation estimates and on real economic decisions such as cost stickiness.
Author: Young-Soo Choi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43
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Book Description
Prior research using the residual income valuation model and linear information models has generally found that estimates of firm value are negatively biased. We argue that this could result from the way in which accounting conservatism effects are reflected in such models. We build on the conservative accounting model of Feltham and Ohlson (1995) and the Dechow, Hutton and Sloan (1999) (DHS) methodology to propose a valuation model that includes a conservatism-correction term, based on the properties of past realizations of residual income and other information. Other information is measured using analyst-forecast-based predictions of residual income. We use data comparable to the DHS sample to compare the bias and inaccuracy of value estimates from our model and from models similar to those used by DHS and Myers (1999). Valuation biases are substantially less negative for our model, but valuation inaccuracy is not markedly reduced.
Author: James N. Myers
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
Residual income (RI) valuation involves discounting estimated future RI over the entire life of the firm. Because accounting is conservative, price is higher than book value for the average firm, creating a large accounting gain (terminal income) at delisting for most firms. However, this terminal income is hidden from researchers because it is not included in archival databases such as Compustat. Although most valuation models posit infinite firm life, the median firm survives approximately ten years. Terminal income is omitted from recent archival valuation research and this omission creates biased valuation estimates. This explains why studies that use the residual income valuation model to estimate stock price understate stock price on average. The results suggest that the estimation of future price/book premiums is an important component of RI valuation and present a limitation of using accounting numbers to estimate firm value without reference to price.
Author: Steven J. Monahan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 63
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Book Description
This study extends our understanding of the impact that conservative accounting has on the equity valuation role of firms' summary accounting numbers. In particular, I evaluate the effect of conservative accounting for research and development (Ramp;D) and past growth in Ramp;D on the relation between aggregate earnings (deflated by price) and contemporaneous stock return and the usefulness of earnings and equity book values for developing estimates of equity market value. I find that the capitalization of Ramp;D improves the value relevance of aggregate earnings only for firms with high past growth in Ramp;D. Moreover, the deleterious effects of the conservative treatment of Ramp;D on the value relevance of estimates of equity market value based on the discounted residual income model are increasing in the level of past growth in Ramp;D. My results contribute to the extant literature by providing more precise evidence regarding the magnitude of the benefits (in terms of value relevance) associated with capitalizing Ramp;D costs. In addition, my results provide us with a deeper understanding of how accounting measurement rules and firms' economic fundamentals interact to determine the valuation role of firms' financial statement numbers.
Author: Qiang Cheng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 132
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Book Description
Author: Qiang Cheng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This paper investigates the determinants of residual income scaled by book value of equity, i.e., abnormal return on equity (ROE), by analyzing the impact of value-creation (economic rents) and value-recording (conservative accounting) processes on abnormal ROE. I rely on economic theories to characterize economic rents and develop an empirical measure - the conservative accounting factor - to capture the effect of conservative accounting. As expected, industry abnormal ROE increases with industry concentration, industry level barriers to entry, and industry conservative accounting factors. Also as expected, the difference between firm and industry abnormal ROE increases with market share, firm size, firm level barriers to entry, and firm conservative accounting factors. Integrating these determinants into the residual income valuation model significantly increases its explanatory power for the variation in the market-to-book ratio.
Author: John McCallig
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 47
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Book Description
The proportion of listed firms reporting accounting losses has increased greatly since the 1970s. The perception that accounting losses always indicate a loss of economic value is no longer widely held. It is now accepted that many loss making firms report losses because of investments that cannot be capitalized under present accounting rules. Charges against income caused by investments are called 'revenue investments' in this study. Two aspects of the valuation of loss making firms are investigated. Firstly, a method of distinguishing firms that have made revenue investments from firms that are suffering 'real' economic losses is developed. The findings show that loss making firms can be categorized, and that the accounting and economic characteristics of firms differ over these categories. Secondly, the impact of revenue investment on the residual income valuation model is examined. The findings show that revenue investment means that book value is not sufficient to specify the stream of normal returns on the firm's investments. The Ohlson (1995) model is used to show that decomposition of residual income leads to a better valuation model and that current and past losses are associated with value creation for firms that practice revenue investment.
Author: Young-Soo Choi
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783843357944
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 280
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Book Description
Following the seminal theoretical work of Ohlson (1995), many researchers have tried to investigate the linear information dynamics (LID) model's validity empirically. However, empirical applications of the LID approach to residual income (RI)-based equity valuation have produced estimates of firm value that are substantially lower on average than corresponding observed market values. This book augments the Ohlson model by incorporating residual income and 'other information' intercepts into the original linear information dynamics, in order to capture the impact of the intercept terms on the residual income forecasts and firm values. I argue that the large negative bias in LID-based value estimates might be attributable to failure to deal fully with the effects of conservative accounting in projecting residual income. The main objective of the book is thus to examine whether the 'intercept-inclusive' LID model produces more reliable value estimates than the extant RI-based valuation models. I also address a potentially important issue of the different applicability under different conditions of different RI-based valuation models.
