Collected Papers of the Methods of Earthquake Prediction and Estimation of Strong Seismic Risk PDF Download
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Author: Chen, Zhangli
Publisher:
ISBN: 9787502803865
Category : Earthquake prediction
Languages : en
Pages : 416
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Book Description
Author: Chen, Zhangli
Publisher:
ISBN: 9787502803865
Category : Earthquake prediction
Languages : en
Pages : 416
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Earthquake prediction
Languages : en
Pages : 432
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Book Description
Author: James Lighthill
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789810226701
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 392
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Book Description
The acronym VAN refers to Drs Varotsos, Alexopoulos and Nomicos, members of a group based in the University of Athens and led by Professor Varotsos (head of the Physics Department) which for over a decade has sought to use electric-field measurements between electrodes buried in the earth to predict earthquakes in Greece over periods of order one month or less. But is such ?short-term? prediction achievable by the VAN approach (or by any other)? This book is an objective collection of the arguments for ? and the counterarguments against ? that approach, intended to help scientific readers arrive at their own answers to this important question, as well as to others (including that of VAN's ?export? potential).
Author: Mustafa Özder Erdik
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401730954
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 609
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Book Description
This book contains selected papers presented at the NATO Advanced Study Institute on "Strong Ground Motion Seismology", held in Ankara, Turkey between June 10 and 21, 1985. The strong ground motion resulting from a major earthquake determines the level of the seismic hazard to enable earthquake engineers to assess the structural performance and the consecutive risks to the property and life, as well as providing detailed information to seismologists about its source mechanism. From the earthquake engineering point the main problem is the specification of a design level ground motion for a given source-site-structure-economic life and risk combination through deterministic and probabilistic approaches. In seismology the strong motion data provide the high frequency information to determine the rupture process and the complexity of the source mechanism. The effects of the propagation path on the strong ground motion is a research area receiving sub stantial attenuation both from earthquake engineers and seismologists. The Institute provided a venue for the treatment of the subject matter by a series of lectures on earthquake source models and near field theories; effects of propagation paths and site conditions, numerical and empirical methods for prediction; data acquisition and analysis; hazard assessment and engineering application.
Author: Martha Savage
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3034605005
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 270
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Book Description
This special issue of Pure and Applied Geophysics is the second of two volumes containing an augmented collection of papers originating from the Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting held in Wellington, New Zealand, in February 2008. The volumes honor Frank Evison's interest in earthquake generation and forecasting. This volume includes descriptions of earthquake forecasting test centers through the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) program and the first results from the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Model (RELM) experiment in California. Other papers discuss methods of testing predictions, in particular by the use of error diagrams. There is discussion of prediction methodologies using seismicity, including an application of the statistical technique of Hidden Markov Models to identify changes in seismicity and a new technique for identifying precursory quiescence. Several papers employ other data besides seismicity, such as geologically determined faults, calculations of stress changes via Coulomb stress modeling, tomographically determined velocity structure, groundwater, crustal deformation, and comparisons of real earthquakes to synthetic seismicity determined from hypothesized earthquake physics. One paper focuses on the prediction of human casualties in the event that a large earthquake occurs anywhere on the globe. The volume will be useful to students and professional researchers who are interested in the earthquake preparation process and in converting that understanding into forecasts of earthquake occurrence.
Author: Alexey DM Zavyalov
Publisher: Mdpi AG
ISBN: 9783036594804
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The reprint "Comprehensive Research in Earthquake Forecasting and Seismic Hazard Assessment" is a collection of articles dealing with various aspects of the physics of seismic processes, earthquake forecasting, and the search for their precursors. All published articles can be roughly divided into three unequal groups according to the number of articles presented. The first group includes theoretical and methodological articles. The second group includes articles confirming one or another model of seismicity behaviour in anticipation of a strong earthquake. Finally, the third and most numerous group of articles consists of those analysing the results of long-term observations of the behaviour of various geophysical fields. We are confident that each of these articles will find an interested reader, and that the collection as a whole deserves the attention of representatives of the scientific community concerned with the problem of earthquake forecasting and the search for their precursors.
Author: Ragnar Stefánsson
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540475710
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 265
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Book Description
The special natural conditions in Iceland as well as high level technology, were the basis for multidisciplinary and multinational cooperation for studying crustal processes, especially processes ahead of large earthquakes. This work leads to new innovative results and real time warnings which are described in the book. The results obtained in Iceland are of significance for earthquake prediction research worldwide.
Author: F. Mulargia
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401000417
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 366
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Book Description
What is the first thing that ordinary people, for whom journalists are the proxy, ask when they meet a seismologist? It is certainly nothing technical like "What was the stress drop of the last earthquake in the Imperial Valley?" It is a sim ple question, which nevertheless summarizes the real demands that society has for seismology. This question is "Can you predict earthquakes?" Regrettably, notwithstanding the feeling of omnipotence induced by modem technology, the answer at present is the very opposite of "Yes, of course". The primary motivation for the question "Can you predict earthquakes?" is practical. No other natural phenomenon has the tremendous destructive power of a large earthquake, a power which is rivaled only by a large scale war. An earth quake in a highly industrialized region is capable of adversely affecting the econ omy of the whole world for several years. But another motivation is cognitive. The aim of science is 'understanding' nature, and one of the best ways to show that we understand a phenomenon is the ability to make accurate predictions.
Author: Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642244068
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 259
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Book Description
As evidenced dramatically and tragically in 2011 alone,earthquakes cause devastation and their consequences in terms of human suffering and economic disaster can last for years or even decades. The VAN method of earthquake prediction, based on the detection and measurement of low frequency electric signals called Seismic Electric Signals (SES), has been researched and evaluated over 30 years, and now constitutes the only earthquake prediction effort that has led to concrete successful results. This book recounts the history of the VAN method, detailing how it has developed and been tested under international scrutiny. Earthquake Prediction by Seismic Electric Signals • describes, step by step, the development of the VAN method since 1981; • explains both the theoretical model underpinning the research and the physical properties of SES; • analyzes the SES recordings and the prediction for each major earthquake in Greece over the last 25 years; • introduces a new time domain, natural time, which plays a key role in predicting impending catastrophic events.
Author: Klaus Brandes
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 9789054108016
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 434
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Book Description
The concept of earthquake prognostics, originally initiated in the 80s by a Berlin-based group of scientists and experts, has been further developed at international seminars. The 6th international seminar held in 1991 at the Japanese-German Center in Berlin has considerably contributed towards concretization and materialization of the earthquake prognostics strategy. Topics: General aspects: Earthquake prognostics - From fundamental research to practical measures of protection; A few comments on earthquake disaster precention; Earthquake sources processes; Earthquake hazard assessment; Risk analysis and evaluation; Measures of protection.
