Bootstrapping Stationary ARMA-GARCH Models

Bootstrapping Stationary ARMA-GARCH Models PDF Author: Kenichi Shimizu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3834897787
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 137

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Book Description
Bootstrap technique is a useful tool for assessing uncertainty in statistical estimation and thus it is widely applied for risk management. Bootstrap is without doubt a promising technique, however, it is not applicable to all time series models. A wrong application could lead to a false decision to take too much risk. Kenichi Shimizu investigates the limit of the two standard bootstrap techniques, the residual and the wild bootstrap, when these are applied to the conditionally heteroscedastic models, such as the ARCH and GARCH models. The author shows that the wild bootstrap usually does not work well when one estimates conditional heteroscedasticity of Engle’s ARCH or Bollerslev’s GARCH models while the residual bootstrap works without problems. Simulation studies from the application of the proposed bootstrap methods are demonstrated together with the theoretical investigation.

Bootstrapping Stationary ARMA-GARCH Models

Bootstrapping Stationary ARMA-GARCH Models PDF Author: Kenichi Shimizu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3834897787
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 137

Get Book Here

Book Description
Bootstrap technique is a useful tool for assessing uncertainty in statistical estimation and thus it is widely applied for risk management. Bootstrap is without doubt a promising technique, however, it is not applicable to all time series models. A wrong application could lead to a false decision to take too much risk. Kenichi Shimizu investigates the limit of the two standard bootstrap techniques, the residual and the wild bootstrap, when these are applied to the conditionally heteroscedastic models, such as the ARCH and GARCH models. The author shows that the wild bootstrap usually does not work well when one estimates conditional heteroscedasticity of Engle’s ARCH or Bollerslev’s GARCH models while the residual bootstrap works without problems. Simulation studies from the application of the proposed bootstrap methods are demonstrated together with the theoretical investigation.

Proceedings of Fifth International Congress on Information and Communication Technology

Proceedings of Fifth International Congress on Information and Communication Technology PDF Author: Xin-She Yang
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811558566
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 666

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Book Description
This book gathers selected high-quality research papers presented at the Fifth International Congress on Information and Communication Technology, held at Brunel University, London, on February 20–21, 2020. It discusses emerging topics pertaining to information and communication technology (ICT) for managerial applications, e-governance, e-agriculture, e-education and computing technologies, the Internet of Things (IoT) and e-mining. Written by respected experts and researchers working on ICT, the book offers a valuable asset for young researchers involved in advanced studies.

Modern Equity Investing Strategies

Modern Equity Investing Strategies PDF Author: Anatoly B Schmidt
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811239517
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 353

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Book Description
This book will satisfy the demand among college majors in Finance and Financial Engineering, and mathematically-versed practitioners for description of both the classical approaches to equity investing and new investment strategies scattered in the periodic literature. Besides the major portfolio management theories (mean variance theory, CAPM, and APT), the book addresses several important topics: portfolio diversification, optimal ESG portfolios, factor models (smart betas), robust portfolio optimization, risk-based asset allocation, statistical arbitrage, alternative data based investing, back-testing of trading strategies, modern market microstructure, algorithmic trading, and agent-based modeling of financial markets. The book also includes the basic elements of time series analysis in the Appendix for self-contained presentation of the material. While the book covers technical concepts and models, it will not overburden the reader with math beyond the Finance undergraduates' curriculum.

Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis

Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis PDF Author: Marc S. Paolella
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119431980
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 896

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Book Description
A comprehensive and timely edition on an emerging new trend in time series Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH sets a strong foundation, in terms of distribution theory, for the linear model (regression and ANOVA), univariate time series analysis (ARMAX and GARCH), and some multivariate models associated primarily with modeling financial asset returns (copula-based structures and the discrete mixed normal and Laplace). It builds on the author's previous book, Fundamental Statistical Inference: A Computational Approach, which introduced the major concepts of statistical inference. Attention is explicitly paid to application and numeric computation, with examples of Matlab code throughout. The code offers a framework for discussion and illustration of numerics, and shows the mapping from theory to computation. The topic of time series analysis is on firm footing, with numerous textbooks and research journals dedicated to it. With respect to the subject/technology, many chapters in Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis cover firmly entrenched topics (regression and ARMA). Several others are dedicated to very modern methods, as used in empirical finance, asset pricing, risk management, and portfolio optimization, in order to address the severe change in performance of many pension funds, and changes in how fund managers work. Covers traditional time series analysis with new guidelines Provides access to cutting edge topics that are at the forefront of financial econometrics and industry Includes latest developments and topics such as financial returns data, notably also in a multivariate context Written by a leading expert in time series analysis Extensively classroom tested Includes a tutorial on SAS Supplemented with a companion website containing numerous Matlab programs Solutions to most exercises are provided in the book Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH is suitable for advanced masters students in statistics and quantitative finance, as well as doctoral students in economics and finance. It is also useful for quantitative financial practitioners in large financial institutions and smaller finance outlets.

Statistical Portfolio Estimation

Statistical Portfolio Estimation PDF Author: Masanobu Taniguchi
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1466505613
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 389

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Book Description
The composition of portfolios is one of the most fundamental and important methods in financial engineering, used to control the risk of investments. This book provides a comprehensive overview of statistical inference for portfolios and their various applications. A variety of asset processes are introduced, including non-Gaussian stationary processes, nonlinear processes, non-stationary processes, and the book provides a framework for statistical inference using local asymptotic normality (LAN). The approach is generalized for portfolio estimation, so that many important problems can be covered. This book can primarily be used as a reference by researchers from statistics, mathematics, finance, econometrics, and genomics. It can also be used as a textbook by senior undergraduate and graduate students in these fields.

Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models

Financial Risk Management with Bayesian Estimation of GARCH Models PDF Author: David Ardia
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540786570
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 206

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Book Description
This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of sing- regime and regime-switching GARCH models. These models are widespread and essential tools in n ancial econometrics and have, until recently, mainly been estimated using the classical Maximum Likelihood technique. As this study aims to demonstrate, the Bayesian approach o ers an attractive alternative which enables small sample results, robust estimation, model discrimination and probabilistic statements on nonlinear functions of the model parameters. The author is indebted to numerous individuals for help in the preparation of this study. Primarily, I owe a great debt to Prof. Dr. Philippe J. Deschamps who inspired me to study Bayesian econometrics, suggested the subject, guided me under his supervision and encouraged my research. I would also like to thank Prof. Dr. Martin Wallmeier and my colleagues of the Department of Quantitative Economics, in particular Michael Beer, Roberto Cerratti and Gilles Kaltenrieder, for their useful comments and discussions. I am very indebted to my friends Carlos Ord as Criado, Julien A. Straubhaar, J er ^ ome Ph. A. Taillard and Mathieu Vuilleumier, for their support in the elds of economics, mathematics and statistics. Thanks also to my friend Kevin Barnes who helped with my English in this work. Finally, I am greatly indebted to my parents and grandparents for their support and encouragement while I was struggling with the writing of this thesis.

Innovations in Mechatronics Engineering

Innovations in Mechatronics Engineering PDF Author: José Machado
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030791688
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 483

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Book Description
This book covers a variety of topics in the field of mechatronics engineering, with a special focus on innovative control and automation concepts for applications in a wide range of field, including industrial production, medicine and rehabilitation, education and transport. Based on a set of papers presented at the 1st International Conference “Innovation in Engineering”, ICIE, held in Guimarães, Portugal, on June 28-30, 2021, the chapters report on cutting-edge control algorithms for mobile robots and robot manipulators, innovative industrial monitoring strategies for industrial process, improved production systems for smart manufacturing, and discusses important issues related to user experience, training and education, as well as national developments in the field of mechatronics . This volume, which belongs to a three-volume set, provides engineering researchers and professionals with a timely overview and extensive information on trends and technologies behind the future developments of mechatronics systems in the era of Industry 4.0.

GARCH Models

GARCH Models PDF Author: Christian Francq
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119957397
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 469

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Book Description
This book provides a comprehensive and systematic approach to understanding GARCH time series models and their applications whilst presenting the most advanced results concerning the theory and practical aspects of GARCH. The probability structure of standard GARCH models is studied in detail as well as statistical inference such as identification, estimation and tests. The book also provides coverage of several extensions such as asymmetric and multivariate models and looks at financial applications. Key features: Provides up-to-date coverage of the current research in the probability, statistics and econometric theory of GARCH models. Numerous illustrations and applications to real financial series are provided. Supporting website featuring R codes, Fortran programs and data sets. Presents a large collection of problems and exercises. This authoritative, state-of-the-art reference is ideal for graduate students, researchers and practitioners in business and finance seeking to broaden their skills of understanding of econometric time series models.

Multivariate Modelling of Non-Stationary Economic Time Series

Multivariate Modelling of Non-Stationary Economic Time Series PDF Author: John Hunter
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 113731303X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 508

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Book Description
This book examines conventional time series in the context of stationary data prior to a discussion of cointegration, with a focus on multivariate models. The authors provide a detailed and extensive study of impulse responses and forecasting in the stationary and non-stationary context, considering small sample correction, volatility and the impact of different orders of integration. Models with expectations are considered along with alternate methods such as Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), the Kalman Filter and Structural Time Series, all in relation to cointegration. Using single equations methods to develop topics, and as examples of the notion of cointegration, Burke, Hunter, and Canepa provide direction and guidance to the now vast literature facing students and graduate economists.

Nonparametric Statistical Methods and Related Topics

Nonparametric Statistical Methods and Related Topics PDF Author: Francisco J. Samaniego
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814366560
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 479

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Book Description
This volume consists of 22 research papers by leading researchers in Probability and Statistics. Many of the papers are focused on themes that Professor Bhattacharya has published on research. Topics of special interest include nonparametric inference, nonparametric curve fitting, linear model theory, Bayesian nonparametrics, change point problems, time series analysis and asymptotic theory. This volume presents state-of-the-art research in statistical theory, with an emphasis on nonparametric inference, linear model theory, time series analysis and asymptotic theory. It will serve as a valuable reference to the statistics research community as well as to practitioners who utilize methodology in these areas of emphasis.