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Author: Aaron Tornell
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 206
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Book Description
Analysis and evidence of how the factors that give rise to boom-bust cycles in fast-growing developing economies also enhance long-run growth. The volatility that has hit many middle-income countries (MICs) after liberalizing their financial markets has prompted critics to call for new policies to stabilize these boom-bust cycles. But, as Aaron Tornell and Frank Westermann point out in this book, over the last two decades most of the developing countries that have experienced lending booms and busts have also exhibited the fastest growth among MICs. Countries with more stable credit growth, by contrast, have exhibited, on average, lower growth rates. Factors that contribute to financial fragility thus appear, paradoxically, to be a source of long-run growth as well. Tornell and Westermann analyze boom-bust cycles in the developing world and discuss how these cycles are generated by credit market imperfections. They explain why the financial liberalization that allows countries to overcome imperfections impeding rapid growth also generates the financial fragility that leads to greater volatility and occasional crises. The conceptual framework they present illustrates this linkage and allows Tornell and Westermann to address normative questions regarding liberalization policies.The authors also characterize key macroeconomic regularities observed across MICs, showing that credit markets play a key role not only in boom-bust episodes but in the strong "credit channel" observed during tranquil times. A theoretical framework is then presented that explains how credit market imperfections can account for these empirical patterns. Finally, Tornell and Westermann provide microeconomic evidence on the credit market imperfections that drive the results of the theoretical framework, finding that asymmetries between tradables and nontradables are key to understanding the patterns in MIC data.
Author: Aaron Tornell
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 206
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Book Description
Analysis and evidence of how the factors that give rise to boom-bust cycles in fast-growing developing economies also enhance long-run growth. The volatility that has hit many middle-income countries (MICs) after liberalizing their financial markets has prompted critics to call for new policies to stabilize these boom-bust cycles. But, as Aaron Tornell and Frank Westermann point out in this book, over the last two decades most of the developing countries that have experienced lending booms and busts have also exhibited the fastest growth among MICs. Countries with more stable credit growth, by contrast, have exhibited, on average, lower growth rates. Factors that contribute to financial fragility thus appear, paradoxically, to be a source of long-run growth as well. Tornell and Westermann analyze boom-bust cycles in the developing world and discuss how these cycles are generated by credit market imperfections. They explain why the financial liberalization that allows countries to overcome imperfections impeding rapid growth also generates the financial fragility that leads to greater volatility and occasional crises. The conceptual framework they present illustrates this linkage and allows Tornell and Westermann to address normative questions regarding liberalization policies.The authors also characterize key macroeconomic regularities observed across MICs, showing that credit markets play a key role not only in boom-bust episodes but in the strong "credit channel" observed during tranquil times. A theoretical framework is then presented that explains how credit market imperfections can account for these empirical patterns. Finally, Tornell and Westermann provide microeconomic evidence on the credit market imperfections that drive the results of the theoretical framework, finding that asymmetries between tradables and nontradables are key to understanding the patterns in MIC data.
Author: Mr.Sergio L. Schmukler
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451845286
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 61
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Book Description
We examine the short- and long-run effects of financial liberalization on capital markets. To do so, we construct a new comprehensive chronology of financial liberalization in 28 mature and emerging market economies since 1973. We also construct an algorithm to identify booms and busts in stock market prices. Our results indicate that financial liberalization is followed by more pronounced boom-bust cycles in the short run. However, financial liberalization leads to more stable markets in the long run. Finally, we analyze the sequencing of liberalization and institutional reforms to understand the contrasting short- and long-run effects of liberalization.
Author: Yılmaz Akyüz
Publisher: Anthem Press
ISBN: 1783082402
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 338
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Book Description
Weighing up the costs and benefits of economic interdependence in a finance-driven world, this book argues that globalization, understood and promoted as absolute freedom for all forms of capital, has been oversold to the Global South, and that the South should be as selective about globalization as the North. ‘Liberalization, Financial Instability and Economic Development’ challenges the orthodoxy on the link between financial deepening and economic growth, as well as that between the efficiency of financial markets and the benefits of liberalization. Ultimately, the author urges developing countries to control capital flows and asset bubbles, preventing financial fragility and crises, and recommends regional policy options for managing capital flows and exchange rates.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Degregulation, boom-bust, cycles, restructuring.
Author: Lars Jonung
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1849802130
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351
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Book Description
The Nordic financial crisis had it all: a botched liberalization, a huge boom followed by an even bigger bust, massive taxpayer-financed bailouts and, finally, deep long-run gains. The first-class team of scholars mobilized in this book convincingly tell a story that should be carefully studied by economists, bankers and policymakers. After this book, no one should be able to say: If we only knew ! Charles Wyplosz, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva, Switzerland The financial crisis in Scandinavia in the early 1990s was a forerunner of the later world-wide crisis in 2007/8. Although the initial causation was different, the impact on their banks, though more localised, was just as severe. So we can benefit, and already policymakers have done so, from learning the lessons in this book on how to restore shattered banking systems to health. For this we owe a debt of gratitude to the editors, who have put together a series of key papers that emerged from a much larger exercise on the crisis that was earlier reported in four volumes in Swedish and Finnish. Amongst the many studies on current and past financial crises, this is a classic must-read . Charles A.E. Goodhart, London School of Economics, UK The Nordic experience with financial crisis resolution could not be more timely. Everyone cites it as an example of how it should be done , but rarely does one find careful and detailed analysis. Now policymakers and others searching for guidance will know where to look. Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Berkeley, US Following World War II, Nordic countries were commonly regarded as successful and stable economies. This perception was, however, shattered in the early 1990s when Finland and Sweden encountered severe financial crises. Here, the authors explore the symptoms of financial crisis decreasing real income, soaring unemployment and exploding public deficits and their devastating effects. The book compares and contrasts the experiences of Finland and Sweden, then adopts an international perspective, encompassing the experiences of Asia, Latin America, Denmark and Norway. Lessons from the 1990s crisis are drawn, and possible solutions prescribed. The conclusion is that long-term effects of financial crises financial liberalization and integration are not as dramatic as the short-term effects, but may prove to be of greater importance over time. Only the future will show whether these long-term benefits will balance or even outweigh the enormous short-term costs of the crises. Highly relevant to the current international financial crisis currently afflicting the world economy, this timely book will prove invaluable to economists and other social scientists with a general interest in financial crises, and to those with a more specific interest in the evolution and models of Scandinavian economies.
Author: Qian Ding
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346098680
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 43
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Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2019 in the subject Economics - Economic Cycle and Growth, grade: 1.3, University of Göttingen (Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät), course: International Financial Market, language: English, abstract: This paper mainly analyzes the implications of the financial cycle and its interactions with the traditional business cycle. Using frequency-based filter and turning-point analysis to measure duration, amplitude and evolution of the financial cycle it is shown, that the results of both approaches for the financial cycle are similar and fit the actual dates well. Further, it is found find that although financial and economic cycles are completely different, they are closely related.The financial cycle significantly amplifies fluctuations in the real economy. Other issues such like optimal monetary and fiscal policies and potential warning indicators are also analyzed.
Author: Mr.Christopher W. Crowe
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589069390
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 617
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Book Description
Macrofinancial linkages have long been at the core of the IMF's mandate to oversee the stability of the global financial system. With the advent of the economic crisis, the Fund has drawn on this research in order to contribute to critical debates on the nature of appropriate policy responses at both the national and multilateral levels. The current juncture offers a good opportunity to take stock of this body of research by IMF staff and to share it with a wider audience, particularly since few collections have been published in this area. This volume brings together some of the best writing by IMF economists on macrofinancial issues, and highlights the issues and approaches that have guided IMF thinking in an area that makes up an increasingly important component of the IMF's overall remit. The chapters in the volume fit into three broad themes: financial crises and boom-bust cycles; financial integration, financial liberalization, and economic performance; and policy issues relating to macroeconomic policy and the corporate and financial sectors-including domestic and external financial liberalization.
Author: Aaron Tornell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital market
Languages : en
Pages : 70
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Book Description
"There is no agreement regarding the growth-enhancing effects of financial liberalization, mainly because it is associated with risky international bank flows, lending booms, and crises. In this paper we make the case for liberalization despite the occurrence of crises. We show that in developing countries trade liberalization has typically been followed by financial liberalization, which has indeed led to financial fragility and a greater incidence of crises. However, financial liberalization also has led to higher GDP growth. In fact, the fastest-growing countries are typically those that have experienced boom-bust cycles. That is, there is a positive link between GDP growth and the bumpiness of credit, which is captured by the negative skewness --not by the variance-- of credit growth. To substantiate our interpretation of the data we present a model that shows why in countries with severe credit market imperfections, liberalization leads to higher growth and, as a byproduct, to financial fragility. Thus, occasional crises need not forestall growth and may even be a necessary component of a developing country's growth experience. Finally, our analysis indicates that foreign direct investment does not obviate the need for risky international bank flows, as the latter are the only source of financing for most firms in the nontradables sector"--NBER website
Author: David M. Beckworth
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781598130768
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Exploring the forceful renewal of the boom-and-bust cycle after several decades of economic stability, this book is a research-based review of the factors that caused the 2008 recession. It offers cutting-edge diagnoses of the recession and prescriptions on how to boost the economy from leading economists. The book concentrates on the Federal Reserve and its leading role in creating the economic boom and recession of the 2000s. Aimed at professional economists and readers well versed in the basic workings of the economy, it includes innovative proposals on how to avoid future boom-and-bust cycles.
Author: Khafra Om-Ra-Seti
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN: 9781481042314
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 626
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Book Description
Was the Meltdown of 2008 the first phase of the Great Depression of the 21st Century? In 2013, this global economic crisis is not over and no one knows the hour or the day when the Final Reckoning will occur! The 2008 Meltdown that culminated in the serial collapse of some of the most powerful corporations in the world, represented only the tip of the iceberg in the emergence of this epic economic bust cycle. What we are now witnessing is the greatest bubble and credit expansion in modern economic history, and when this entire system finally implodes, it will bring into existence some harsh economic and financial realities. The Meltdown of 2008 (and its aftershocks) was the initial bursting of this bubble and the first phase of the Great Depression of the 21st century. As this bust cycle continues to unfold in the wake of the 2008 collapse, the sovereign debt crisis that has a strangle hold on most of the developed world, has evolved into the epicenter of a massive credit and money supply expansion bubble that threatens to derail the entire global economic system. The sovereign debt crisis in Europe is a constant reminder of why this bust cycle may linger on for many years without resolution and a robust recovery. The narrative journey taken in this book helps the reader to better understand the following key issues:* Greece and Spain are microcosms of a much larger looming global catastrophe, and the world can learn valuable lessons by observing the failed austerity policies that are not working in their ongoing depression years. This book also takes a very close look at Japan and its long deflationary bust cycle that spans the period of over two decades. After its extraordinary boom period. Japan has been in a titanic battle to break the grip of a deep deflationary era. There are valuable lessons to be learned in Japan's economic drama. * The analysis presented provides an introduction to Om-Ra-Seti's "Grand Convergence Theory," the confluence of a diversity of economic forces destined to bring about a manifestation of creative destruction and global economic revision. * In historical and narrative form, the reader is presented with a review analysis, power and continuing nature of boom and bust cycles. * The book supports the premise that our civilization has arrived at the end of the "Age of Oil," and that governments, corporations and institutions should be actively engaged in a transition process and period of withdrawal from this depleting and environmentally destructive resource. * This publication offers unique insights and perspectives on the inevitable recovery phase that will begin after the period of global economic purgatory. The year 2012 was the pivotal turning point in this unfolding dramaGovernments and their central bankers are conducting a titanic battle to prevent contagion and collapse into deflation and global depression. We have reached a major turning point in this bust cycle where an accurate assessment and appropriate reforms are critical; inappropriate policies and short-term remedies will only produce greater failure. And there must be a total recognition by global leaders and lawmakers that unrestrained and unbridled free enterprise systems will not work in this current economic bust cycle. The longer our leaders delay in implementing the full measure of economic and depression-era reforms, the more difficult it becomes to stop what is now inevitable: Global Economic Turmoil and Collapse! At some point in this bust cycle, additional stimulus programs, massive money printing, bailouts and corporate welfare will not reverse what we will witness in the second decade of the 21st century. This book brings to light the need for strategic plans for the future in a world that has entered a great technological transition phase.
