Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets PDF Author: Annie Duke
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0735216371
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 289

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Book Description
A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.

Blame it on the Bet

Blame it on the Bet PDF Author: L.E. Rico
Publisher: Entangled: Bliss
ISBN: 164063374X
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 294

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Book Description
Welcome to Mayhem, Minnesota, where the cats wear sweaters, the local priest dispenses dating advice, and you can find your fortune in the bottom of a pie tin... When her family's pub is threatened with foreclosure, Hennessy O'Halloran and her three sisters are determined to raise enough money to keep it out of the hands of the Los Angeles real-estate developer trying to raze it and replace it with a—no, thank you—multiplex theater. Bryan Truitt always gets what he wants. And what he wants is the sweet corner property on Mayhem's Main Street where O'Halloran's Pub sits. But his "quick business" turns into more than he bargains for when he meets the feisty Hennessy. Next thing he knows, he's betting her he can outlast Mayhem's punishing winter in time to make the pub his, or he'll gift it to her...for free. Hennessy knows better than to flirt with the enemy. But suddenly Bryan's not sure which he wants more...the property or the woman who owns it. Each book in the Whiskey Sisters series is STANDALONE: * Blame it on the Bet * Mischief and Mayhem * Mistletoe in Mayhem Boxed Set

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMANS DECISION PROCESSES

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMANS DECISION PROCESSES PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 376

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Svensk-Engelsk ordbok

Svensk-Engelsk ordbok PDF Author: Oscar Edmund Wenström
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : English language
Languages : en
Pages : 898

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New York Magazine

New York Magazine PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 152

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Book Description
New York magazine was born in 1968 after a run as an insert of the New York Herald Tribune and quickly made a place for itself as the trusted resource for readers across the country. With award-winning writing and photography covering everything from politics and food to theater and fashion, the magazine's consistent mission has been to reflect back to its audience the energy and excitement of the city itself, while celebrating New York as both a place and an idea.

A Six-text Print of Chaucer's Canterbury Tales

A Six-text Print of Chaucer's Canterbury Tales PDF Author: Geoffrey Chaucer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Christian pilgrims and pilgrimages
Languages : en
Pages : 152

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Bet on Talent

Bet on Talent PDF Author: Dee Ann Turner
Publisher: Baker Books
ISBN: 1493419285
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224

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Book Description
When it comes to running a business, the most important decisions a leader makes are not about products or locations--they're about people. For the past 33 years, Dee Ann Turner has been recruiting, training, and retaining some of the best employees in the restaurant business. Now she's ready to share her secrets on how to build, sustain, and grow an organizational culture that attracts world-class talent and consistently delights customers, no matter what your industry. In Bet on Talent, Turner shows you how to - create a remarkable company culture - select, sustain, and steward talent - nurture internal relationships - create company loyalty that leads to customer loyalty - instill the practice of servant leadership within your organization - treat everyone with honor, dignity, and respect - and much more

The Persistent Marquess

The Persistent Marquess PDF Author: Susan Payne
Publisher: The Wild Rose Press Inc
ISBN: 1509232249
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 155

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Book Description
One Marquess. One debutante. One waltz. And Miss Daisy Vincent's first season will never be the same. A less than stellar beginning to her first ball took a sudden and irrevocable change of direction once the handsome and popular Marquess of Ashton took notice of her. Ashton, prone not to interfere with the ton, certainly made a hash of things when he did. Trying to aid a naïve debutante has brought him into the limelight as every busy-body began betting on who his marchioness would be. And the one who most interested him wasn't even on the list.

The Puzzlewright Guide to Casino Gambling

The Puzzlewright Guide to Casino Gambling PDF Author: Andrew Brisman
Publisher: Union Square & Co.
ISBN: 1454935448
Category : Games & Activities
Languages : en
Pages : 427

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Book Description
Read this book—and we bet that the cash you save in just one trip to the casino will more than make up for its cost! Simply put, this is the best guide to gambling ever written. It reveals the secrets of success known only to the most expert gamblers: how to bet smart, play the cards right, recognize when the odds are in your favor, and walk away a winner. You'll learn about beating the bank with odds and probability, “the house edge,” money management, and the psychology of gambling. Here's all the info you need to play each game like a genius!

Self-Blame and Moral Responsibility

Self-Blame and Moral Responsibility PDF Author: Andreas Brekke Carlsson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1009184857
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 267

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Book Description
Self-blame is an integral part of our lives. We often blame ourselves for our failings and experience familiar unpleasant emotions such as guilt, shame, regret, or remorse. Self-blame is also what we often aim for when we blame others: we want the people we blame to recognize their wrongdoing and blame themselves for it. Moreover, self-blame is typically considered a necessary condition for forgiveness. However, until now, self-blame has not been an integral part of the theoretical debate on moral responsibility. This volume presents twelve new essays by leading moral philosophers, who set out bold new theories of the nature and ethics of self-blame, and the interconnection between self-blame and moral responsibility. The essays cast new light on traditional problems in the debate on moral responsibility and open new, exciting avenues for research in moral philosophy, moral psychology and the philosophy of punishment.