Beta Risk and Regime Shift in Market Volatility

Beta Risk and Regime Shift in Market Volatility PDF Author: Roland George Shami
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 18

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Book Description
In this paper, we relate security returns in the thirty securities in the Dow Jones index to regime shifts in the market portfolio (Samp;P500) volatility. We model market volatility as a Markov switching process of order one and estimate non-diversifiable security risk (beta) in the different market volatility regimes. We test the significance of the premium of the beta risk associated with the different market regimes and find evidence of a relationship between security return and beta risk when conditional on the up and down market movement.

Stock Market Volatility in Regime Shift Models

Stock Market Volatility in Regime Shift Models PDF Author: Pietro Veronesi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital market
Languages : en
Pages : 414

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Book Description


Association Between Markov Regime-switching Market Volatility and Beta Risk

Association Between Markov Regime-switching Market Volatility and Beta Risk PDF Author: Don U. A. Galagedera
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dow Jones industrial average
Languages : en
Pages : 27

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Book Description


An Analysis of the Beta Anomaly from an Idiosyncratic Volatility Perspective

An Analysis of the Beta Anomaly from an Idiosyncratic Volatility Perspective PDF Author: Mark Matern
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668642265
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,7, University of Mannheim, language: English, abstract: The foundation of this contribution will be the verification of the empirical results presented by Liu et al. (2017). We will start by summarizing their findings and explanations in Chapter 2 (Theoretical Background) and build the theoretical foundation upon which the empirical interpretation will rest. We actually view the compilation of the theoretical explanations in an intuitive line of reasoning as our first valuable contribution for our readers, as an understanding of the topic is not as easily to grasp after a first consultation of the papers. In Chapter 3 (Empirical Results) we address the actual calculations and most important summary statistics that will either speak in support or against our interpretations. In 3.1 (Data and Methodology), we present our dataset important technical notes and in Chapter 3.2 (The Beta Anomaly) we summarize and try to replicate the empirical findings of Liu et al. (2017), which will serve as the bedrock of interpretations we will arrive at in following pages. In Chapter 3.3 (Betting-against-Correlation) and its sub-sections on leverage, size and sentiment, we turn our attention to a paper by Asness et al. (2017) which contributed and responded to the findings of Liu et al. (2017), but with often diametrically contradicting views. The reference date of 2017 suggests that both papers belong to a highly new set of research and we believe that by covering those two and adding our own findings we can add significant clarity to actually understand what is going in the space of the beta anomaly. In Chapter 3.4 (BAB vs. BAI), we finalise the empirical analysis by contrasting opposing views on strategies that are designed to exploit the low-beta anomaly and realign the findings that we came across. We will summarize the newly gained insights for our readers in our last Chapter 4.

Trading Regime Analysis

Trading Regime Analysis PDF Author: Murray Gunn
Publisher: Wiley
ISBN: 0470742844
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 440

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Book Description
Trading Regime Analysis is a groundbreaking work on how markets behave and how to profit from this behaviour. The book describes that it is the human nature of markets which explains why this behaviour exists and whether one believes in fundamental or technical market analysis, the ebb and flow of volatility is the one undeniable truth that exists in financial and commodity markets. It is the up and down cycles of volatility that is the manifestation of human psychology as the ultimate driver of markets and volatility, like human behaviour, has a distinct cycle to it. Offers in detail the methods that can be used to identify whether a market is about to start trending or about to enter a period of range trading Highlights important applications for this analysis for institutional investors, asset allocators, hedge fund managers and retail investors Provides unique content as there are no existing titles on trading regime analysis

Behavioral Finance

Behavioral Finance PDF Author: H. Kent Baker
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470769688
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1184

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Book Description
A definitive guide to the growing field of behavioral finance This reliable resource provides a comprehensive view of behavioral finance and its psychological foundations, as well as its applications to finance. Comprising contributed chapters written by distinguished authors from some of the most influential firms and universities in the world, Behavioral Finance provides a synthesis of the most essential elements of this discipline, including psychological concepts and behavioral biases, the behavioral aspects of asset pricing, asset allocation, and market prices, as well as investor behavior, corporate managerial behavior, and social influences. Uses a structured approach to put behavioral finance in perspective Relies on recent research findings to provide guidance through the maze of theories and concepts Discusses the impact of sub-optimal financial decisions on the efficiency of capital markets, personal wealth, and the performance of corporations Behavioral finance has quickly become part of mainstream finance. If you need to gain a better understanding of this topic, look no further than this book.

Beast on Wall Street

Beast on Wall Street PDF Author: Robert A. Haugen
Publisher: Pearson
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 170

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Book Description
It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.

The Beta Regime Change Risk Premium

The Beta Regime Change Risk Premium PDF Author: An-Sing Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 23

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Book Description
The number of statistically detectable Beta regime changes a portfolio experienced in the past is a natural proxy for ex ante quot;Beta regime change riskquot; of the portfolio. This study applies newly developed statistical tests of multiple structural breaks to investigate whether Beta regime change risk is a systematic risk priced in subsequent security returns. Our results show Beta regime change risk is rewarded by higher returns. In addition, we find evidence showing that the explanatory power of both size and BE/ME are subsumed by our proxy for Beta regime change. Portfolios with high Beta regime change risk earn substantially higher than average returns. Additional tests confirm that a risk-based explanation can account for the results.

The Trades of March 2020

The Trades of March 2020 PDF Author: Alex Gurevich
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781544525150
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 354

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Book Description
Have you ever wondered what happens in the command control of a global macro hedge fund when US stock markets plunge 35 percent in just three weeks? Welcome to the mind of Alex Gurevich, Founder and CIO of HonTe Investments. As tragic events unfolded around the world, the pandemic ruptured the sequence of price action and devoured financial markets like a black hole. Through Gurevich's personal narrative and the team's actual Slack messages, The Trades of March 2020 follows their frenetic efforts to survive the crisis. From the first terrifying days of loss, both personal and professional, to the team's redoubled attempts to identify emerging opportunities, this account of crucial, in-the-moment decisions is a faithful record of the trading moves made in the unprecedented month of March 2020. Discover the thinking and investment philosophy that led HonTe to survive and ultimately thrive during one of the most extraordinary challenges of our time.

Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting

Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting PDF Author: Halbert White
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 9780198296836
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

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Book Description
A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.