Bayesian Networks for Reliability Engineering

Bayesian Networks for Reliability Engineering PDF Author: Baoping Cai
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9811365164
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 259

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Book Description
This book presents a bibliographical review of the use of Bayesian networks in reliability over the last decade. Bayesian network (BN) is considered to be one of the most powerful models in probabilistic knowledge representation and inference, and it is increasingly used in the field of reliability. After focusing on the engineering systems, the book subsequently discusses twelve important issues in the BN-based reliability methodologies, such as BN structure modeling, BN parameter modeling, BN inference, validation, and verification. As such, it is a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners in the field of reliability engineering.

Bayesian Networks for Reliability Engineering

Bayesian Networks for Reliability Engineering PDF Author: Baoping Cai
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9811365164
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 259

Get Book Here

Book Description
This book presents a bibliographical review of the use of Bayesian networks in reliability over the last decade. Bayesian network (BN) is considered to be one of the most powerful models in probabilistic knowledge representation and inference, and it is increasingly used in the field of reliability. After focusing on the engineering systems, the book subsequently discusses twelve important issues in the BN-based reliability methodologies, such as BN structure modeling, BN parameter modeling, BN inference, validation, and verification. As such, it is a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners in the field of reliability engineering.

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment PDF Author: Dana Kelly
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1849961875
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 230

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Book Description
Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software. This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described. A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic selection of an appropriate MCMC sampling scheme for a given problem. The authors provide analysis “building blocks” that can be modified, combined, or used as-is to solve a variety of challenging problems. The MCMC approach used is implemented via textual scripts similar to a macro-type programming language. Accompanying most scripts is a graphical Bayesian network illustrating the elements of the script and the overall inference problem being solved. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment also covers the important topics of MCMC convergence and Bayesian model checking. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment is aimed at scientists and engineers who perform or review risk analyses. It provides an analytical structure for combining data and information from various sources to generate estimates of the parameters of uncertainty distributions used in risk and reliability models.

Bayesian Reliability

Bayesian Reliability PDF Author: Michael S. Hamada
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387779507
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 445

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Book Description
Bayesian Reliability presents modern methods and techniques for analyzing reliability data from a Bayesian perspective. The adoption and application of Bayesian methods in virtually all branches of science and engineering have significantly increased over the past few decades. This increase is largely due to advances in simulation-based computational tools for implementing Bayesian methods. The authors extensively use such tools throughout this book, focusing on assessing the reliability of components and systems with particular attention to hierarchical models and models incorporating explanatory variables. Such models include failure time regression models, accelerated testing models, and degradation models. The authors pay special attention to Bayesian goodness-of-fit testing, model validation, reliability test design, and assurance test planning. Throughout the book, the authors use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for implementing Bayesian analyses -- algorithms that make the Bayesian approach to reliability computationally feasible and conceptually straightforward. This book is primarily a reference collection of modern Bayesian methods in reliability for use by reliability practitioners. There are more than 70 illustrative examples, most of which utilize real-world data. This book can also be used as a textbook for a course in reliability and contains more than 160 exercises. Noteworthy highlights of the book include Bayesian approaches for the following: Goodness-of-fit and model selection methods Hierarchical models for reliability estimation Fault tree analysis methodology that supports data acquisition at all levels in the tree Bayesian networks in reliability analysis Analysis of failure count and failure time data collected from repairable systems, and the assessment of various related performance criteria Analysis of nondestructive and destructive degradation data Optimal design of reliability experiments Hierarchical reliability assurance testing

Advances in System Reliability Engineering

Advances in System Reliability Engineering PDF Author: Mangey Ram
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128162724
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 320

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Book Description
Recent Advances in System Reliability Engineering describes and evaluates the latest tools, techniques, strategies, and methods in this topic for a variety of applications. Special emphasis is put on simulation and modelling technology which is growing in influence in industry, and presents challenges as well as opportunities to reliability and systems engineers. Several manufacturing engineering applications are addressed, making this a particularly valuable reference for readers in that sector. - Contains comprehensive discussions on state-of-the-art tools, techniques, and strategies from industry - Connects the latest academic research to applications in industry including system reliability, safety assessment, and preventive maintenance - Gives an in-depth analysis of the benefits and applications of modelling and simulation to reliability

Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks

Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks PDF Author: Norman Fenton
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439809100
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 527

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Book Description
Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models. Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. A dedicated website, www.BayesianRisk.com, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software.

Reliability and Availability Engineering

Reliability and Availability Engineering PDF Author: Kishor S. Trivedi
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107099501
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 729

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Book Description
Learn about the techniques used for evaluating the reliability and availability of engineered systems with this comprehensive guide.

System and Bayesian Reliability

System and Bayesian Reliability PDF Author: Yu Hayakawa
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789812799548
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 444

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Book Description
This volume is a collection of articles on reliability systems and Bayesian reliability analysis. Written by reputable researchers, the articles are self-contained and are linked with literature reviews and new research ideas. The book is dedicated to Emeritus Professor Richard E Barlow, who is well known for his pioneering research on reliability theory and Bayesian reliability analysis. Contents: System Reliability Analysis: On Regular Reliability Models (J-C Chang et al.); Bounding System Reliability (J N Hagstrom & S M Ross); Large Excesses for Finite-State Markov Chains (D Blackwell); Ageing Properties: Nonmonotonic Failure Rates and Mean Residual Life Functions (R C Gupta); The Failure Rate and the Mean Residual Lifetime of Mixtures (M S Finkelstein); On Some Discrete Notions of Aging (C Bracquemond et al.); Bayesian Analysis: On the Practical Implementation of the Bayesian Paradigm in Reliability and Risk Analysis (T Aven); A Weibull Wearout Test: Full Bayesian Approach (T Z Irony et al.); Bayesian Nonparametric Estimation of a Monotone Hazard Rate (M-W Ho & A Y Lo); and other papers. Readership: Students, academics, researchers and professionals in industrial engineering, probability and statistics, and applied mathematics.

Probability Distributions Used in Reliability Engineering

Probability Distributions Used in Reliability Engineering PDF Author: Andrew N O'Connor
Publisher: RIAC
ISBN: 1933904062
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 220

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Book Description
The book provides details on 22 probability distributions. Each distribution section provides a graphical visualization and formulas for distribution parameters, along with distribution formulas. Common statistics such as moments and percentile formulas are followed by likelihood functions and in many cases the derivation of maximum likelihood estimates. Bayesian non-informative and conjugate priors are provided followed by a discussion on the distribution characteristics and applications in reliability engineering.

Modeling and Reasoning with Bayesian Networks

Modeling and Reasoning with Bayesian Networks PDF Author: Adnan Darwiche
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521884381
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 561

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Book Description
This book provides a thorough introduction to the formal foundations and practical applications of Bayesian networks. It provides an extensive discussion of techniques for building Bayesian networks that model real-world situations, including techniques for synthesizing models from design, learning models from data, and debugging models using sensitivity analysis. It also treats exact and approximate inference algorithms at both theoretical and practical levels. The author assumes very little background on the covered subjects, supplying in-depth discussions for theoretically inclined readers and enough practical details to provide an algorithmic cookbook for the system developer.

Structural and System Reliability

Structural and System Reliability PDF Author: Armen Der Kiureghian
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108998437
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 610

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Book Description
Based on material taught at the University of California, Berkeley, this textbook offers a modern, rigorous and comprehensive treatment of the methods of structural and system reliability analysis. It covers the first- and second-order reliability methods for components and systems, simulation methods, time- and space-variant reliability, and Bayesian parameter estimation and reliability updating. It also presents more advanced, state-of-the-art topics such as finite-element reliability methods, stochastic structural dynamics, reliability-based optimal design, and Bayesian networks. A wealth of well-designed examples connect theory with practice, with simple examples demonstrating mathematical concepts and larger examples demonstrating their applications. End-of-chapter homework problems are included throughout. Including all necessary background material from probability theory, and accompanied online by a solutions manual and PowerPoint slides for instructors, this is the ideal text for senior undergraduate and graduate students taking courses on structural and system reliability in departments of civil, environmental and mechanical engineering.