An Analysis of the Impact of Trade Liberalization on China’s Dairy Market: a Spatial Equilibrium Model PDF Download
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Author: M. He
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
In China, the dairy market has expanded in recent years and it relies heavily on the imports from foreign countries. During the past decades, the Chinese dairy market kept opening, and the fast development of China’s dairy trade calls for a research analyzing the effect of trade liberalization on the dairy sector. In this research, we provide a quantitative assessment of the implications of liberalization of the international trade in dairy products between China and its trading partners using a spatial equilibrium model. The model is developed based on 2011 data from open databases. The following five questions are answered in this paper: (1) What is the current situation of China’s dairy sector and how does China’s dairy market develop? (2) What policies are relevant for dairy trade between China and its trade partners now and in the future? (3) How can dairy trade of China be modeled? (4) What data on demand, supply and trade are necessary and available to construct a spatial equilibrium model? (5) What are the effects of trade liberalization on the dairy sector in China? Three scenarios of different levels of trade liberalization are simulated and the simulation result proves the positive influence of trade liberalization on Chinese dairy sector from a welfare perspective. Based on the results, we come up with some policy recommendations. Throughout the thesis, chapter 1 provides a general description of the background and problem analysis. Chapter 2 describes the development of China’s dairy sector and relevant trade policies. A trade model has been developed in Chapter 3. Next, Chapter 4 focuses on the effects of trade liberalization using a graphical analysis. Chapter 5 details the scenarios and simulation results. Finally, Chapter 6 presents the conclusions, recommendations and discussion.
Author: M. He
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
In China, the dairy market has expanded in recent years and it relies heavily on the imports from foreign countries. During the past decades, the Chinese dairy market kept opening, and the fast development of China’s dairy trade calls for a research analyzing the effect of trade liberalization on the dairy sector. In this research, we provide a quantitative assessment of the implications of liberalization of the international trade in dairy products between China and its trading partners using a spatial equilibrium model. The model is developed based on 2011 data from open databases. The following five questions are answered in this paper: (1) What is the current situation of China’s dairy sector and how does China’s dairy market develop? (2) What policies are relevant for dairy trade between China and its trade partners now and in the future? (3) How can dairy trade of China be modeled? (4) What data on demand, supply and trade are necessary and available to construct a spatial equilibrium model? (5) What are the effects of trade liberalization on the dairy sector in China? Three scenarios of different levels of trade liberalization are simulated and the simulation result proves the positive influence of trade liberalization on Chinese dairy sector from a welfare perspective. Based on the results, we come up with some policy recommendations. Throughout the thesis, chapter 1 provides a general description of the background and problem analysis. Chapter 2 describes the development of China’s dairy sector and relevant trade policies. A trade model has been developed in Chapter 3. Next, Chapter 4 focuses on the effects of trade liberalization using a graphical analysis. Chapter 5 details the scenarios and simulation results. Finally, Chapter 6 presents the conclusions, recommendations and discussion.
Author: Yong Zhu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dairy farming
Languages : en
Pages : 248
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Author: Yong Zhu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 314
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Author: Wasim Ahmed
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 12
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The aim of this review to call attention towards the impacts of exchange liberalization on the dairy industry, and these impacts are vital concerning the monetary development of a country. The focus of this literature is on certain issues of proficiency and worldwide competitiveness of the dairy segment in an open economy environment. It identifies the sensational competition raise in the dairy sector affected by China's liberalization programs, via signing trade agreements with several countries across the globe, and the execution of the World Trade Organization (WTO) agreements. It gives an outline of the WTO Agreement on Agriculture and its impacts on the dairy part. So we have concentrated on specific parts of dairy, particularly production, demand and trade policies to empower dairy holders under the worldwide competitiveness and indicators like the local asset cost proportion. China dairy production was 36 million tons during 2010, however alarmingly declined up to 26.52 million tons in 2014. The production declined had driven towards import from out of the country, in this manner strategies and agreements require certain facilitations to meet local dairy items demands in China. The impacts of duties by developed nations to lessen taxes, local support and export subsidies have been insignificant and unless these nations fundamentally diminish the exchange distorting endorsements to their dairy segment it will be troublesome for China to contend with the global market.
Author: Tingjun Peng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 25
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Author: Andreas Kopp
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Competition
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Author: Suchada Langley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 26
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A partial-equilibrium, multiple-commodity, multiregion model of agricultural policy and trade is used to simulate the effects of changes in domestic and trade policy on dairy production, consumption, prices, and trade. Simulations using the ERS-Penn State Trade model analyze the effects of separately and concurrently relaxing domestic income and price supports, and import restrictions and export subsidies, with special attention to tariff-rate and milk production quotas. Modeling results indicate that liberalization would reduce world dairy product supplies and increase the value of dairy trade.
Author: Huiyuan Zou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Rising values of Chinese dairy imports in recent years generated studies exploring the market potentials for future importing. These studies typically treat the country and its population as uniform and undifferentiated, with homogeneous consumption and production patterns, ignoring the fact that demographic and geographic features are very different across China. At the same time, China's milk production is expanding rapidly, and unevenly in the last 20 years. The supply of milk, a highly perishable commodity, makes the geographic location of production and spatial price differences important factors in defining the availability of milk to populations across the country. The scenarios of inter-regional trade of milk powder and other storable dairy products across China are emerging. This paper is devoted to building an inter-regional dairy trade model for China, and predicting its dynamic internal dairy trade flow under free trade scenario. This paper updates and summarizes dairy product consumption and supply trends in China, and divides China in four regions. Panel data is used to check consumer and producer responses in different regions, and, at the same time, serve as a test for the hypothesis that China's dairy consumption preference and production patterns are different across the country. Partial equilibrium is the framework used to build the inter-regional dairy trade model. Our results show that in the major milk producing of Northwestern China producers will suffer most and local consumers may not benefit that much. Eastern China, the richest area, is not benefiting as much from free trade since its high income consumers are not that price sensitive. This region will continue to be the largest importer among the four regions. Inland China and Western China are less price sensitive in production but more price responsive in consumption. With price reduction under free trade, these regions gain more and a free trade policy will stimulate the imports in these two regions.
Author: Anthony N. Rezitis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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This study investigates the impact of trade liberalisation on the spatial price co-movements between the dairy markets of the EU, Oceania, and the United States. We consider two main dairy products, namely butter and whole milk powder (WMP), and employ R-Vines to assess the development of the tail dependence between the price series. We split the time span (i.e. 2000-2017) in December 2007 to capture the change in the tail dependence as well as in the potential of each region to act as the central market. Our findings indicate that the EU acts as the central market for butter in both sub-periods, whereas the EU succeeds Oceania in acting as the central market for WMP from the first sub-period to the next. Further findings highlight slightly increasing tail dependence in the butter market and in the WMP market for the EU-OCE and EU-US pairs. However, the tail dependence for the WMP prices between Oceania and the United States weakens, in which we attribute to the 2013 Chinese ban on milk powder imports from Oceania.
Author: Jikun Huang
Publisher: Cgprt Centre Regional Co-Ordinat Development of Coarse Grain
ISBN:
Category : Free trade
Languages : en
Pages : 108
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