A test of efficiency for the S&P 500 index option market using variance forecasts

A test of efficiency for the S&P 500 index option market using variance forecasts PDF Author: Jaesun Noh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : es
Pages : 29

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A test of efficiency for the S&P 500 index option market using variance forecasts

A test of efficiency for the S&P 500 index option market using variance forecasts PDF Author: Jaesun Noh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : es
Pages : 29

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Book Description


Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets

Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets PDF Author: Stephen Satchell
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080471420
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 428

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Book Description
Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets, Third Edition assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting-edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It provides a survey of ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return. Editors John Knight and Stephen Satchell have brought together an impressive array of contributors who present research from their area of specialization related to volatility forecasting. Readers with an understanding of volatility measures and risk management strategies will benefit from this collection of up-to-date chapters on the latest techniques in forecasting volatility. Chapters new to this third edition:* What good is a volatility model? Engle and Patton* Applications for portfolio variety Dan diBartolomeo* A comparison of the properties of realized variance for the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 equity indices Rob Cornish* Volatility modeling and forecasting in finance Xiao and Aydemir* An investigation of the relative performance of GARCH models versus simple rules in forecasting volatility Thomas A. Silvey Leading thinkers present newest research on volatility forecasting International authors cover a broad array of subjects related to volatility forecasting Assumes basic knowledge of volatility, financial mathematics, and modelling

Essays on Option Market and Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots

Essays on Option Market and Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots PDF Author: Jaesun Noh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 282

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Evaluating Volatility Forecasts in Option Pricing in the Context of a Simulated Options Market

Evaluating Volatility Forecasts in Option Pricing in the Context of a Simulated Options Market PDF Author: Evdokia Xekalaki
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 17

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Book Description
The performance of an ARCH model selection algorithm based on the standardized prediction error criterion (SPEC) is evaluated. The evaluation of the algorithm is performed by comparing different volatility forecasts in option pricing through the simulation of an options market. Traders employing the SPEC model selection algorithm use the model with the lowest sum of squared standardized one-step-ahead prediction errors for obtaining their volatility forecast. The cumulative profits of the participants in pricing one-day index straddle options always using variance forecasts obtained by GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH models are compared to those made by the participants using variance forecasts obtained by models suggested by the SPEC algorithm. The straddles are priced on the Standard and Poor 500 (Samp;P500) index. It is concluded that traders, who base their selection of an ARCH model on the SPEC algorithm, achieve higher profits than those, who use only a single ARCH model. Moreover, the SPEC algorithm is compared with other criteria of model selection that measure the ability of the ARCH models to forecast the realized intra-day volatility. In this case too, the SPEC algorithm users achieve the highest returns. Thus, the SPEC model selection method appears to be a useful tool in selecting the appropriate model for estimating future volatility in pricing derivatives.

Index-option Pricing with Stochastic Volatility and the Value of Accurate Variance Forecasts

Index-option Pricing with Stochastic Volatility and the Value of Accurate Variance Forecasts PDF Author: Robert F. Engle
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stock options
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
In pricing primary-market options and in making secondary markets, financial intermediaries depend on the quality of forecasts of the variance of the underlying assets. Hence, the gain from improved pricing of options would be a measure of the value of a forecast of underlying asset returns. NYSE index returns over the period of 1968-1991 are used to suggest that pricing index options of up to 90-days maturity would be more accurate when: (1) using ARCH specifications in place of a moving average of squared returns; (2) using Hull and White's (1987) adjustment for stochastic variance in Black and Scholes's (1973) formula; (3) accounting explicitly for weekends and the slowdown of variance whenever the market is closed.

Pricing Efficiency in the Long-term Index Options Market

Pricing Efficiency in the Long-term Index Options Market PDF Author: Anuradha Kandikuppa
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Options (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 250

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Book Description


Relative Futures-option Pricing and Options on S & P 500 Index Futures

Relative Futures-option Pricing and Options on S & P 500 Index Futures PDF Author: Patrick Henry Marchand
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Futures
Languages : en
Pages : 330

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Book Description


Handbook of Insurance

Handbook of Insurance PDF Author: Georges Dionne
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461401550
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1133

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Book Description
This new edition of the Handbook of Insurance reviews the last forty years of research developments in insurance and its related fields. A single reference source for professors, researchers, graduate students, regulators, consultants and practitioners, the book starts with the history and foundations of risk and insurance theory, followed by a review of prevention and precaution, asymmetric information, risk management, insurance pricing, new financial innovations, reinsurance, corporate governance, capital allocation, securitization, systemic risk, insurance regulation, the industrial organization of insurance markets and other insurance market applications. It ends with health insurance, longevity risk, long-term care insurance, life insurance financial products and social insurance. This second version of the Handbook contains 15 new chapters. Each of the 37 chapters has been written by leading authorities in risk and insurance research, all contributions have been peer reviewed, and each chapter can be read independently of the others.

Trading Volatility Spreads

Trading Volatility Spreads PDF Author: Peter F. Pope
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

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Book Description
If returns on two assets share common volatility components, the prices of options on the assets should be interdependent and the implied volatility spread should mean revert. We, first demonstrate, using the canonical correlation method, that there is a common component among the volatilities of the returns on Samp;P 100 and Samp;P 500 indexes. We then exploit this commonality by trading on the volatility spread between tick-by-tick OEX and SPX call options listed on the CBOE. Our vega-delta-neutral strategies generated significant profits, even after transaction costs are taken into account. The results suggest that the two options markets are not jointly efficient.

Statistical Methods in Finance

Statistical Methods in Finance PDF Author: G. S. Maddala
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 760

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Book Description
A comprehensive reference work for teaching at graduate level and research in empirical finance. The chapters cover a wide range of statistical and probabilistic methods applied to a variety of financial methods and are written by internationally renowned experts.