British Museum Catalogue of Printed Books

British Museum Catalogue of Printed Books PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 502

Get Book Here

Book Description

British Museum Catalogue of Printed Books

British Museum Catalogue of Printed Books PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 502

Get Book Here

Book Description


United States Customs Court Reports

United States Customs Court Reports PDF Author: United States. Customs Court
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Customs administration
Languages : en
Pages : 572

Get Book Here

Book Description


Catalogue of Printed Books

Catalogue of Printed Books PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 500

Get Book Here

Book Description


Proceedings of the City Council of the City of Minneapolis, Minnesota from

Proceedings of the City Council of the City of Minneapolis, Minnesota from PDF Author: Minneapolis (Minn.). City Council
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Minneapolis (Minn.)
Languages : en
Pages : 1488

Get Book Here

Book Description


Report of Cases Adjudged in the Superior Court of Cincinnati at Special and General Terms

Report of Cases Adjudged in the Superior Court of Cincinnati at Special and General Terms PDF Author: William Disney
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Law reports, digests, etc
Languages : en
Pages : 1354

Get Book Here

Book Description


Guidelines Manual

Guidelines Manual PDF Author: United States Sentencing Commission
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Sentences (Criminal procedure)
Languages : en
Pages : 68

Get Book Here

Book Description


Expert Political Judgment

Expert Political Judgment PDF Author: Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400888816
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 368

Get Book Here

Book Description
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.

The National Union Catalog, Pre-1956 Imprints

The National Union Catalog, Pre-1956 Imprints PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Union catalogs
Languages : en
Pages : 624

Get Book Here

Book Description


Notices of Judgment Under the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act

Notices of Judgment Under the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act PDF Author: United States. Food and Drug Administration
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Food law and legislation
Languages : en
Pages : 812

Get Book Here

Book Description


Proceedings of the City Council of the City of Minneapolis

Proceedings of the City Council of the City of Minneapolis PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Minneapolis (Minn.)
Languages : en
Pages : 1472

Get Book Here

Book Description