A Comparative Study of Technical Trading Rules, Time-series Trading Rules and Combined Technical and Time-series Trading Strategies in the Australian Stock Exchange PDF Download
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Author: Elaine Loh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investment analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 466
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Book Description
[Truncated abstract] This thesis examines and compares the performance of three classes of stock trading strategies in the Australian stock market from 1980 to 2002. ... The first segment of this thesis examines some simple technical trading rules with a twostep methodology ... Our standard test results show that technical trading rules generate excess returns higher than that of the buy-and-hold portfolio equivalent prior to 1991, but generate lower returns in the period post-1991. Bootstrap test results also show that addressing nonnormality, time-dependence and conditional heteroskedasticity in the data reverses the standard test outcome of predictability ... In addition, our sub-sample results also show technical trading rules becoming less profitable over time ... The second segment of this thesis examines trading rules based on the forecasts of four time-series models: the AR(1), AR(1)-GARCH(1,1), AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-M and AR(1)- EGARCH(1,1) models. These time-series trading rules were examined with standard t-tests and found to be significantly less profitable compared to technical trading rules. Subsample results also show the time-series trading rules losing profitability over time, which supports the conjecture that the Australian stock market became increasingly efficient over time. The third segment of this thesis examines trading strategies based on various combinations of technical trading rules and time-series models ... Due to the weak performance of the time-series trading rules, our results show that combining technical rules with time-series models do not lead to improved forecast accuracy. Sub-sample results again show a strong decline in profitability post-1991, suggesting that technological advancements in the ASX since 1991 enhance market efficiency such that the above simple stock trading strategies are no longer profitable.
Author: Elaine Loh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investment analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 466
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Book Description
[Truncated abstract] This thesis examines and compares the performance of three classes of stock trading strategies in the Australian stock market from 1980 to 2002. ... The first segment of this thesis examines some simple technical trading rules with a twostep methodology ... Our standard test results show that technical trading rules generate excess returns higher than that of the buy-and-hold portfolio equivalent prior to 1991, but generate lower returns in the period post-1991. Bootstrap test results also show that addressing nonnormality, time-dependence and conditional heteroskedasticity in the data reverses the standard test outcome of predictability ... In addition, our sub-sample results also show technical trading rules becoming less profitable over time ... The second segment of this thesis examines trading rules based on the forecasts of four time-series models: the AR(1), AR(1)-GARCH(1,1), AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-M and AR(1)- EGARCH(1,1) models. These time-series trading rules were examined with standard t-tests and found to be significantly less profitable compared to technical trading rules. Subsample results also show the time-series trading rules losing profitability over time, which supports the conjecture that the Australian stock market became increasingly efficient over time. The third segment of this thesis examines trading strategies based on various combinations of technical trading rules and time-series models ... Due to the weak performance of the time-series trading rules, our results show that combining technical rules with time-series models do not lead to improved forecast accuracy. Sub-sample results again show a strong decline in profitability post-1991, suggesting that technological advancements in the ASX since 1991 enhance market efficiency such that the above simple stock trading strategies are no longer profitable.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Asia
Languages : en
Pages : 206
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Book Description
Author: Christian L. Dunis
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470871342
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 426
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Book Description
This book provides a manual on quantitative financial analysis. Focusing on advanced methods for modelling financial markets in the context of practical financial applications, it will cover data, software and techniques that will enable the reader to implement and interpret quantitative methodologies, specifically for trading and investment. Includes contributions from an international team of academics and quantitative asset managers from Morgan Stanley, Barclays Global Investors, ABN AMRO and Credit Suisse First Boston. Fills the gap for a book on applied quantitative investment & trading models Provides details of how to combine various models to manage and trade a portfolio
Author: Ito, Akitoshi
Publisher: London : Western Business School, University of Western Ontario
ISBN: 9780771419195
Category : Stock price forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 19
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Book Description
Author: Philipp Jan Siegert
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3638432440
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 76
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Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2005 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: A, Sophia Antipolis Campus (France); SKEMA Business School (Global Finance Chair), language: English, abstract: Most banks and the recently upcoming hedge fund industry rely to a different extent on technical trading rules and technical analysis. The fact that these technical trading rules yield superior returns in practice raises several questions that will be examined in the thesis. First, one of the most crucial questions is in which assets technical trading rules perform extraordinarily well. This analysis is based on a risk-return approach with an assessment of the negative standard deviation of each asset as a risk indicator. Second, the statistical significance of technical trading is examined by using a simulation method known as bootstrap. Third, null models are simulated to answer the question to what extent autoregressive models and GARCH models are able to capture the dependencies in the time series. Finally, a rule optimizer is used to assess if any rule parameters yield superior returns over a wide range of assets. We find that under a risk-return perspective trading rules look very attractive as most rules are able to significantly reduce the negative standard deviation compared to a buy-and-hold strategy. However, not all rules are able to outperform a simple buy-and-hold strategy in terms of absolute return. Statistical significance is generally weak and only some rules can be qualified as highly statistically significant. We do not find much evidence that autoregressive and GARCH null models perform well in capturing the dependencies that lead to superior returns of technical trading rules. With respect to trading rule parameters we find that shorter rules generally perform better when trading costs are not considered and that currencies benefited from a larger standard deviation trading band.
Author: Celebi, Numan
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1522500766
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 374
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Book Description
Data analysis forms the basis of many forms of research ranging from the scientific to the governmental. With the advent of machine intelligence and neural networks, extracting, modeling, and approaching data has been unimpeachably altered. These changes, seemingly small, affect the way societies organize themselves, deliver services, or interact with each other. Intelligent Techniques for Data Analysis in Diverse Settings addresses the specialized requirements of data analysis in a comprehensive way. This title contains a comprehensive overview of the most innovative recent approaches borne from intelligent techniques such as neural networks, rough sets, fuzzy sets, and metaheuristics. Combining new data analysis technologies, applications, emerging trends, and case studies, this publication reviews the intelligent, technological, and organizational aspects of the field. This book is ideally designed for IT professionals and students, data analysis specialists, healthcare providers, and policy makers.
Author: Elaine Loh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 42
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Book Description
Author: Minyi Guo
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540405232
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 462
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Book Description
The refereed proceedings of the International Symposium on Parallel and Distributed Processing and Applications, ISPA 2003, held in Aizu, Japan in July 2003. The 30 revised full papers and 9 revised short papers presented together with abstracts of 4 keynotes were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on applications on Web-based and intranet systems, compiler and optimization techniques, network routing, performance evaluation of parallel systems, wireless communication and mobile computing, parallel topology, data mining and evolutionary computing, image processing and modeling, network security, and database and multimedia systems.
Author: Jung-Soo Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 12
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Book Description
In this paper, we apply the 7,846 technical trading rules considered by Sullivan et al. (1999) to a stock index, some individual stocks, some currencies and some interest rate futures contracts traded in the Australian financial markets. Size distortions due to data-snooping are avoided by using the Reality Check test of White (2000) and the Superior Predictive Ability test of Hansen (2005). We find no evidence that technical trading rules provide trading profits in excess of those available from a simple buy-and-hold strategy.
Author: Pradeep Kumar Mallick
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811610568
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 961
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Book Description
This book presents best selected research papers presented at the 3rd International Conference on Cognitive Informatics and Soft Computing (CISC 2020), held at Balasore College of Engineering & Technology, Balasore, Odisha, India, from 12 to 13 December 2020. It highlights, in particular, innovative research in the fields of cognitive informatics, cognitive computing, computational intelligence, advanced computing, and hybrid intelligent models and applications. New algorithms and methods in a variety of fields are presented, together with solution-based approaches. The topics addressed include various theoretical aspects and applications of computer science, artificial intelligence, cybernetics, automation control theory, and software engineering.
