The Making of National Economic Forecasts

The Making of National Economic Forecasts PDF Author: Lawrence Robert Klein
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1849802165
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 400

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Book Description
In this valuable volume, Nobel Prize-winner Klein gathers together a group of authors who focus on forecasting models for a number of economies. The variety of the models and the structural differences among them are especially interesting. . . Readers interested in forecasting methodologies will find much of value in this volume. Highly recommended. I. Walter, Choice This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecast users and also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.

The Making of National Economic Forecasts

The Making of National Economic Forecasts PDF Author: Lawrence Robert Klein
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1849802165
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 400

Get Book Here

Book Description
In this valuable volume, Nobel Prize-winner Klein gathers together a group of authors who focus on forecasting models for a number of economies. The variety of the models and the structural differences among them are especially interesting. . . Readers interested in forecasting methodologies will find much of value in this volume. Highly recommended. I. Walter, Choice This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecast users and also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

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Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Kernel Smoothing

Kernel Smoothing PDF Author: M.P. Wand
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1482216124
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 227

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Book Description
Kernel smoothing refers to a general methodology for recovery of underlying structure in data sets. The basic principle is that local averaging or smoothing is performed with respect to a kernel function. This book provides uninitiated readers with a feeling for the principles, applications, and analysis of kernel smoothers. This is facilita

Estimating and Interpreting the Yield Curve

Estimating and Interpreting the Yield Curve PDF Author: Nicola Anderson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 248

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Book Description
A yield curve is a graph indicating the term structure of interest rates by plotting the yields of all bonds of the same quality. This book provides a thorough analysis of estimation techniques and a survey of yield curve interpretation. On the former it is the most advanced book in its field, on the latter it provides an introduction to more specialised texts. It also provides important insight into the latest thinking on these techniques at the Bank of England.

The Oxford Handbook of Applied Nonparametric and Semiparametric Econometrics and Statistics

The Oxford Handbook of Applied Nonparametric and Semiparametric Econometrics and Statistics PDF Author: Jeffrey Racine
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199857946
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 562

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Book Description
This volume, edited by Jeffrey Racine, Liangjun Su, and Aman Ullah, contains the latest research on nonparametric and semiparametric econometrics and statistics. Chapters by leading international econometricians and statisticians highlight the interface between econometrics and statistical methods for nonparametric and semiparametric procedures.

European Fixed Income Markets

European Fixed Income Markets PDF Author: Jonathan A. Batten
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470092874
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 504

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Book Description
The introduction of the euro in 1999 cast a new focus on the financial markets of constituent euro-zone countries, which have subsequently emerged with the second largest bond market in the world. This new book offers in depth insights and advice for any practitioner in the European fixed-income and ancillary derivative markets, and includes in-depth analysis of euro and non-euro markets as well as emerging countries.

Statistical Modeling Using Local Gaussian Approximation

Statistical Modeling Using Local Gaussian Approximation PDF Author: Dag Tjøstheim
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128154454
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 460

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Book Description
Statistical Modeling using Local Gaussian Approximation extends powerful characteristics of the Gaussian distribution, perhaps, the most well-known and most used distribution in statistics, to a large class of non-Gaussian and nonlinear situations through local approximation. This extension enables the reader to follow new methods in assessing dependence and conditional dependence, in estimating probability and spectral density functions, and in discrimination. Chapters in this release cover Parametric, nonparametric, locally parametric, Dependence, Local Gaussian correlation and dependence, Local Gaussian correlation and the copula, Applications in finance, and more. Additional chapters explores Measuring dependence and testing for independence, Time series dependence and spectral analysis, Multivariate density estimation, Conditional density estimation, The local Gaussian partial correlation, Regression and conditional regression quantiles, and a A local Gaussian Fisher discriminant. - Reviews local dependence modeling with applications to time series and finance markets - Introduces new techniques for density estimation, conditional density estimation, and tests of conditional independence with applications in economics - Evaluates local spectral analysis, discovering hidden frequencies in extremes and hidden phase differences - Integrates textual content with three useful R packages

Fixed Income Modelling

Fixed Income Modelling PDF Author: Claus Munk
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199575088
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 573

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Book Description
A large number of securities related to various interest rates are traded in financial markets. Traders and analysts in the financial industry apply models based on economics, mathematics and probability theory to compute reasonable prices and risk measures for these securities. This book offers a unified presentation of such models and securities.

Statistical Analysis of Financial Data in R

Statistical Analysis of Financial Data in R PDF Author: René Carmona
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461487889
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 595

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Book Description
Although there are many books on mathematical finance, few deal with the statistical aspects of modern data analysis as applied to financial problems. This textbook fills this gap by addressing some of the most challenging issues facing financial engineers. It shows how sophisticated mathematics and modern statistical techniques can be used in the solutions of concrete financial problems. Concerns of risk management are addressed by the study of extreme values, the fitting of distributions with heavy tails, the computation of values at risk (VaR), and other measures of risk. Principal component analysis (PCA), smoothing, and regression techniques are applied to the construction of yield and forward curves. Time series analysis is applied to the study of temperature options and nonparametric estimation. Nonlinear filtering is applied to Monte Carlo simulations, option pricing and earnings prediction. This textbook is intended for undergraduate students majoring in financial engineering, or graduate students in a Master in finance or MBA program. It is sprinkled with practical examples using market data, and each chapter ends with exercises. Practical examples are solved in the R computing environment. They illustrate problems occurring in the commodity, energy and weather markets, as well as the fixed income, equity and credit markets. The examples, experiments and problem sets are based on the library Rsafd developed for the purpose of the text. The book should help quantitative analysts learn and implement advanced statistical concepts. Also, it will be valuable for researchers wishing to gain experience with financial data, implement and test mathematical theories, and address practical issues that are often ignored or underestimated in academic curricula. This is the new, fully-revised edition to the book Statistical Analysis of Financial Data in S-Plus. René Carmona is the Paul M. Wythes '55 Professor of Engineering and Finance at Princeton University in the department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, and Director of Graduate Studies of the Bendheim Center for Finance. His publications include over one hundred articles and eight books in probability and statistics. He was elected Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics in 1984, and of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics in 2010. He is on the editorial board of several peer-reviewed journals and book series. Professor Carmona has developed computer programs for teaching statistics and research in signal analysis and financial engineering. He has worked for many years on energy, the commodity markets and more recently in environmental economics, and he is recognized as a leading researcher and expert in these areas.

Journal of Econometrics

Journal of Econometrics PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 860

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Book Description