Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets PDF Author: Annie Duke
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0735216371
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 289

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Book Description
A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.

Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets PDF Author: Annie Duke
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0735216371
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 289

Get Book Here

Book Description
A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.

What You Think of Me is None of My Business

What You Think of Me is None of My Business PDF Author: Terry Cole-Whittaker
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 059333308X
Category : Self-Help
Languages : en
Pages : 226

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Book Description
You have a God-given right to happiness, wealth, and success. In this dynamic book by Reverend Terry Cole-Whittaker, you’ll learn how to cast off the shackles of fear and false beliefs to discover your own inner path—the route to your inborn talents and limitless potential! Explore your deepest feelings with self-awareness strategies and consciousness-raising exercises. Learn how to cope with physical, mental, and spiritual problems, involving love, money, risk-taking, relationships, guilt, self-reliance, self-image, sexuality, and more. It’s all here in one astonishing book: the motivation, tools, and tactics to resolve personal conflicts—and change your life forever!

You Become What You Think About

You Become What You Think About PDF Author: Vic Johnson
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781937918811
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 130

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Book Description
Buddha declared that, "The mind is everything. What you think you become." "You become what you think about all day long" is how Ralph Waldo Emerson expressed it. In "The Strangest Secret," the only personal development recording ever to receive a Gold Record, Earl Nightingale reveals that the secret is "You become what you think about." Using that principle, you can create an entirely different world than you live in today. Bruce Lee returned to the United States at the age of 18 with $100 in his pocket and the idea he often quoted that "As you think, you become." By the time of his early death a scant 14 years later, he had become a major motion picture icon and the father of mixed martial arts. Your subconscious mind is responsible for just about every major thing in your life. You don't have to consciously think about breathing, your heart beating, walking, or how to properly digest and metabolize the food you eat. Without the cooperation of your subconscious -- the deep recesses of your inner self -- change can be difficult to impossible. You might consciously have tried to lose weight. But if your subconscious mind was fixated on fattening food and how difficult exercise was, the experience was probably a challenge or a dismal failure. Therefore, changing one or more aspects of your life can't occur until you affect change on your subconscious. In "You Become What You Think About: How Your Mind Creates The World You Live In," Vic Johnson will take you step-by-step as he shows you how to harness and use the power of directed thought in your life.

What I Talk About When I Talk About Running

What I Talk About When I Talk About Running PDF Author: Haruki Murakami
Publisher: Vintage Canada
ISBN: 0307373088
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 194

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Book Description
From the best-selling author of The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle and After Dark, a rich and revelatory memoir about writing and running, and the integral impact both have made on his life. In 1982, having sold his jazz bar to devote himself to writing, Haruki Murakami began running to keep fit. A year later, he’d completed a solo course from Athens to Marathon, and now, after dozens of such races, not to mention triathlons and a slew of critically acclaimed books, he reflects upon the influence the sport has had on his life and—even more important—on his writing. Equal parts training log, travelogue, and reminiscence, this revealing memoir covers his four-month preparation for the 2005 New York City Marathon and includes settings ranging from Tokyo’s Jingu Gaien gardens, where he once shared the course with an Olympian, to the Charles River in Boston among young women who outpace him. Through this marvellous lens of sport emerges a cornucopia of memories and insights: the eureka moment when he decided to become a writer, his greatest triumphs and disappointments, his passion for vintage LPs and the experience, after the age of fifty, of seeing his race times improve and then fall back. By turns funny and sobering, playful and philosophical, What I Talk About When I Talk About Running is both for fans of this masterful yet guardedly private writer and for the exploding population of athletes who find similar satisfaction in distance running.

What I Think About

What I Think About PDF Author: Beverly J. Ward
Publisher: WestBow Press
ISBN: 151273330X
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 140

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Book Description
There are far too many people hurting and with feelings of being left out of the blessings of God. The church is busy dealing with the world and its worldly ways of living in this world. Not wanting to offend anyone, they sometimes look so much like the world that the Christian is finding it hard to separate themselves from the world. With Pop-Culture, Political Correctness, the New Normal, Rejection and other status-quo; the church must not be moved by the cares of this world, we must keep our eyes on the kingdom of God; our provider, the Lord our God. We are called to live in this world but to not live like the world. This in itself can be a slippery slope if not followed cautiously and patiently with the Word of God. We are commissioned by God to encourage the believer to live out their faith in Christ. I must tell them about Jesus and the rewards we as believer have in the anointed One. What I am doing is giving you key scriptures that has helped me to have a vital relationship with our heavenly Father, our brother and head of the church Jesus Christ, and the Holy Spirit, our guide in this life we live here on earth. It is possible to honor God with all your heart, all your mind, and all your spirit! God would not have commanded us to live like that and not have made away for us to do just that. What I Think About, thinking like a Christian will help guide you into using the power you have within to please God and to walk in the authority you have in Christ. We have but one person to answer to and that being Jesus. By Beverly J Ward

Why, God, Why?

Why, God, Why? PDF Author: Karen Jensen
Publisher: Charisma Media
ISBN: 1621362442
Category : Religion
Languages : en
Pages : 242

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Book Description
DIV Pastor Karen Jensen knows firsthand what it is like to experience personal tragedy. In this book she shares with readers that it’s OK to ask why, but it’s not OK to “camp out” there./div

What You Must Think of Me

What You Must Think of Me PDF Author: Emily Ford
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0190463473
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Book Description
We've all felt occasional pangs of shyness and self-consciousness, but for the 15 million Americans with social anxiety disorder, the fear of being scrutinized and criticized can reach disabling proportions. Such was the case for Emily Ford, who shares her firsthand experiences in these pages. Emily's true story of fear, struggle, and ultimate triumph is sure to resonate with other socially anxious teenagers and young adults. Emily's frank, often witty, sometimes poignant account of how she negotiated all the obstacles of social anxiety--and eventually overcame them with the help of therapy and hard work--makes for compelling reading. Yet this book is more than just a memoir. Emily's story is coupled with the latest medical and scientific information about the causes, diagnosis, treatment, and self-management of social anxiety disorder (or SAD). Readers will find a wealth of solid advice and genuine inspiration here. In engaging, accessible language--and with the help of psychiatrist Michael Liebowitz--she discusses what is known and not known about social anxiety disorder in adolescents. She outlines the various psychotherapies available for those with SAD and explains how to seek professional help, how to talk to family and friends about the illness, and how to handle difficult social situations. The result is both an absorbing story and a useful guide that will help to ease the isolation caused by SAD, encouraging young people to believe that, with commitment and hard work, they can overcome this illness. Part of the Adolescent Mental Health Initiative series of books written specifically for teens and young adults, What You Must Think of Me will also be a valuable resource for friends and family of those with SAD. It offers much-needed hope to young people, helping them to overcome this illness and lead healthy, productive lives.

Mindwise

Mindwise PDF Author: Nicholas Epley
Publisher: Vintage
ISBN: 030774356X
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 274

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Book Description
Winner of the 2015 Book Prize for the Promotion of Social and Personality Science (Society for Personality and Social Psychology) Why are we sometimes blind to the minds of others, treating them like objects or animals instead? Why do we talk to our cars, or the stars, as if there is a mind that can hear us? Why do we so routinely believe that others think, feel, and want what we do when, in fact, they do not? And why do we think we understand our spouses, family, and friends so much better than we actually do? In this illuminating book, leading social psychologist Nicholas Epley introduces us to what scientists have learned about our ability to understand the most complicated puzzle on the planet—other people—and the surprising mistakes we so routinely make. Mindwise will not turn others into open books, but it will give you the wisdom to revolutionize how you think about them—and yourself.

Endgame: The Calling

Endgame: The Calling PDF Author: James Frey
Publisher: Harper Collins
ISBN: 0062332600
Category : Young Adult Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 426

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Book Description
The New York Times bestseller and international multimedia phenomenon! In each generation, for thousands of years, twelve Players have been ready. But they never thought Endgame would happen. Until now. Omaha, Nebraska. Sarah Alopay stands at her graduation ceremony—class valedictorian, star athlete, a full life on the horizon. But when a meteor strikes the school, she survives. Because she is the Cahokian Player. Endgame has begun. Juliaca, Peru. At the same moment, thousands of miles away, another meteor strikes. But Jago Tlaloc is safe. He has a secret, and his secret makes him brave. Strong. Certain. He is the Olmec Player. He's ready. Ready for Endgame. Across the globe, twelve meteors slam into Earth. Cities burn. But Sarah and Jago and the ten others Players know the truth. The meteors carry a message. The Players have been summoned to The Calling. And now they must fight one another in order to survive. All but one will fail. But that one will save the world. This is Endgame.

Think and Grow Rich

Think and Grow Rich PDF Author: Napoleon Hill
Publisher: G&D Media
ISBN: 9781722505271
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 330

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Book Description
This complete 1937 classic text edition features an Afterword by Bob Proctor, a world-renowned speaker, motivational coach, author of bestselling books, as well as a Law of Attraction teacher.