What Does the Cross-Section Tell About Itself? Explaining Equity Risk Premia with Stock Return Moments PDF Download
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Author: Ilan Cooper
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 79
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Book Description
We derive a parsimonious three-factor asset pricing model (cross-sectional CAPM, CS-CAPM) in which stock return dispersion (realized cross-sectional variance of long-short equity portfolios) and stock return skewness (realized cross-sectional skewness of equity portfolios) are the driving forces in pricing cross-sectional equity risk premia. Market segmentation leads these two factors to be priced in equilibrium. The model offers a large fit for the joint cross-sectional risk premia associated with 16 prominent CAPM anomalies, with explanatory ratios above 40%. The CS-CAPM compares favorably with multifactor models widely used in the literature. The cross-sectional factors are not subsumed by traditional macro risk factors.
Author: Ilan Cooper
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 79
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Book Description
We derive a parsimonious three-factor asset pricing model (cross-sectional CAPM, CS-CAPM) in which stock return dispersion (realized cross-sectional variance of long-short equity portfolios) and stock return skewness (realized cross-sectional skewness of equity portfolios) are the driving forces in pricing cross-sectional equity risk premia. Market segmentation leads these two factors to be priced in equilibrium. The model offers a large fit for the joint cross-sectional risk premia associated with 16 prominent CAPM anomalies, with explanatory ratios above 40%. The CS-CAPM compares favorably with multifactor models widely used in the literature. The cross-sectional factors are not subsumed by traditional macro risk factors.
Author: Bradford Cornell
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471327356
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 248
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Book Description
Das Thema Risikoprämie für Aktien (Equity Risk Premium) wird hier zum ersten Mal verständlich erklärt. Die Risikoprämie für Aktien stellt einen Renditeausgleich dar für das erhöhte Risiko, das ein Anleger bei der Investition in Aktien eingeht, im Vergleich zu einer Investition in risikofreie Staatsanleihen. Die Risikoprämie ist zwar von der Theorie her einfach, jedoch in der Praxis ein sehr komplexes Phänomen. Für Finanzentscheidungen ist es von größter Bedeutung, daß man das Prinzip der Risikoprämie versteht und es anwenden kann. Cornell erläutert das Thema Schritt für Schritt sehr anschaulich und ohne terminologischen Ballast. Zunächst wird die Risikoprämie im Zusammenhang mit der Geschichte des Aktienmarktes betrachtet. Der Haussemarkt der 90er dient dabei als Fallstudie. Cornell zeigt, welche Rückschlüsse man durch die Analyse der Risikoprämie im historischen Verlauf für den Aktienmarkt ziehen kann, z.B. ob Aktienkurse steigen oder fallen oder ob sich der Aktienmarkt verändert. Vorausschauende Schätzungen der Risikoprämie werden anhand verschiedener konkurrierender Modelle analysiert, wobei die Vorzüge der jeweiligen Methode mitbewertet werden. 'Equity Risk Premium' ist das erste Buch, das dieses wichtige Prinzip der Risiko-Nutzen-Analyse erschöpfend behandelt. Es vermittelt einen tiefen Einblick und deckt alle Grundlagen ab, damit Investoren fundierte Finanzentscheidungen treffen können. Ein absolutes Muß für institutionelle Anleger, Geldmanager und Finanzvorstände, die auf eine fundierte Marktanalyse zurückgreifen müssen. (06/99)
Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Rate of return
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Book Description
Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019158
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 117
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Book Description
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stocks
Languages : en
Pages : 65
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Book Description
Author: William N. Goetzmann
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019803377X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 568
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Book Description
What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.
Author: Richard D. F. Harris
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
We investigate the determinants of moment risk premia (MRP) and their relationship with stock returns. Stocks with high beta, idiosyncratic volatility and maximum return are associated with a high variance risk premium (VRP). The skew risk premium (SRP) is mainly driven by return reversals, the maximum return and idiosyncratic skewness, while the kurtosis risk premium (KRP) is associated with all firm characteristics. We find that both the VRP and SRP are negatively related to stock returns, while the KRP has no relation with stock returns. However, the negative relation between the SRP and stock returns is robust to the inclusion of firm-level variables, while the VRP is not.
Author: Rajnish Mehra
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080555853
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 635
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Book Description
Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.
Author: Stefan Dercon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Value stocks have higher exposure to innovations in the nominal bond risk premium than growth stocks. Since the nominal bond risk premium measures cyclical variation in the market's assessment of future output growth, this results in a value risk premium provided that good news about future output lowers the marginal utility of wealth today. In support of this mechanism, we provide new historical evidence that low return realizations on value minus growth, typically at the start of recessions when nominal bond risk premia are low and declining, are associated with lower future dividend growth rates on value minus growth and with lower future output growth. Motivated by this connection between the time series of nominal bond returns and the cross-section of equity returns, we propose a parsimonious three-factor model that jointly prices the cross-section of returns on portfolios of stocks sorted on book-to-market dimension, the cross-section of government bonds sorted by maturity, and time series variation in expected bond returns. Finally, a structural dynamic asset pricing model with the business cycle as a central state variable is quantitatively consistent with the observed value, equity, and nominal bond risk premia.
Author: Donald B. Keim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
A growing number of empirical studies suggest that betas of common stocks do not adequately explain cross-sectional differences in stock returns. Instead, a number of other variables (e.g., size, ratio of book to market, earnings/price) that have no basis in extant theoretical models seem to have significantly predictive ability. Some interpret the findings as evidence of market efficiency. Others argue that the Capital Asset Pricing Model is an incomplete description of equilibrium price formation and these variables are proxies for additional risk factors. In this paper we review the evidence on the cross-sectional behavior of common stock returns on the U.S. and other equity markets around the world. We also report some new evidence on these cross-sectional relations using data from both U.S. and international stock markets. We find, among other results, that although the return premia associated with these ad hoc variables are significant in most international stock markets, the premia are uncorrelated across markets. The accumulating evidence prompts the following question: If these return premia occur primarily in January and are uncorrelated across major international equity markets, is it reasonable to characterize them as compensation for risk?
