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Author: Humbert Lesca
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118602811
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 147
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Book Description
The expression: "We did not see it coming!" has often been heard in recent years from decision makers at the highest levels of responsibility in the private and public sectors. Yet there were actually early (warning) signals, but they were often ignored or not used due to a lack of appropriate methodology. To avoid such blind spots, this book provides answers to the question "how to anticipate". The concept of a "weak signal" is at the heart of the proposed methods. After presenting examples of this concept, the authors provide original and validated answers to questions of feasibility: How to recognize a weak signal? How to exploit it? Numerous applications are presented.
Author: Humbert Lesca
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118602811
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 147
Get Book Here
Book Description
The expression: "We did not see it coming!" has often been heard in recent years from decision makers at the highest levels of responsibility in the private and public sectors. Yet there were actually early (warning) signals, but they were often ignored or not used due to a lack of appropriate methodology. To avoid such blind spots, this book provides answers to the question "how to anticipate". The concept of a "weak signal" is at the heart of the proposed methods. After presenting examples of this concept, the authors provide original and validated answers to questions of feasibility: How to recognize a weak signal? How to exploit it? Numerous applications are presented.
Author: Humbert Lesca
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1848216092
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 149
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Book Description
An increasing number of business executives, managers and political leaders are using the concept of "weak signals" nowadays. There are also an increasing number of people trying to find out exactly what this concept means, as well as when and how to use it. Such questions arise particularly when it comes down to making strategic decisions. To help with these questions, this book defines the concept of the "weak signal" and then demonstrates how it would be useful in relation to strategic decisions, and more precisely in relation to three moments of the strategic decision, i.e.: The trigger of the strategic decision (what is the trigger, why and when) The development of the strategic decision The implementation of the strategic decision
Author: Ken N. Kamoche
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 9780415261753
Category : Organizational change
Languages : en
Pages : 336
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Book Description
Thought-provoking papers on the relatively new field of organizational improvisation, which consider the pressures on organizations to react continually to today's ever-changing environment.
Author: H. Igor Ansoff
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 286
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Book Description
Monograph of articles on strategic management techniques - covers the study of organizational goals, the personal development of the strategic manager and his recruitment, management development and placement, etc., and includes case studies of strategic management in Hungary, Japan, etc. Diagrams and references.
Author: Milo Jones
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804787158
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 389
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Book Description
Constructing Cassandra analyzes the intelligence failures at the CIA that resulted in four key strategic surprises experienced by the US: the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, the Iranian revolution of 1978, the collapse of the USSR in 1991, and the 9/11 terrorist attacks—surprises still play out today in U.S. policy. Although there has been no shortage of studies exploring how intelligence failures can happen, none of them have been able to provide a unified understanding of the phenomenon. To correct that omission, this book brings culture and identity to the foreground to present a unified model of strategic surprise; one that focuses on the internal make-up the CIA, and takes seriously those Cassandras who offered warnings, but were ignored. This systematic exploration of the sources of the CIA's intelligence failures points to ways to prevent future strategic surprises.
Author: Benjamin Gilad
Publisher: AMACOM Div American Mgmt Assn
ISBN: 0814432069
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 289
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Book Description
Surprise is rarely a good thing in business. Unexpected developments range in their effects from inconvenient to disastrous. With strong opinions and wry humor, world-recognized expert Gilad reveals how to anticipate and react to early signs of trouble.
Author: Patrick Biltgen
Publisher: Artech House
ISBN: 1608078779
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 481
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Book Description
This new resource presents the principles and applications in the emerging discipline of Activity-Based Intelligence (ABI). This book will define, clarify, and demystify the tradecraft of ABI by providing concise definitions, clear examples, and thoughtful discussion. Concepts, methods, technologies, and applications of ABI have been developed by and for the intelligence community and in this book you will gain an understanding of ABI principles and be able to apply them to activity based intelligence analysis. The book is intended for intelligence professionals, researchers, intelligence studies, policy makers, government staffers, and industry representatives. This book will help practicing professionals understand ABI and how it can be applied to real-world problems.
Author: Henri Dou
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119527651
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 149
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Book Description
Information in all its forms is at the heart of the economic intelligence process. It is also a powerful vector of innovation and, more than ever, a balance between economic and societal forces. Strategic Intelligence for the Future 1 analyzes the need for the French economic intelligence to mutate in order to develop the economy, strengthen social cohesion and protect vital interests. This mutation requires a change of attitudes and a new way of thinking, widely open to global change and new technologies. The focus of the French economic intelligence on conventional objectives such as business and the economy does not allow for the integration of its multiple possible fields and thus its global nature. The strategy, foresight and temporal dynamics necessary to the understanding of the world, and the new balance of power and control of complex situations, have thus increased the time needed to put this in place. Both theoretical and practical, this book provides a basis from which to develop "enhanced economic intelligence" leading to the implementation of global security.
Author: Richard J. Samuels
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 1501741608
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 453
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Book Description
The prewar history of the Japanese intelligence community demonstrates how having power over much, but insight into little can have devastating consequences. Its postwar history—one of limited Japanese power despite growing insight—has also been problematic for national security. In Special Duty Richard J. Samuels dissects the fascinating history of the intelligence community in Japan. Looking at the impact of shifts in the strategic environment, technological change, and past failures, he probes the reasons why Japan has endured such a roller-coaster ride when it comes to intelligence gathering and analysis, and concludes that the ups and downs of the past century—combined with growing uncertainties in the regional security environment—have convinced Japanese leaders of the critical importance of striking balance between power and insight. Using examples of excessive hubris and debilitating bureaucratic competition before the Asia-Pacific War, the unavoidable dependence on US assets and popular sensitivity to security issues after World War II, and the tardy adoption of image-processing and cyber technologies, Samuels' bold book highlights the century-long history of Japan's struggles to develop a fully functioning and effective intelligence capability, and makes clear that Japanese leaders have begun to reinvent their nation's intelligence community.
Author: Tuomo Kuosa
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317032500
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 282
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Book Description
Embracing the theory and practice of strategic foresight and illuminating how different schools of thought regard its role in policy making, Tuomo Kuosa describes how something not traditionally considered an independent discipline, is steadily becoming one. In The Evolution of Strategic Foresight he explains how the practice of strategic foresight has long been closely associated with the military and politics. Linking strategic thinking more broadly to futurology, however, it is quite new. Since strategic foresight refers to the practice of generating analyses of alternative futures and strategies, based on available intelligence and foreknowledge, the practice can and should be applied to companies, business sectors, national and trans-national agencies of all descriptions, and to all aspects of public policy making. The author explains its practice in terms of structure, process, and knowledge domains, and examines its methodologies and systems, along with how strategic foresight can be used to produce better knowledge and be more effectively linked to policy making. Using examples from 30 different countries and with access to interviews and workshops involving key experts, The Evolution of Strategic Foresight will be valuable to scholars, educators, students engaged in strategy and future studies, long-range, public policy and urban planners, analysts; risk assessment experts, and consultants, managers and decision makers in many organisations, public and private.
