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Author: Keith T. Poole
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9781139446754
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 252
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Book Description
This book presents a simple geometric model of voting as a tool to analyze parliamentary roll call data. Each legislator is represented by one point and each roll call is represented by two points that correspond to the policy consequences of voting Yea or Nay. On every roll call each legislator votes for the closer outcome point, at least probabilistically. These points form a spatial map that summarizes the roll calls. In this sense a spatial map is much like a road map because it visually depicts the political world of a legislature. The closeness of two legislators on the map shows how similar their voting records are, and the distribution of legislators shows what the dimensions are. These maps can be used to study a wide variety of topics including how political parties evolve over time, the existence of sophisticated voting and how an executive influences legislative outcomes.
Author: Keith T. Poole
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9781139446754
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 252
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book presents a simple geometric model of voting as a tool to analyze parliamentary roll call data. Each legislator is represented by one point and each roll call is represented by two points that correspond to the policy consequences of voting Yea or Nay. On every roll call each legislator votes for the closer outcome point, at least probabilistically. These points form a spatial map that summarizes the roll calls. In this sense a spatial map is much like a road map because it visually depicts the political world of a legislature. The closeness of two legislators on the map shows how similar their voting records are, and the distribution of legislators shows what the dimensions are. These maps can be used to study a wide variety of topics including how political parties evolve over time, the existence of sophisticated voting and how an executive influences legislative outcomes.
Author: Thomas M. Liggett
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662039907
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 346
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Book Description
Interactive particle systems is a branch of probability theory with close connections to mathematical physics and mathematical biology. This book takes three of the most important models in the area, and traces advances in our understanding of them since 1985. It explains and develops many of the most useful techniques in the field.
Author: Robert Goehlert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
Author: Wagner A. Kamakura
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 18
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Book Description
Most election forecasting research to date has been conducted in the context of single-round elections. However, more than 40 countries in the world employ a two-stage process, where actual voting data are available between the first and the second rounds to help politicians understand their position in relation to each other and to voter preferences and to help them predict the final outcome of the election. In this study we take advantage of the theoretical foundation on voter behavior from the political science literature and the recent methodological advances in choice modeling to develop a Nested Logit Factor Model of voter choice which we use to predict the final outcome of two stage elections and gain insights about the underlying political landscape. We apply the proposed model to data from the first stage and predict the final outcome of two stage elections based on the inferences made from the first stage results. We demonstrate how our proposed model can help politicians understand their competitive position immediately after the first round of actual voting and test its predictive accuracy in the run-off election across 11 different state governorship elections.
Author: Jocelyn A J Evans
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 9780761949107
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 248
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Book Description
An accessible textbook that provides an overview of the historical origins and development of voting theory, this guide explores theories of voting and electoral behaviour at a level suitable for college students.
Author: Jonathan Bendor
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 069113507X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 268
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Book Description
Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. This title provides a behavioral theory of elections based on the notion that all actors - politicians as well as voters - are only boundedly rational.
Author: Martin J. Zechman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 140
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Book Description
Author: Ed Fieldhouse
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 90
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Book Description
Author: Lisa Garcia Bedolla
Publisher: Yale University Press
ISBN: 0300166788
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 306
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Book Description
Which get out the vote efforts actually succeed in ethnoracial communities, and why? Analyzing the results from hundreds of original experiments, the authors of this book offer a persuasive new theory to explain why some methods work while others do not. Exploring and comparing a wide variety of efforts targeting ethnoracial voters, the authors present a new theoretical frame: the social cognition model of voting, based on an individual's sense of civic identity, for understanding get out the vote effectiveness. Their book serves as a guide for political practitioners, for it offers concrete strategies to employ in developing future mobilization efforts.
Author: John B. Holbein
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108488420
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 283
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Book Description
The solution to youth voter turnout requires focus on helping young people follow through on their political interests and intentions.
