Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things PDF Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 9780804745093
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Book Description
What do the following events have in common? In 2000, the election between George W. Bush and Al Gore was a virtual tie. The 1989 and 1990 vintages have turned out to be two of the best ever for Bordeaux wines. In 2001, the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate eleven times. The decade of the 1970s was one of the worst on record for U.S. inflation. In 2001, the author of this book, at age 59, ran a marathon in 3 hours and 30 minutes, but should have been able to do it in 3 hours and 15 minutes. This book shows clearly and simply how these diverse events can be explained by using the tools of the social sciences and statistics. It moves from a discussion of formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. Through the use of a rich array of examples, the book demonstrates the power and range of social science and statistical methods. In addition to “big” topics—presidential elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation—and “not quite so big” topics—wine quality—the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest. Who of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? (In other words, how fast are you slowing down?) As the author works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, demonstrating the usefulness of statistical theory and method, he gives the reader a new way of thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life.

London 1977-1987

London 1977-1987 PDF Author: Berris Connoly
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781914314049
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 128

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Book Description
The familiar streets of the capital are rendered almost uncanny in this contemplative, tonal series by Berris Connoly. Captivating in their atmospheric, filmic quality, Connoly's photographs reveal small moments from the past, hinting at stories that have just happened; or are about to. They have both a stillness and a promise of approaching disturbance, drawing us in to the urban landscape and making the London of 40 years ago feel at once distant and strangely present.

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things PDF Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 9780804745093
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Book Description
What do the following events have in common? In 2000, the election between George W. Bush and Al Gore was a virtual tie. The 1989 and 1990 vintages have turned out to be two of the best ever for Bordeaux wines. In 2001, the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate eleven times. The decade of the 1970s was one of the worst on record for U.S. inflation. In 2001, the author of this book, at age 59, ran a marathon in 3 hours and 30 minutes, but should have been able to do it in 3 hours and 15 minutes. This book shows clearly and simply how these diverse events can be explained by using the tools of the social sciences and statistics. It moves from a discussion of formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. Through the use of a rich array of examples, the book demonstrates the power and range of social science and statistical methods. In addition to “big” topics—presidential elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation—and “not quite so big” topics—wine quality—the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest. Who of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? (In other words, how fast are you slowing down?) As the author works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, demonstrating the usefulness of statistical theory and method, he gives the reader a new way of thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life.

Best Of 1987 Made In 1987 Vintage 1987 Birthday Gift A Beautiful Personalized

Best Of 1987 Made In 1987 Vintage 1987 Birthday Gift A Beautiful Personalized PDF Author: Vintage 1987 Gift Publishing
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781677452347
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 122

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Book Description
Best Of 1987 Made In 1987 Vintage 1987 Birthday Gift A beautiful personalized Notebook Birthday Gift for 1987 is a 120 pages Simple and elegant Notebook on a Matte-finish cover, Perfect Journal, Diary, Gift Idea for parents, gradparents, kids, boys, girls, youth and teens. Great for taking notes in class, journal writing and essays, Perfect gift for parents, gradparents, kids, boys, girls, youth and teens as a Birthday gift. 120 pages Size 6 x 9 (15.24 x 22.86 cm)- the ideal size for all purposes, fitting perfectly into your bag White-color paper Soft, glossy cover Matte Finish Cover for an elegant look and feel Looking for on the go vintage notepad for someone born in 1987 ? Are you looking for a gift for your friend, parents or relatives ? Then you need to buy this Cute Best Of 1987 Made In 1987 Vintage 1987 Birthday Gift A beautiful personalized gift Journal for your brother, sister, Auntie

By Its Cover

By Its Cover PDF Author: Ned Drew
Publisher: Princeton Architectural Press
ISBN: 9781568984971
Category : Art
Languages : en
Pages : 204

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Book Description
We all know we're not supposed to judge books by their covers, but the truth is that we do just that nearly every time we walk into a bookstore or pull a book off a tightly packed shelf. It's really not something we should be ashamed about, for it reinforces something we sincerely believe: design matters. At its best, book cover design is an art that transcends the publisher's commercial imperativesto reflect both an author's ideas and contemporary cultural values in a vital, intelligent, and beautiful way. In this groundbreaking and lavishly illustrated history, authors Ned Drew and Paul Sternberger establish American book cover design as a tradition of sophisticated, visual excellence that has put shape to our literary landscape. By Its Cover traces the story of the American book cover from its inception as a means of utilitarian protection for the book to its current status as an elaborately produced form of communication art. It is, at once, the intertwined story of American graphic design and American literature, and features the work of such legendary figures as Rockwell Kent, E. McKnight Kauffer, Paul Rand, Alvin Lustig, Rudy deHarak, and Roy Kuhlman along with more recent and contemporary innovators including Push Pin Studios, Chermayeff & Geismar, Karen Goldberg, Chip Kidd, and John Gall.

Constructing a World

Constructing a World PDF Author: Martha Tuck Rozett
Publisher: SUNY Press
ISBN: 9780791455517
Category : Literary Criticism
Languages : en
Pages : 220

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Book Description
Examines recent developments in historical fiction, with particular attention to the way contemporary writers have portrayed Shakespearean England.

Prairie Metropolis

Prairie Metropolis PDF Author: Esyllt W. Jones
Publisher: Univ. of Manitoba Press
ISBN: 0887553575
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 264

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Book Description
At the turn of the twentieth century, Winnipeg was the fastest-growing city in North America. But its days as a diverse and culturally rich metropolis did not end when the boom collapsed. Prairie Metropolis brings together some of the best new graduate research on the history of Winnipeg and makes a groundbreaking contribution to the history of the city between 1900 and the 1980s. The essays in this collection explore the development of social institutions such as the city’s police force, juvenile court, health care institutions, volunteer organizations, and cultural centres. They offer critical analyses on ethnic, gender, and class inequality and conflict, while placing Winnipeg’s experiences in national and international contexts.

The World Is Our Home

The World Is Our Home PDF Author: Jeffrey J. Folks
Publisher: University Press of Kentucky
ISBN: 081316155X
Category : Literary Collections
Languages : en
Pages : 272

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Book Description
Since the early 1970s southern fiction has been increasingly attentive to social issues, including the continuing struggles for racial justice and gender equality, the loss of a sense of social community, and the decline of a coherent regional identity. The essays in The World Is Our Home focus on writers who have explicitly addressed social and cultural issues in their fiction and drama, including Dorothy Allison, Horton Foote, Ernest J. Gaines, Jill McCorkle, Walker Percy, Lee Smith, William Styron, Alice Walker, and many others. The contributors provide valuable insights into the transformation of southern culture over the past thirty years and probe the social and cultural divisions that persist. The collection makes an important case for the centrality of social critique in contemporary southern fiction.

The Cowboy

The Cowboy PDF Author: Blake Allmendinger
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 019507243X
Category : American literature
Languages : en
Pages : 218

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Book Description
What are the connections between cattle branding and Christian salvation, between livestock castration and square dancing, between rustling and the making of spurs and horsehair bridles in prison, between children's coloring books and cowboy poetry as it is practiced today? The Cowboy usesliterary, historical, folkloric, and pop cultural sources to document ways in which cowboys address religion, gender, economics, and literature. Arguing that cowboys are defined by the work they do, Allmendinger sets out in each chapter to investigate one form of labor (such as branding, castration,or rustling) that cowboys perform in their "work culture." He then looks at early oral poems that cowboys recited around campfires, on trail drives, at roundups, and at home in their bunkhouses, and at later poems, histories and autobiographies written by cowboys--most of which have never beforebeen studied by scholars. He discovers that these texts not only deal with work but with larger concerns, including art, morality, spirituality, and male sexuality. In addition to spotlighting little-known texts, art, and archival sources, The Cowboy examines the works of Twain, Steinbeck, Cather,Norris, Dana, McMurtry, and others, and features more than 60 historic photographs, many of which have not been published until now.

Princess Noire

Princess Noire PDF Author: Nadine Cohodas
Publisher: Univ of North Carolina Press
ISBN: 0807882747
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 461

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Book Description
Born Eunice Waymon in Tryon, North Carolina, Nina Simone (1933-2003) began her musical life playing classical piano. A child prodigy, she wanted a career on the concert stage, but when the Curtis Institute of Music rejected her, the devastating disappointment compelled her to change direction. She turned to popular music and jazz but never abandoned her classical roots or her intense ambition. By the age of twenty six, Simone had sung at New York City's venerable Town Hall and was on her way. Tapping into newly unearthed material on Simone's family and career, Nadine Cohodas paints a luminous portrait of the singer, highlighting her tumultuous life, her innovative compositions, and the prodigious talent that matched her ambition. With precision and empathy, Cohodas weaves the story of Simone's contentious relationship with audiences and critics, her outspoken support for civil rights, her two marriages and her daughter, and, later, the sense of alienation that drove her to live abroad from 1993 until her death. Alongside these threads runs a more troubling one: Simone's increasing outbursts of rage and pain that signaled mental illness and a lifelong struggle to overcome a deep sense of personal injustice.

Secret Agencies

Secret Agencies PDF Author: Loch K. Johnson
Publisher: Yale University Press
ISBN: 9780300076547
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 288

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Book Description
Explores the future role of America's intelligence agencies in the aftermath of the Cold War, including such issues as when aggressive clandestine operations are justified, whether the U.S. should engage in economic espionage, and intelligence accountability. UP.