Time-Varying Linkages of Economic Activities in China and the Stock Markets in ASEAN-5

Time-Varying Linkages of Economic Activities in China and the Stock Markets in ASEAN-5 PDF Author: Kee Teng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16

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Book Description
This study attempts to investigate the evolution of dynamic linkages and volatility spillover between the five countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5) stock markets and China's economic activities. By using the movements and structural breaks of the time-varying correlation and Granger causality test, a suitable destination for equity portfolio diversification can be determined among the studied markets. This study covers monthly data from January 1991 to March 2015. The DCC-MGARCH model shows that the studied countries are time-varying correlated, while the structural break observed by Bai and Perron test coincided with major economic shocks, policy changes and the establishment of regional trade policies. The VAR model Granger causality test observed no volatility spillover from Chinese economic activities to the ASEAN-5 stock markets, except for Malaysia and the Philippines. However, the ASEAN-5 stock markets' volatility exerts a significant influence on China's economy, except for Singapore's stock market volatility. This study reveals that ASEAN-5 has gradually became the preferred destination for diversifying equity portfolios for investors in China.

Time-Varying Linkages of Economic Activities in China and the Stock Markets in ASEAN-5

Time-Varying Linkages of Economic Activities in China and the Stock Markets in ASEAN-5 PDF Author: Kee Teng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16

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Book Description
This study attempts to investigate the evolution of dynamic linkages and volatility spillover between the five countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5) stock markets and China's economic activities. By using the movements and structural breaks of the time-varying correlation and Granger causality test, a suitable destination for equity portfolio diversification can be determined among the studied markets. This study covers monthly data from January 1991 to March 2015. The DCC-MGARCH model shows that the studied countries are time-varying correlated, while the structural break observed by Bai and Perron test coincided with major economic shocks, policy changes and the establishment of regional trade policies. The VAR model Granger causality test observed no volatility spillover from Chinese economic activities to the ASEAN-5 stock markets, except for Malaysia and the Philippines. However, the ASEAN-5 stock markets' volatility exerts a significant influence on China's economy, except for Singapore's stock market volatility. This study reveals that ASEAN-5 has gradually became the preferred destination for diversifying equity portfolios for investors in China.

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets PDF Author: Suk-Joong Kim
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0762314710
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 537

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Book Description
This volume of "International Finance Review" focuses on the Asia-Pacific financial markets. A total of 22 original papers, not published elsewhere, have been selected from a competitive field. These papers utilize a variety of methods, including theoretical, empirical and qualitative to highlight a range of issues across the region. Several papers offer combinations of these different categories and among the empirical papers, there are a wide variety of datasets analyzed. While China does play a significant part in the analysis of five of the papers in this volume (this is to be expected given its importance in the region), a host of other countries are also considered. This ensures the volume is truly international in its scope. These papers each serve to contribute to the knowledge on a particular issue related to the financial markets within this region and for this volume, three main issues have been identified: integration, innovation and challenges. Articles are contributed by experts in their fields. It is truly international in scope.

The International Handbook of Shipping Finance

The International Handbook of Shipping Finance PDF Author: Manolis G. Kavussanos
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137465468
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 459

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Book Description
The International Handbook of Shipping Finance is a one-stop resource, offering comprehensive reference to theory and practice in the area of shipping finance. In the multibillion dollar international shipping industry, it is important to understand the various issues involved in the finance of the sector. This involves the identification and evaluation of the alternative sources of capital available for financing the ships, including the appraisal and budgeting of shipping investment projects; legal and insurance aspects of ship finance; the financial analysis and modelling of investment projects; mergers and acquisitions; and the commercial and market risk management issues involved. Edited by two leading academics in this area, and with contributions from 25 prominent market practitioners and academics over 16 chapters, this Handbook covers shipping finance and banking, maritime financial management and investments. As such, it includes: shipping markets; asset backed finance; shipbuilding finance; debt finance; public and private equity and debt markets; structured finance; legal aspects and key clauses of ship mortgages; marine insurance; mechanisms for handling defaulted loans; investment appraisal and capital budgeting; financial analysis and investment modelling; business risk management and freight derivatives; and mergers and acquisitions. Thus, the Handbook offers a rigorous understanding of the different aspects of modern shipping finance and maritime financial management and investments, the various characteristics of the available products, the capital needs and requirements, and a clear view on the different financial management strategies through a series of practical examples and applications. Technical where appropriate, but grounded in market reality, this is a “must-have” reference for anyone involved in shipping finance, from bank practitioners and commodity trading houses, to shipbrokers, lawyers and insurance houses as well as to university students studying shipping finance. Table of Contents Preface by Editors Manolis Kavussanos, Professor, Director, MSc in International Shipping, Finance and Management, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece Ilias Visvikis, Professor, Director Executive Education and Professional Development, World Maritime University, Sweden Chapter 1: Shipping Markets and their Economic Drivers Jan-Henrik Huebner, Head of Shipping Advisory, DNV GL, Germany Chapter 2: Asset Risk Assessment, Analysis and Forecasting in Asset Backed Finance Henriette Brent Petersen, Head of Shipping & Offshore Research, DVB Bank SE, The Netherlands Chapter 3: Overview of Ship Finance Fotis Giannakoulis, Research Vice President, Morgan Stanley, USA Chapter 4: Shipbuilding Finance Charles Cushing, C.R. Cushing & Co. Inc., USA Chapter 5: Debt Financing in Shipping George Paleokrassas, Partner, Watson, Farley & Williams, Greece Chapter 6: Public Debt Markets for Shipping Basil Karatzas, Founder & CEO, Karatzas Marine Advisors & Co., USA Chapter 7: Public and Private Equity Markets Jeffrey Pribor, Global Head, Maritime Investment Banking, Jefferies LLC, USA Cecilie Lind, Associate Investment Banking, Jefferies LLC, USA Chapter 8: Structured Finance in Shipping Contributor: Ioannis Alexopoulos, Director, Shipping Financier, Eurofin Group, Greece Nikos Stratis, Managing Director of Augustea Group, UK Chapter 9: Key Clauses of a Shipping Loan Agreement Kyriakos Spoullos, Solicitor, Norton Rose Fulbright, Greece Chapter 10: Legal Aspects of Ship Mortgages Simon Norton, Lecturer, Cardiff Business School, UK Claudio Chistè, Investec Bank Plc., UK Chapter 11: Reasons and Mechanics of Handling Defaulted Shipping Loans and Methods of Recovery Dimitris Anagnostopoulos, Board Member & Director, Aegean Baltic Bank, Greece Philippos Tsamanis, VP - Head of Shipping, Aegean Baltic Bank, Greece Chapter 12: Marine Insurance Marc Huybrechts, Professor, University of Antwerp, Belgium Theodora Nikaki, Associate Professor, Swansea University, UK Chapter 13: Maritime Investment Appraisal and Budgeting Wolfgang Drobetz, Professor, University of Hamburg, Germany Stefan Albertijn, CEO, HAMANT Beratungs-und Investitions GmbH, Germany Max Johns, Managing Director, German Shipowners’ Association, Germany Chapter 14: Financial Analysis and Modelling of Ship Investments Lars Patterson, Shipping Investment Analyst, Pacomarine Limited, UK Chapter 15: Maritime Business Risk Management Manolis Kavussanos, Professor, Director, MSc in International Shipping, Finance and Management, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece Ilias Visvikis, Professor, Director Executive Education and Professional Development, World Maritime University, Sweden Chapter 16: Mergers and Acquisitions in Shipping George Alexandridis, Associate Professor, ICMA Centre, University of Reading, UK Manish Singh, Manish Singh, Group Director - Strategy and M&A, V. Group Limited, UK

China's Changing Trade and the Implications for the CLMV

China's Changing Trade and the Implications for the CLMV PDF Author: Mr.Koshy Mathai
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475531710
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description
China’s trade patterns are evolving. While it started in light manufacturing and the assembly of more sophisticated products as part of global supply chains, China is now moving up the value chain, “onshoring” the production of higher-value-added upstream products and moving into more sophisticated downstream products as well. At the same time, with its wages rising, it has started to exit some lower-end, more labor-intensive sectors. These changes are taking place in the broader context of China’s rebalancing—away from exports and toward domestic demand, and within the latter, away from investment and toward consumption—and as a consequence, demand for some commodity imports is slowing, while consumption imports are slowly rising. The evolution of Chinese trade, investment, and consumption patterns offers opportunities and challenges to low-wage, low-income countries, including China’s neighbors in the Mekong region. Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., Myanmar, and Vietnam (the CLMV) are all open economies that are highly integrated with China. Rebalancing in China may mean less of a role for commodity exports from the region, but at the same time, the CLMV’s low labor costs suggest that manufacturing assembly for export could take off as China becomes less competitive, and as China itself demands more consumption items. Labor costs, however, are only part of the story. The CLMV will need to strengthen their infrastructure, education, governance, and trade regimes, and also run sound macro policies in order to capitalize fully on the opportunities presented by China’s transformation. With such policy efforts, the CLMV could see their trade and integration with global supply chains grow dramatically in the coming years.

Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion:

Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion: PDF Author: Mardi Dungey
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199842604
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

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Book Description
Financial crises often transmit across geographical borders and different asset classes. Modeling these interactions is empirically challenging, and many of the proposed methods give different results when applied to the same data sets. In this book the authors set out their work on a general framework for modeling the transmission of financial crises using latent factor models. They show how their framework encompasses a number of other empirical contagion models and why the results between the models differ. The book builds a framework which begins from considering contagion in the bond markets during 1997-1998 across a number of countries, and culminates in a model which encompasses multiple assets across multiple countries through over a decade of crisis events from East Asia in 1997-1998 to the sub prime crisis during 2008. Program code to support implementation of similar models is available.

Spillovers from China’s Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies

Spillovers from China’s Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies PDF Author: Allan Dizioli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475524269
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 35

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Book Description
After many years of rapid expansion, China’s growth is slowing to more sustainable levels and is rebalancing, with consumption becoming the main growth driver. This transition is likely to have negative effects on its trading partners in the near term. This paper studies the potential spillovers to the ASEAN-5 economies through trade, commodity prices, and financial markets. It finds that countries with closer trade linkages with China (Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand) and net commodity exporters (Indonesia and Malaysia) would suffer the largest impact, with growth falling between 0.2 and 0.5 percentage points in response to a decline in China’s growth by 1 percentage point depending on the model used and the nature of the shock. The impact could be larger if China’s slowdown and rebalancing coincides with bouts of global financial volatility. There are also opportunities from China’s rebalancing, both in merchandise and services trade, and there is preliminary evidence that some ASEAN-5 economies are already benefiting from these trends.

The ASEAN Way

The ASEAN Way PDF Author: Ms.Ana Corbacho
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513558900
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 311

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Book Description
The first part of the book examines the evolution of monetary policy and prudential frameworks of the ASEAN5, with particular focus on changes since the Asian financial crisis and the more recent period of unconventional monetary policy in advanced economies. The second part of the book looks at policy responses to global financial spillovers. The third and last part of the book elaborates on the challenges ahead for monetary policy, financial stability frameworks, and the deepening of financial markets.

China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets

China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets PDF Author: Mr.Serkan Arslanalp
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475525133
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 37

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Book Description
This paper finds that financial spillovers from China to regional markets are on the rise. The main transmission channel appears to be trade linkages, although direct financial linkages are playing an increasing role. Without an impact on global risk premiums, China’s influence on regional markets is not yet to the level of the United States, but comparable to that of Japan. If China-related shocks are coupled with a rise in global risk premiums, as in August 2015 and January 2016, spillovers to the region could be significantly larger. Over the medium term, China’s financial spillovers could rise further with tighter financial linkages with the region, including through the ongoing internationalization of the renminbi and China’s capital account liberalization.

Trade Patterns and Global Value Chains in East Asia

Trade Patterns and Global Value Chains in East Asia PDF Author: World Trade Organization
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 128

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Book Description


Learning from SARS

Learning from SARS PDF Author: Institute of Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309182158
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 376

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Book Description
The emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in late 2002 and 2003 challenged the global public health community to confront a novel epidemic that spread rapidly from its origins in southern China until it had reached more than 25 other countries within a matter of months. In addition to the number of patients infected with the SARS virus, the disease had profound economic and political repercussions in many of the affected regions. Recent reports of isolated new SARS cases and a fear that the disease could reemerge and spread have put public health officials on high alert for any indications of possible new outbreaks. This report examines the response to SARS by public health systems in individual countries, the biology of the SARS coronavirus and related coronaviruses in animals, the economic and political fallout of the SARS epidemic, quarantine law and other public health measures that apply to combating infectious diseases, and the role of international organizations and scientific cooperation in halting the spread of SARS. The report provides an illuminating survey of findings from the epidemic, along with an assessment of what might be needed in order to contain any future outbreaks of SARS or other emerging infections.