This Time Is Different

This Time Is Different PDF Author: Carmen M. Reinhart
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400831725
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

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Book Description
A comprehensive look at international financial crises that puts more recent economic meltdowns into perspective Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing—and recovering—their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, "this time is different"—claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that the new situation bears little similarity to past disasters. With this breakthrough study, leading economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff definitively prove them wrong. Covering sixty-six countries across five continents, This Time Is Different presents a comprehensive look at the varieties of financial crises, and guides us through eight astonishing centuries of government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes—from medieval currency debasements to today's subprime catastrophe. Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, leading economists whose work has been influential in the policy debate concerning the current financial crisis, provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. The authors draw important lessons from history to show us how much—or how little—we have learned. Using clear, sharp analysis and comprehensive data, Reinhart and Rogoff document that financial fallouts occur in clusters and strike with surprisingly consistent frequency, duration, and ferocity. They examine the patterns of currency crashes, high and hyperinflation, and government defaults on international and domestic debts—as well as the cycles in housing and equity prices, capital flows, unemployment, and government revenues around these crises. While countries do weather their financial storms, Reinhart and Rogoff prove that short memories make it all too easy for crises to recur. An important book that will affect policy discussions for a long time to come, This Time Is Different exposes centuries of financial missteps.

This Time Is Different

This Time Is Different PDF Author: Carmen M. Reinhart
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691152640
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 513

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Book Description
An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.

Misunderstanding Financial Crises

Misunderstanding Financial Crises PDF Author: Gary B. Gorton
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199986886
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 296

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Book Description
Before 2007, economists thought that financial crises would never happen again in the United States, that such upheavals were a thing of the past. Gary B. Gorton, a prominent expert on financial crises, argues that economists fundamentally misunderstand what they are, why they occur, and why there were none in the U.S. from 1934 to 2007. Misunderstanding Financial Crises offers a back-to-basics overview of financial crises, and shows that they are not rare, idiosyncratic events caused by a perfect storm of unconnected factors. Instead, Gorton shows how financial crises are, indeed, inherent to our financial system. Economists, Gorton writes, looked from a certain point of view and missed everything that was important: the evolution of capital markets and the banking system, the existence of new financial instruments, and the size of certain money markets like the sale and repurchase market. Comparing the so-called "Quiet Period" of 1934 to 2007, when there were no systemic crises, to the "Panic of 2007-2008," Gorton ties together key issues like bank debt and liquidity, credit booms and manias, moral hazard, and too-big-too-fail--all to illustrate the true causes of financial collapse. He argues that the successful regulation that prevented crises since 1934 did not adequately keep pace with innovation in the financial sector, due in part to the misunderstandings of economists, who assured regulators that all was well. Gorton also looks forward to offer both a better way for economists to think about markets and a description of the regulation necessary to address the future threat of financial disaster.

A Decade of Debt

A Decade of Debt PDF Author: Carmen M. Reinhart
Publisher: Peterson Inst for International Economics
ISBN: 9780881326222
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 157

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Book Description
This book presents evidence that public debts in the advanced economies have surged in recent years to levels not recorded since the end of World War II, surpassing the heights reached during the First World War and the Great Depression. At the same time, private debt levels, particularly those of financial institutions and households, are in uncharted territory and are (in varying degrees) a contingent liability of the public sector in many countries. Historically, high leverage episodes have been associated with slower economic growth and a higher incidence of default or, more generally, restructuring of public and private debts. A more subtle form of debt restructuring in the guise of "financial repression" (which had its heyday during the tightly regulated Bretton Woods system) also importantly facilitated sharper and more rapid debt reduction than would have otherwise been the case from the late 1940s to the 1970s. It is conjectured here that the pressing needs of governments to reduce debt rollover risks and curb rising interest expenditures in light of the substantial debt overhang (combined with the widespread "official aversion" to explicit restructuring) are leading to a revival of financial repression-including more directed lending to government by captive domestic audiences (such as pension funds), explicit or implicit caps on interest rates, and tighter regulation on cross-border capital movements.

This Time Is Different

This Time Is Different PDF Author: Mae Wood
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN: 9781977873156
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 256

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Book Description
Life can change in a flash. Marriage and a baby wasn't Amy Forsythe's college plan. After a shotgun marriage glued together by her son, she's convinced that love isn't meant for her. Now nearing forty and single for the first time since her senior prom, her friends are pushing her to date. Her teenager isn't thrilled by the idea and neither is Amy. Silver fox Thomas Popov isn't looking for The One. He found her decades ago. And fell apart when she died. At fifty-three with a new job, a new city, and an empty nest, he's focused on climbing the corporate ladder. When a softball accident lands Thomas in Amy's dental chair, sparks fly. Lightning doesn't strike twice. But love might. This time is different.

This Time Is Different

This Time Is Different PDF Author: Carmen M. Reinhart
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400831725
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

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Book Description
A comprehensive look at international financial crises that puts more recent economic meltdowns into perspective Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing—and recovering—their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, "this time is different"—claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that the new situation bears little similarity to past disasters. With this breakthrough study, leading economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff definitively prove them wrong. Covering sixty-six countries across five continents, This Time Is Different presents a comprehensive look at the varieties of financial crises, and guides us through eight astonishing centuries of government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes—from medieval currency debasements to today's subprime catastrophe. Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, leading economists whose work has been influential in the policy debate concerning the current financial crisis, provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. The authors draw important lessons from history to show us how much—or how little—we have learned. Using clear, sharp analysis and comprehensive data, Reinhart and Rogoff document that financial fallouts occur in clusters and strike with surprisingly consistent frequency, duration, and ferocity. They examine the patterns of currency crashes, high and hyperinflation, and government defaults on international and domestic debts—as well as the cycles in housing and equity prices, capital flows, unemployment, and government revenues around these crises. While countries do weather their financial storms, Reinhart and Rogoff prove that short memories make it all too easy for crises to recur. An important book that will affect policy discussions for a long time to come, This Time Is Different exposes centuries of financial missteps.

SUMMARY - This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries Of Financial Folly By Carmen M. Reinhart And Kenneth S. Rogoff

SUMMARY - This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries Of Financial Folly By Carmen M. Reinhart And Kenneth S. Rogoff PDF Author: Shortcut Edition
Publisher: Shortcut Edition
ISBN:
Category : Body, Mind & Spirit
Languages : en
Pages : 19

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Book Description
* Our summary is short, simple and pragmatic. It allows you to have the essential ideas of a big book in less than 30 minutes. By reading this summary, you will discover the salient features of financial crises around the world over the last eight centuries. You will also discover that : Financial crises always unfold in more or less the same way; In the 16th, 17th and 18th centuries, the French state went bankrupt several times; This is also the case of Spain, which broke all records for foreign debt defaults in the 19th century; Denmark experienced financial panic during the Napoleonic Wars; Pre-communist China was a defaulting debtor; The subprime crisis in the United States in 2007 is directly responsible for the global financial crisis of 2008. This book is already a classic. For the first time, eminent economists highlight the similarities between all financial crises over a long period of time. Until now, due to a lack of adequate documentation, the world's financial history hardly goes back beyond 1800. Reaching 1700 or 1600 was almost prehistoric. This is now a thing of the past thanks to Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, whose patient and meticulous research has made it possible to reconstruct the puzzle of financial crises through the ages, in all their complexity, going back to the European Middle Ages. *Buy now the summary of this book for the modest price of a cup of coffee!

External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis

External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis PDF Author: Mr.F. Gulcin Ozkan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455201413
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
This paper develops a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis to a small open economy. We find that economies hit by a sudden stop arising from financial distress in the global economy are likely to face a more prolonged crisis than sudden stop episodes of domestic origin. Moreover, in contrast to the existing literature, our results suggest that the greater a country's trade integration with the rest of the world, the greater the response of its macroeconomic aggregates to a sudden stop of capital flows.

Ante-Nicene Christian Library

Ante-Nicene Christian Library PDF Author: Sir James Donaldson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Christian literature, Early
Languages : en
Pages : 520

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Book Description


The British Journal of Psychology

The British Journal of Psychology PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 442

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Book Description
Issues for 1904-47 include the Proceedings of the society.

The National Engineer

The National Engineer PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Steam engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 790

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Book Description
Vols. 34- contain official N.A.P.E. directory.