Theory of the Decision/problem State

Theory of the Decision/problem State PDF Author: Duncan L. Dieterly
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 26

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Book Description

Theory of the Decision/problem State

Theory of the Decision/problem State PDF Author: Duncan L. Dieterly
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 26

Get Book Here

Book Description


Theory of the Decision/problem State

Theory of the Decision/problem State PDF Author: Duncan L. Dieterly
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 18

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Book Description


Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262331713
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 350

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Book Description
An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

An Introduction to Decision Theory

An Introduction to Decision Theory PDF Author: Martin Peterson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107151597
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351

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Book Description
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.

Decision-problem State Analysis Methodology

Decision-problem State Analysis Methodology PDF Author: Duncan L. Dieterly
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 26

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Book Description


Decision Theory with a Human Face

Decision Theory with a Human Face PDF Author: Richard Bradley
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107003210
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351

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Book Description
Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.

Algorithmic Decision Theory

Algorithmic Decision Theory PDF Author: Patrice Perny
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9783642415746
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 442

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Book Description
This book constitutes the thoroughly refereed conference proceedings of the Third International Conference on Algorithmic Decision Theory, ADT 2013, held in November 2013 in Bruxelles, Belgium. The 33 revised full papers presented were carefully selected from more than 70 submissions, covering preferences in reasoning and decision making, uncertainty and robustness in decision making, multi-criteria decision analysis and optimization, collective decision making, learning and knowledge extraction for decision support.

Mathematical Statistics

Mathematical Statistics PDF Author: Thomas S. Ferguson
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483221237
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 409

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Book Description
Mathematical Statistics: A Decision Theoretic Approach presents an investigation of the extent to which problems of mathematical statistics may be treated by decision theory approach. This book deals with statistical theory that could be justified from a decision-theoretic viewpoint. Organized into seven chapters, this book begins with an overview of the elements of decision theory that are similar to those of the theory of games. This text then examines the main theorems of decision theory that involve two more notions, namely the admissibility of a decision rule and the completeness of a class of decision rules. Other chapters consider the development of theorems in decision theory that are valid in general situations. This book discusses as well the invariance principle that involves groups of transformations over the three spaces around which decision theory is built. The final chapter deals with sequential decision problems. This book is a valuable resource for first-year graduate students in mathematics.

Statistical Decision Problems

Statistical Decision Problems PDF Author: Michael Zabarankin
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461484715
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 254

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Book Description
Statistical Decision Problems presents a quick and concise introduction into the theory of risk, deviation and error measures that play a key role in statistical decision problems. It introduces state-of-the-art practical decision making through twenty-one case studies from real-life applications. The case studies cover a broad area of topics and the authors include links with source code and data, a very helpful tool for the reader. In its core, the text demonstrates how to use different factors to formulate statistical decision problems arising in various risk management applications, such as optimal hedging, portfolio optimization, cash flow matching, classification, and more. The presentation is organized into three parts: selected concepts of statistical decision theory, statistical decision problems, and case studies with portfolio safeguard. The text is primarily aimed at practitioners in the areas of risk management, decision making, and statistics. However, the inclusion of a fair bit of mathematical rigor renders this monograph an excellent introduction to the theory of general error, deviation, and risk measures for graduate students. It can be used as supplementary reading for graduate courses including statistical analysis, data mining, stochastic programming, financial engineering, to name a few. The high level of detail may serve useful to applied mathematicians, engineers, and statisticians interested in modeling and managing risk in various applications.

Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges

Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges PDF Author: Sixto Ríos
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401113726
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 295

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Book Description
Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges is divided into three parts. The first part, overviews, provides state-of-the-art surveys of various aspects of decision analysis and utility theory. The second part, theory and foundations, includes theoretical contributions on decision-making under uncertainty, partial beliefs and preferences. The third section, applications, reflects the real possibilities of recent theoretical developments such as non-expected utility theories, multicriteria decision techniques, and how these improve our understanding of other areas including artificial intelligence, economics, and environmental studies.