The Term Structure of Announcement Effects PDF Download
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Author: Michael J. Fleming
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
We analyse high-frequency responses of the US yield curve to macroeconomic announcements, exploiting the high signal-to-noise ratios of these events. Surprises in the announcements evoke relatively weak reactions from the short maturities and the strong ones from the intermediate maturities. Thus the term structure of announcement effects is hump-shaped. We fit an affine-yield model to the yield changes, using the announcement surprises as instruments for the Generalised Method of Moments (GMM). The model estimates imply that the announcements impose larger shocks on an expected future target interest rate than on the current short-term interest rate and that different types of announcements generate different expectations about this target rate, how rapidly it will be approached, and how long it will be maintained.
Author: Michael J. Fleming
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
We analyse high-frequency responses of the US yield curve to macroeconomic announcements, exploiting the high signal-to-noise ratios of these events. Surprises in the announcements evoke relatively weak reactions from the short maturities and the strong ones from the intermediate maturities. Thus the term structure of announcement effects is hump-shaped. We fit an affine-yield model to the yield changes, using the announcement surprises as instruments for the Generalised Method of Moments (GMM). The model estimates imply that the announcements impose larger shocks on an expected future target interest rate than on the current short-term interest rate and that different types of announcements generate different expectations about this target rate, how rapidly it will be approached, and how long it will be maintained.
Author: Michael J. Fleming
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 44
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Book Description
Author: Cathy Gaffney Miners
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 185
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Book Description
Author: Michiel de Pooter
Publisher: Rozenberg Publishers
ISBN: 9051709153
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 286
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Book Description
This dissertation consists of a collection of studies on two areas in quantitative finance: asset return volatility and the term structure of interest rates. The first part of this dissertation offers contributions to the literature on how to test for sudden changes in unconditional volatility, on modelling realized volatility and on the choice of optimal sampling frequencies for intraday returns. The emphasis in the second part of this dissertation is on the term structure of interest rates.
Author: Tae-Soo Kang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Money supply
Languages : en
Pages : 182
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Book Description
Author: Selva Demiralp
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The traditional view of the monetary transmission mechanism rests on the premise that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has full control over overnight rates via open market operations. By contrast, this paper tries to establish empirically the Fed's ability to manipulate overnight rates via "announcement" effects. In this paper, announcement effects are defined as unanticipated public disclosures of interest rate targets in the framework of a monetary policy action, not necessarily linked to conventional open market operations. In addition to comparing the relative importance of the more conventional liquidity effect versus the announcement effect, we study the Fed's ability to affect the term structure by surprising markets with announcements of a new level for the Federal funds rate target. This is accomplished with a variation of the autoregressive conditional hazard model introduced by Hamilton and Jorda (1999).
Author: Jagjit S. Chadha
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107044553
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 571
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Book Description
State-of-the-art research from academics and policymakers on the role of and challenges to monetary policy during the ongoing financial crisis.
Author: Mr.Jun Nagayasu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451874723
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
This paper empirically evaluates the validity of the term structure of interest rates in a low-interest-rate environment. Applying a time-series method to high-frequency Japanese data, the term-structure model is found to be useful for economic analysis only when interest rates are high. When interest rates are low, the usefulness of the model declines, since the interest spread contains little information that can be used for predicting future economic activity. The term-structure relationship is also weakened by the Bank of Japan's use of interest rate smoothing.
Author: Dominique Guegan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
We investigate the shape of the term structure reaction of the US swap rates to announcements using several linear and non-linear time series models. The main contribution of this article to put emphasize on the non-linearity of the market reaction to macroeconomic news. The empirical results yield several not-so-well-known stylized facts about the bond market. First, and although we used a daily dataset, we find that the introduction of non linear models leads to the finding of a significant number of macroeconomic figures that actually produce an effect over the yield curve. Second, we find that the term structure response to announcements can be much more complicated that what is generally found: we noticed at least four types of patterns in the term structure reaction of interest rates across maturities, including the hump-shaped one that is generally considered. Third, by comparing the shapes of the rates' term structure reaction to announcements with the first four factors obtained when performing a principal component analysis of the daily changes in the swap rates, we propose a first interpretation and classification of these different shapes. Fourth we find that the existence of some outliers in the one-day changes in interest rates usually leads to a strong underestimation of the reaction of interest rates to announcements, explaining the different results obtained between high-frequency and daily datasets: the first type of study seems to lead to the finding of fewer market mover announcements.
Author: Peter Conti-Brown
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1784719226
Category : Banks and banking, Central
Languages : en
Pages : 589
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Book Description
Central banks occupy a unique space in their national governments and in the global economy. The study of central banking however, has too often been dominated by an abstract theoretical approach that fails to grasp central banks’ institutional nuances. This comprehensive and insightful Handbook, takes a wider angle on central banks and central banking, focusing on the institutions of central banking. By 'institutions', Peter Conti-Brown and Rosa Lastra refer to the laws, traditions, norms, and rules used to structure central bank organisations. The Research Handbook on Central Banking’s institutional approach is one of the most interdisciplinary efforts to consider its topic, and includes chapters from leading and rising central bankers, economists, lawyers, legal scholars, political scientists, historians, and others.
