The Global Banking Network in the Aftermath of the Crisis: Is There Evidence of De-globalization?

The Global Banking Network in the Aftermath of the Crisis: Is There Evidence of De-globalization? PDF Author: Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484324862
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 45

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Book Description
Post-crisis dynamics show a shrinkage in the overall amount of crossborder bank lending, which has been interpreted in the literature as a retreat in financial globalization. In this paper, we argue that aggregate figures are not sufficient to support such a claim in terms of the overall structure of the global banking network. Based on a systematic approach to measuring, mapping and analyzing financial interconnectedness among countries using network theory, we show that, despite the decline in aggregate lending volumes, the structure of the network has developed increased connections in some dimensions. Some parts of the network are currently more interlinked regionally than before the crisis, and less dependent on major global lenders. In this context, at a more disaggregate level, we document the characteristics of the increasing regionalization of lending flows, the different evolution of linkages through bank affiliates and direct cross-border claims, as well as the shift in the importance of key borrower and lender nodes. These changes in the banking network have important insights in terms of policy implications since they indicate that the global banking network has evolved, but it has not undergone a generalized retrenchment in financial linkages.

The Global Banking Network in the Aftermath of the Crisis: Is There Evidence of De-globalization?

The Global Banking Network in the Aftermath of the Crisis: Is There Evidence of De-globalization? PDF Author: Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484324862
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 45

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Book Description
Post-crisis dynamics show a shrinkage in the overall amount of crossborder bank lending, which has been interpreted in the literature as a retreat in financial globalization. In this paper, we argue that aggregate figures are not sufficient to support such a claim in terms of the overall structure of the global banking network. Based on a systematic approach to measuring, mapping and analyzing financial interconnectedness among countries using network theory, we show that, despite the decline in aggregate lending volumes, the structure of the network has developed increased connections in some dimensions. Some parts of the network are currently more interlinked regionally than before the crisis, and less dependent on major global lenders. In this context, at a more disaggregate level, we document the characteristics of the increasing regionalization of lending flows, the different evolution of linkages through bank affiliates and direct cross-border claims, as well as the shift in the importance of key borrower and lender nodes. These changes in the banking network have important insights in terms of policy implications since they indicate that the global banking network has evolved, but it has not undergone a generalized retrenchment in financial linkages.

The Global Banking Network: What is Behind the Increasing Regionalization Trend?

The Global Banking Network: What is Behind the Increasing Regionalization Trend? PDF Author: Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484346726
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 59

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Book Description
This paper analyses the nature of the increasing regionalization process in global banking. Despite the large decline in aggregate cross-border banking lending volumes, some parts of the global banking network are currently more interlinked regionally than before the Global Financial Crisis. After developing a simple theoretical model capturing banks' internationalization decisions, our estimation shows that this regionalization trend is present even after controlling for traditional gravitational variables (e.g. distance, language, legal system, etc.), especially among lenders in EMs and non-core banking systems, such as Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Moreover, this regionalization trend was present before the GFC, but it has increased since then, and it seems to be associated with regulatory variables and the opportunities created by the retrenchment of several European lenders.

Deglobalization 2.0

Deglobalization 2.0 PDF Author: Peter A.G. van Bergeijk
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1788973461
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 215

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Book Description
Deglobalization 2.0 argues that Trump and Brexit are the symptoms, and not the causes, of a long sequence of alternating phases of globalization and deglobalization driven by increasing income inequality and the retreat from the global stage by a contested hegemon. Providing rich empirical details, Peter van Bergeijk investigates similarities and differences between the Great Depression of the 1930s and the Great Recession and its aftermath of a slowdown in global trade. Providing an overview of recent findings and a discussion of contributions from several disciplines, the book investigates scenarios for the future of the economic world order and proposes possible solutions.

A Modern Guide to Financial Shocks and Crises

A Modern Guide to Financial Shocks and Crises PDF Author: Ferri, Giovanni
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1789904528
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 385

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Book Description
Offering a comprehensive guide to financial shocks and crises, this book explores their increasing occurrence in current market economies, as well as their power to wrench the macroeconomy. The book discusses three critical questions: what causes financial shocks; which channels may exacerbate their impact; and what policies could help avoid them or limit their negative effect on the economy and society at large.

Global Economic Prospects, January 2020

Global Economic Prospects, January 2020 PDF Author: World Bank Group
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464814694
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 600

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Book Description
Global growth is projected to be slightly faster in 2020 than the post-crisis low registered last year. While growth could be stronger if reduced trade tensions lead to a sustained reduction in uncertainty, the balance of risks to the outlook is to the downside. Growth in emerging market and developing economies is also expected to remain subdued, continuing a decade of disappointing outcomes. A steep and widespread productivity growth slowdown has been underway in these economies since the global financial crisis, despite the largest, fastest, and most broad-based accumulation of debt since the 1970s. In addition, many emerging market and developing economies, including low-income countries, face the challenge of phasing out price controls that impose heavy fiscal cost and dampen investment. These circumstances add urgency to the need to implement measures to rebuild macroeconomic policy space and to undertake reforms to rekindle productivity growth. These efforts need to be supplemented by policies to promote inclusive and sustainable long-term growth and accelerate poverty alleviation. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing countries, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). The January edition includes in-depth analyses of topical policy challenges faced by these economies, whereas the June edition contains shorter analytical pieces.

A Decade after the Global Recession

A Decade after the Global Recession PDF Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464815283
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 499

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Book Description
This year marks the tenth anniversary of the 2009 global recession. Most emerging market and developing economies weathered the global recession relatively well, in part by using the sizable fiscal and monetary policy ammunition accumulated during prior years of strong growth. However, their growth prospects have weakened since then, and many now have less policy space.This study provides the first comprehensive stocktaking of the past decade from the perspective of emerging market and developing economies. Many of these economies have now become more vulnerable to economic shocks. The study discusses lessons from the global recession and policy options for these economies to strengthen growth and prepare for the possibility of another global downturn.

Evolution of the Global Financial Network and Contagion: A New Approach

Evolution of the Global Financial Network and Contagion: A New Approach PDF Author: Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484356586
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Book Description
This paper studies the interconnectedness of the global financial system and its susceptibility to shocks. A novel multilayer network framework is applied to link debt and equity exposures across countries. Use of this approach—that examines simultaneously multiple channels of transmission and their important higher order effects—shows that ignoring the heterogeneity of financial exposures, and simply aggregating all claims, as often done in other studies, can underestimate the extent and effects of financial contagion.The structure of the global financial network has changed since the global financial crisis, impacted by European bank’s deleveraging and higher corporate debt issuance. Still, we find that the structure of the system and contagion remain similar in that network is highly susceptible to shocks from central countries and those with large financial systems (e.g., the USA and the UK). While, individual European countries (excluding the UK) have relatively low impact on shock propagation, the network is highly susceptible to the shocks from the entire euro area. Another important development is the rising role of the Asian countries and the noticeable increase in network susceptibility to shocks from China and Hong Kong SAR economies.

Globalization, the IMF, and International Banks in Argentina

Globalization, the IMF, and International Banks in Argentina PDF Author: Christian Hernandez
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1793607702
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 257

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Book Description
Globalization, the IMF, and International Banks in Argentina: The Model Economic Crisis examines the meaning of mainstream globalization and how it relates to neoliberalism as policymakers, international financiers, and the mainstream press combat populist attempts to de-globalize. Christian Hernandez chronicles the failures of mainstream globalism— and its resilience. Hernandez examines the case of Argentina as a microcosm of political, economic, and financial distress that has now spread to the United States and Europe. Specifically, it examines how the financial press narrated the globalization of Argentine banks and the Argentine Great Depression shortly thereafter. The book also analyzes over 32 years of IMF-Argentine consultations. This includes the IMF’s return under Mauricio Macri; proving globalization is not dead. Scholars of economics, Latin American studies, and political science will find this book particularly useful.

Post-Crisis Changes in Global Bank Business Models: A New Taxonomy

Post-Crisis Changes in Global Bank Business Models: A New Taxonomy PDF Author: Mr.John C Caparusso
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513522884
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
The Global Financial Crisis unleashed changes in the operating and regulatory environments for large international banks. This paper proposes a novel taxonomy to identify and track business model evolution for the 30 Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs). Drawing from banks’ reporting, it identifies strategies along four dimensions –consolidated lines of business and geographic orientation, and the funding models and legal entity structures of international operations. G-SIBs have adjusted their business models, especially by reducing market intensity. While G-SIBs have maintained international orientation, pressures on funding models and entity structures could affect the efficiency of capital flows through the bank channel.

Cross-border Banking and the Circumvention of Macroprudential and Capital Control Measures

Cross-border Banking and the Circumvention of Macroprudential and Capital Control Measures PDF Author: Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484379187
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46

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Book Description
We analyze the joint impact of macroprudential and capital control measures on cross-border banking flows, while controlling for multidimensional aspects in lender-and-borrower-relationships (e.g., distance, cultural proximity, microprudential regulations). We uncover interesting spillover effects from both types of measures when applied either by lender or borrowing countries, with many of them most likely associated with circumvention or arbitrage incentives. While lender countries’ macroprudential policies reduce direct cross-border banking outflows, they are associated with larger outflows through local affiliates. Direct cross-border inflows are higher in borrower countries with more usage of macroprudential policies, and are linked to circumvention motives. In the case of capital controls, most spillovers seem to be present through local affiliates. We do not find evidence to support the idea that additional capital inflow controls could interact with macro-prudential policies to mitigate cross-border spillovers.