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Author: James M. Joyce
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139471384
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 281
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Book Description
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
Author: James M. Joyce
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521641647
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 300
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Book Description
The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.
Author: James M. Joyce
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139471384
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 281
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
Author: Bradshaw Frederick Armendt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 242
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Book Description
Author: Martin Peterson
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107151597
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351
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Book Description
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Author: Arif Ahmed
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108607861
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 112
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Book Description
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Author: Ellery Eells
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107144817
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 229
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Book Description
This book is Ellery Eells' influential examination and analysis of theories of rational decision making.
Author: Ellery Eells
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316558908
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 229
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Book Description
First published in 1982, Ellery Eells' original work on rational decision making had extensive implications for probability theorists, economists, statisticians and psychologists concerned with decision making and the employment of Bayesian principles. His analysis of the philosophical and psychological significance of Bayesian decision theories, causal decision theories and Newcomb's paradox continues to be influential in philosophy of science. His book is now revived for a new generation of readers and presented in a fresh twenty-first-century series livery, including a specially commissioned preface written by Brian Skyrms, illuminating its continuing importance and relevance to philosophical enquiry.
Author: Peter Gärdenfors
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780521333917
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 449
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Book Description
Decision theory and the theory of rational choice have recently been the subjects of considerable research by philosophers and economists. However, no adequate anthology exists which can be used to introduce students to the field. This volume is designed to meet that need. The essays included are organized into five parts covering the foundations of decision theory, the conceptualization of probability and utility, pholosophical difficulties with the rules of rationality and with the assessment of probability, and causal decision theory. The editors provide an extensive introduction to the field and introductions to each part.
Author: Arif Ahmed
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107020891
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 261
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Book Description
An explanation and defence of evidential decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role.
Author: John L. Pollock
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199838860
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 280
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Book Description
John Pollock aims to construct a theory of rational decision making for real agents--not ideal agents. Real agents have limited cognitive powers, but traditional theories of rationality have applied only to idealized agents that lack such constraints. Pollock argues that theories of ideal rationality are largely irrelevant to the decision making of real agents. Thinking about Acting aims to provide a theory of "real rationality."
