The Fisher Hypothesis and Inflation Persistence

The Fisher Hypothesis and Inflation Persistence PDF Author: Wensheng Peng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
This paper presents an empirical evaluation of the strength of the Fisher effect which predicts a positive relationship between the nominal interest rate and inflation in the postwar period in the five major industrial countries, utilizing recently developed time series techniques. The results suggest that the Fisher effect is stronger in France, the United Kingdom, and the United States than in Germany and Japan. It is argued that the differences in the linkage between the interest rate and the inflation rate as between the two groups of countries are reflected in the time series properties of the inflation rates, which are, in turn, partly attributable to the different extent to which monetary authorities accommodated inflationary shocks. The empirical results have a number of implications for the long-term trend in the SDR interest rate and for the financing of the Fund’s operations.

Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy

Understanding Inflation and the Implications for Monetary Policy PDF Author: Jeff Fuhrer
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 026225820X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 517

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Book Description
Current perspectives on the Phillips curve, a core macroeconomic concept that treats the relationship between inflation and unemployment. In 1958, economist A. W. Phillips published an article describing what he observed to be the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment; subsequently, the “Phillips curve” became a central concept in macroeconomic analysis and policymaking. But today's Phillips curve is not the same as the original one from fifty years ago; the economy, our understanding of price setting behavior, the determinants of inflation, and the role of monetary policy have evolved significantly since then. In this book, some of the top economists working today reexamine the theoretical and empirical validity of the Phillips curve in its more recent specifications. The contributors consider such questions as what economists have learned about price and wage setting and inflation expectations that would improve the way we use and formulate the Phillips curve, what the Phillips curve approach can teach us about inflation dynamics, and how these lessons can be applied to improving the conduct of monetary policy. Contributors Lawrence Ball, Ben Bernanke, Oliver Blanchard, V. V. Chari, William T. Dickens, Stanley Fischer, Jeff Fuhrer, Jordi Gali, Michael T. Kiley, Robert G. King, Donald L. Kohn, Yolanda K. Kodrzycki, Jane Sneddon Little, Bartisz Mackowiak, N. Gregory Mankiw, Virgiliu Midrigan, Giovanni P. Olivei, Athanasios Orphanides, Adrian R. Pagan, Christopher A. Pissarides, Lucrezia Reichlin, Paul A. Samuelson, Christopher A. Sims, Frank R. Smets, Robert M. Solow, Jürgen Stark, James H. Stock, Lars E. O. Svensson, John B. Taylor, Mark W. Watson

The Fisher Hypothesis and Inflation Persistence

The Fisher Hypothesis and Inflation Persistence PDF Author: Wensheng Peng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
This paper presents an empirical evaluation of the strength of the Fisher effect which predicts a positive relationship between the nominal interest rate and inflation in the postwar period in the five major industrial countries, utilizing recently developed time series techniques. The results suggest that the Fisher effect is stronger in France, the United Kingdom, and the United States than in Germany and Japan. It is argued that the differences in the linkage between the interest rate and the inflation rate as between the two groups of countries are reflected in the time series properties of the inflation rates, which are, in turn, partly attributable to the different extent to which monetary authorities accommodated inflationary shocks. The empirical results have a number of implications for the long-term trend in the SDR interest rate and for the financing of the Fund’s operations.

The Inverted Fisher Hypothesis

The Inverted Fisher Hypothesis PDF Author: Woon Gyu Choi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description
This paper examines the implications of inflation persistence for the inverted Fisher hypothesis that nominal interest rates do not adjust to inflation because of a high degree of substitutability between money and bonds. It is emphasized that the substitutability between nominal assets and capital renders the hypothesis inconsistent with the data when inflation persistence is high. Using a switching regression model, the analysis allows the reflection of inflation in interest rates to vary according to the degree of inflation persistence or forecastability. The hypothesis is supported by U.S. data only when inflation forecastability is below a certain threshold.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 2 PDF Author: Mr.Robert P. Flood
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589061194
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 122

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Book Description
This paper explores sources of the output collapse in Russia during transition. A modified growth-accounting framework is developed that takes into account changes in factor utilization that are typical of the transition process. The results indicate that declines in factor inputs and productivity were both important determinants of the output fall. The paper analyzes the behavior of real commodity prices over the 1862–1999 progress. It also examines whether average stocks of health and education are converging across countries, and calculates the speed of their convergence using data from 84 countries for 1970–90.

The Historical Performance of the Federal Reserve

The Historical Performance of the Federal Reserve PDF Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: Hoover Press
ISBN: 0817922164
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 657

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Book Description
Distinguished economist Michael D. Bordo argues for the importance of monetary stability and monetary rules, offering theoretical, empirical, and historical perspectives to support his case. He shows how the pursuit of stable monetary policy guided by central banks following rule-like behavior produces low and stable inflation, stable real performance, and encourages financial stability. In contrast, he explains how the failure to adhere to rules that produce monetary stability will inevitably produce the dire consequences of real, nominal, and financial instability. Bordo also examines the performance of the Federal Reserve and he reviews the history of monetary policy during the Great Depression.

Inflation, Institutions and Information

Inflation, Institutions and Information PDF Author: Daniel Vaz
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1349135216
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 416

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Book Description
Macroeconomics has undergone profound changes since the Keynesian consensus broke down in the mid-60s. Axel Leijonhufvud belonged to that core group of distinguished macroeconomists who wrought the changes that brought back the classical questions to the subject: microfoundations, money, markets, institutions, information, transition dynamics and much else. He fashioned a whole series of conceptual innovations that have become part of the folklore of monetary macroeconomics. In this collection of essays distinguished colleagues and former students pay homage to this gentle intellectual giant. Issues that have featured at the centre of Axel Leijonhufvud's research for over 30 years are discussed by the contributors. History of thought, philosophy of science and transition dynamics in addition to the more central issues of money, inflation, monetary regimes, information, institutions, microfoundations, increasing returns and stabilizing speculation are some of the central topics discussed, empirically and theoretically, in these essays.

Macroeconomics and the Financial System

Macroeconomics and the Financial System PDF Author: N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher: Macmillan
ISBN: 1429253673
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 642

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Book Description
Watch this video interview with Greg Mankiw and Larry Ball discussing the future of the intermediate macroeconomics course and their new text. Check out preview content for Macroeconomics and the Financial System here. The financial crisis and subsequent economic downturn of 2008 and 2009 was a dramatic reminder of what economists have long understood: developments in the overall economy and developments in the financial system are inextricably intertwined. Derived and updated from two widely acclaimed textbooks (Greg Mankiw’s Macroeconomics, Seventh Edition and Larry Ball’s Money, Banking, and the Financial System), this groundbreaking text is the first and only intermediate macroeconomics text that provides substantial coverage of the financial system.

Actuarial Study

Actuarial Study PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Old age pensions
Languages : en
Pages : 570

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Book Description


Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Spring 2011

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Spring 2011 PDF Author: David H. Romer
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
ISBN: 0815722222
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 421

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Book Description
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: Spring 2011 • Job Search, Emotional Well-Being, and Job Finding in a Period of Mass Unemployment: Evidence from High-Frequency Longitudinal Data By Alan B. Krueger and Andreas Mueller • Financially Fragile Households: Evidence and Implications By Annamaria Lusardi, Daniel Schneider, and Peter Tufano • Let's Twist Again: A High-Frequency Event-Study Analysis of Operation Twist and Its Implications for QE2 By Eric T. Swanson • An Exploration of Optimal Stabilization Policy By N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew Weinzierl • What Explains the German Labor Market Miracle in the Great Recession? By Michael C. Burda and Jennifer Hunt • Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession By Laurence Ball and Sandeep Mazumder

Gold Standard In Theory & History

Gold Standard In Theory & History PDF Author: Marc Flandreau
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134747500
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 252

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Book Description
Since the first edition, published in 1985, much new research has been completed. This updated version includes five new essays, including a new introduction by Eichengreen and a discussion of the gold standard and the EU monetary debate.