The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States

The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States PDF Author: Mr. Philip Barrett
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 51

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Book Description
We use payroll data on over 1 million workers at 80,000 small firms to construct county-month measures of employment, hours, and wages that correct for dynamic changes in sample composition in response to business cycle fluctuations. We use this to estimate the response of small firms' employment, hours and wages following tighter local labor market conditions. We find that employment and hours per worker fall and wages rise. This is consistent with the predictions of the response to a demand shock in the well-known “jobs ladder” model of labor markets. To check this interpretation, we show our results hold when instrumenting for local demand using county-level Department of Defense contract spending. Correction for dynamic sample bias is important -- without it, the hours fall by only one third as much and wages increase by double.

The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States

The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States PDF Author: Mr. Philip Barrett
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 51

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Book Description
We use payroll data on over 1 million workers at 80,000 small firms to construct county-month measures of employment, hours, and wages that correct for dynamic changes in sample composition in response to business cycle fluctuations. We use this to estimate the response of small firms' employment, hours and wages following tighter local labor market conditions. We find that employment and hours per worker fall and wages rise. This is consistent with the predictions of the response to a demand shock in the well-known “jobs ladder” model of labor markets. To check this interpretation, we show our results hold when instrumenting for local demand using county-level Department of Defense contract spending. Correction for dynamic sample bias is important -- without it, the hours fall by only one third as much and wages increase by double.

Handbook of Labor Economics

Handbook of Labor Economics PDF Author: Orley Ashenfelter
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 9780444501899
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 800

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Book Description
A guide to the continually evolving field of labour economics.

Trend of Employment

Trend of Employment PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Labor market
Languages : en
Pages : 1174

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Book Description


Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles PDF Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513536990
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Divergence in Post-Pandemic Earnings Growth: Evidence from Micro Data

Divergence in Post-Pandemic Earnings Growth: Evidence from Micro Data PDF Author: Sophia Chen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 53

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Book Description
We use a comprehensive employer-employee dataset to examine post-pandemic worker earnings in the US. Our findings reveal that earnings grew faster in counties that were less severely impacted at the onset of the pandemic. This divergence in growth was both substantial and persistent, particularly for lower-paid and nonmanagerial workers, as well as for those in smaller firms. Both wage increases and additional hours contributed to this earnings growth. This evidence aligns with a job-ladder framework, where labor market competition leads to a dispersion of earnings across counties but compresses earnings among workers in counties with strong labor markets. Our findings provide a microfoundation for the wage Phillips curve and have direct implications for stabilization policies.

Human Capital in History

Human Capital in History PDF Author: Leah Platt Boustan
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 022616389X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 419

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Book Description
This volume honours the contributions Claudia Goldin has made to scholarship and teaching in economic history and labour economics. The chapters address some closely integrated issues: the role of human capital in the long-term development of the American economy, trends in fertility and marriage, and women's participation in economic change.

The New Geography of Jobs

The New Geography of Jobs PDF Author: Enrico Moretti
Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
ISBN: 0547750110
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 309

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Book Description
Makes correlations between success and geography, explaining how such rising centers of innovation as San Francisco and Austin are likely to offer influential opportunities and shape the national and global economies in positive or detrimental ways.

The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration

The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration PDF Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309444454
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 643

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Book Description
The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration finds that the long-term impact of immigration on the wages and employment of native-born workers overall is very small, and that any negative impacts are most likely to be found for prior immigrants or native-born high school dropouts. First-generation immigrants are more costly to governments than are the native-born, but the second generation are among the strongest fiscal and economic contributors in the U.S. This report concludes that immigration has an overall positive impact on long-run economic growth in the U.S. More than 40 million people living in the United States were born in other countries, and almost an equal number have at least one foreign-born parent. Together, the first generation (foreign-born) and second generation (children of the foreign-born) comprise almost one in four Americans. It comes as little surprise, then, that many U.S. residents view immigration as a major policy issue facing the nation. Not only does immigration affect the environment in which everyone lives, learns, and works, but it also interacts with nearly every policy area of concern, from jobs and the economy, education, and health care, to federal, state, and local government budgets. The changing patterns of immigration and the evolving consequences for American society, institutions, and the economy continue to fuel public policy debate that plays out at the national, state, and local levels. The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration assesses the impact of dynamic immigration processes on economic and fiscal outcomes for the United States, a major destination of world population movements. This report will be a fundamental resource for policy makers and law makers at the federal, state, and local levels but extends to the general public, nongovernmental organizations, the business community, educational institutions, and the research community.

Employment and Wages

Employment and Wages PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Labor supply
Languages : en
Pages : 478

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Book Description


Sticky Feet

Sticky Feet PDF Author: Claire H. Hollweg
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464802637
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 123

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Book Description
This report quantifies labor mobility costs in developing countries and simulates the implied adjustment paths of employment and wages following a change in trade policy. High mobility costs are shown to reduce the potential gains to trade reform.