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Author: Zhaohui Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : European Monetary System (Organisation)
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
The stability of the EMS depends crucially on realignment expectations of the market participants. In this paper we discuss how to measure such expectations and how to relate them to economic fundamentals, central bank reputation, and institutional arrangements of the EMS. We find the following empirical regularities for FF/DM and IL/DM exchange rates: (1) expected devaluations are positively related to the current exchange rate deviation from the central parity; (2) expected devaluations are negatively related to the length of time since last realignment in the short and medium run; (3) the Basle-Nyborg agreements seem to have a stabilizing effect for both currencies examined, albeit through different channels; (4) large revaluation expectations occur immediately after devaluations. (1) and (4) are not inconsistent with the hypothesis of over-speculation or market inefficiency.
Author: Zhaohui Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : European Monetary System (Organisation)
Languages : en
Pages : 52
Get Book Here
Book Description
The stability of the EMS depends crucially on realignment expectations of the market participants. In this paper we discuss how to measure such expectations and how to relate them to economic fundamentals, central bank reputation, and institutional arrangements of the EMS. We find the following empirical regularities for FF/DM and IL/DM exchange rates: (1) expected devaluations are positively related to the current exchange rate deviation from the central parity; (2) expected devaluations are negatively related to the length of time since last realignment in the short and medium run; (3) the Basle-Nyborg agreements seem to have a stabilizing effect for both currencies examined, albeit through different channels; (4) large revaluation expectations occur immediately after devaluations. (1) and (4) are not inconsistent with the hypothesis of over-speculation or market inefficiency.
Author: Mr.Peter Isard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451922043
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
The paper models an adjustable peg exchange rate arrangement as a policy rule with an escape clause under which the timing and magnitudes of realignments are the outcomes of policy optimization decisions. Under the assumptions that market participants are rational, risk averse, and fully informed about the incentives of policymakers, the analysis focuses on the implications for relating realignment expectations to the state variables that enter the policy objective function, for modeling the bias in using forward exchange rates to predict future spot rates, and for characterizing the effectiveness of sterilized intervention.
Author: Sinimaaria Ranki
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Banks and banking
Languages : en
Pages : 180
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Book Description
The purpose of this study is to analyze realignment expectations in the exchange rate mechanism of the European Monetary System, in particular with reference to the five year period (1987-1992) during which no realignments were done.
Author: Christopher Johnson
Publisher: Fairleigh Dickinson Univ Press
ISBN: 9780838636077
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 328
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Book Description
Based on research commissioned by the European Parliament, this volume allows the economists contributing to offer their own explanations for the collapse of the European Monetary System, with the use of economic models.
Author: Zhaohui Chen
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789810226190
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224
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Book Description
This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets. The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.
Author: Alberto Giovannini
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262071680
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 408
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Book Description
Written from 1985 to 1992, the author's essays address such topics as the transition to a European monetary system, the design and functioning of a European Central Bank, curency reform, capital inflow, and exchange rates.
Author: Tamim Bayoumi
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521571693
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 432
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Book Description
Currency crises in Europe and Mexico during the 1990s provided stark reminders of the importance and the fragility of international financial markets. These experiences led some commentators to conclude that open international capital markets are incompatible with financial stability. But the pre-1914 gold standard is an obvious challenge to the notion that open capital markets are sources of instability. To deepen our understanding of how this system worked, this volume draws together recent research on the gold standard. Theoretical models are used to guide qualitative discussions of historical experience, while econometric methods are used to help the historical data speak clearly. The result is an overview of the gold standard, a survey of the relevant applied research in international macroeconomics, and a demonstration of how the past can help to inform the present.
Author: Barry Eichengreen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642798179
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 250
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Book Description
In this volume, a group of distinguished economists and political scientists analyze the political economy of European integration, evaluating recent developments in European monetary and fiscal policy. They consider the current situation, as well as the prospects for an Integrated Europe. The book is unique in combining perspectives from economics and political science and provides an in-depth analysis of the new European institutions. The book will be of great interest to observers, scholars, and students of European economic and political affairs, macroeconomic policy, institutional analysis, and comparative and international political economy. Published in conjunction with "Politics and Institutions in an Integrated Europe" by the same editors.
Author: Barry J. Eichengreen
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262550598
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 396
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Book Description
An analysis of the connections between capital flows and financial crises as well as between capital flows and economic growth.
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521811333
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 257
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Book Description
This book presents ten studies which combine historical narrative with econometrics to analyze the role of credibility in four monetary regimes.
