The Asset Growth Effect in Stock Returns PDF Download
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Author: Michael J. Cooper
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Book Description
We document a strong negative relationship between the growth of total firm assets and subsequent firm stock returns using a broad sample of U.S. stocks. Over the past 40 years, low asset growth stocks have maintained a return premium of 20% per year over high asset growth stocks. The asset growth return premium begins in January following the measurement year and persists for up to five years. The firm asset growth rate maintains an economically and statistically important ability to forecast returns in both large capitalization and small capitalization stocks. In the cross-section of stock returns, the asset growth rate maintains large explanatory power with respect to other previously documented determinants of the cross-section of returns (i.e., size, prior returns, book-to-market ratios). We conclude that risk-based explanations have some difficulty in explaining such a large and consistent return premium.
Author: Michael J. Cooper
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Book Description
We document a strong negative relationship between the growth of total firm assets and subsequent firm stock returns using a broad sample of U.S. stocks. Over the past 40 years, low asset growth stocks have maintained a return premium of 20% per year over high asset growth stocks. The asset growth return premium begins in January following the measurement year and persists for up to five years. The firm asset growth rate maintains an economically and statistically important ability to forecast returns in both large capitalization and small capitalization stocks. In the cross-section of stock returns, the asset growth rate maintains large explanatory power with respect to other previously documented determinants of the cross-section of returns (i.e., size, prior returns, book-to-market ratios). We conclude that risk-based explanations have some difficulty in explaining such a large and consistent return premium.
Author: Marc L. Lipson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 46
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Book Description
We consider the expanding evidence for a negative correlation between firm asset growth and subsequent stock returns with respect to two rational explanations: compensation for risk and costly arbitrage. We observe that the growth rate in total assets is the dominant asset growth rate variable in explaining the cross-section of stock returns. We show that a factor sensitivity to systematic asset growth does not generate a significant risk premium beyond the simple firm growth effect. We find that firm idiosyncratic volatility, which we use as a measure of the cost of holding a position in the stock per unit of time, explains substantial variation in the asset growth effect in the cross section of returns. Furthermore, time series patterns in alphas and factor loadings related to asset growth are associated with high idiosyncratic risk. Our findings highlight the magnitude of the impact of costly arbitrage on stock returns.
Author: Akiko Watanabe
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Firms with higher asset growth rates subsequently experience lower stock returns in international equity markets, consistent with the U.S. evidence. This negative effect of asset growth on returns is stronger in more developed capital markets and markets where stocks are more efficiently priced, but is unrelated to country characteristics representing limits to arbitrage,investor protection, and accounting quality. The evidence suggests that the cross-sectional relation between asset growth and stock return is more likely due to an optimal investment effect than due to over-investment, market timing, or other forms of mispricing.
Author: Xuan Vinh Vo
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This article sheds light on the question of whether asset growth are a strong candidate for stock return prediction in emerging markets. We test for the firm level asset investment effects in stock return by examining the relationship between asset growth rates and subsequent stock returns. Using a large and unique data set of market and accounting variables of firms listed on Ho Chi Minh city stock exchange for the period from 2008 to 2012 and employing the method similar to Gray & Johnson (2011), our results indicate that asset growth has no significant effect on stock returns. Our results tend to support findings of Fama & French (2008) while contradict the results of Cooper et al. (2008) and Gray & Johnson (2011).
Author: Michael J. Cooper
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 54
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Book Description
We test for firm-level asset investment effects in returns by examining the cross-sectional relation between firm asset growth and subsequent stock returns. As a test variable, we use the year-on-year percentage change in total assets. Asset growth rates are strong predictors of future abnormal returns. Asset growth retains its forecasting ability even on large capitalization stocks, a subgroup of firms for which other documented predictors of the cross-section lose much of their predictive ability. When we compare asset growth rates with the previously documented determinants of the cross-section of returns (i.e., book-to-market ratios, firm capitalization, lagged returns, accruals, and other growth measures), we find that a firm's annual asset growth rate emerges as an economically and statistically significant predictor of the cross-section of U.S. stock returns.
Author: Georgios Constantinou
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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This paper examines whether firm-level asset investment effects in returns found for U.S. firms occur within the Greek stock market. We find that growth in total assets is strongly negatively related to future stock returns of Greek firms. In fact, the relation remains statistically significant, even when we control for other strong predictors of future returns (i.e., market capitalization and book-to-market ratio). Furthermore, we find that a hedge trading strategy on asset growth rate consisting of a long (short) position in firms with low (high) balance sheet growth generates positive returns, confirming that investment growth has significant predictive power for future returns of Greek listed firms.
Author: Sandro Odoni
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Muhammad Iqbal
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 18
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Book Description
Assorted types of market anomalies occur when stock prices deviate from the prediction of classical asset pricing theories. This study aims to examine asset growth anomaly where stocks with high asset growth will be followed by low returns in the subsequent periods. This study finds that an equally-weighted low-growth portfolio outperforms high-growth portfolio by average 0.75% per month (9% per annum). The analysis is extended at individual stock-level using fixed-effect panel regression in which asset growth effect remains significant even with controlling other variables of stock return determinants. This study also explores further whether asset growth can be included as risk factor. Employing two-stage cross-section regression in Fama and Macbeth (1973), the result aligns with prior studies that asset growth is not a new risk factor; instead the anomaly is driven by mispricing due to investors' behavior.
Author: Fangjian Fu
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
Studies have shown that firm asset growth predicts cross-sectional stock returns. Firms that shrink their assets earn superior returns while firms that substantially expand their assets incur poor returns in the following years. I show that the negative asset growth often implies poor operating performance and a high probability subsequently to be delisted from the exchanges and that the high asset growth is primarily fuelled by large external financing. The seemingly superior returns of the negative asset growth portfolios are due to the omission of delisting returns. The poor returns of the high asset growth portfolios coincide with the widely-documented return underperformance of firms that have resorted to debt or equity offerings. Controlling for the delisting bias and the underperformance following large external financing, I do not find an independent effect of asset growth on stock returns.
Author: David C. Ling
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ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43
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Book Description
In this paper, we examine the impact of asset growth rates on the future stock performance of 308 publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs). We observe that fast growing REITs tend to underperform slow growing REITs. However, we find evidence that the growth effect is significantly less negative for REITs selling at a premium to NAV. On the asset investment side, the negative asset growth effect is associated with growth in non-core assets. This is consistent with the notion that firms that grow outside of their competency areas are penalized by the market. On the asset financing side, we find that growth activities funded by taking on more unsecured debt are associated with negative stock performance over the next 12 months. In addition, we only observe the asset growth effect in the sub-sample of REITs that engages in equity issuance over the next 12 months. The combined evidence suggests that contemporaneous equity dilution, which has not been considered in previous studies, may provide a simple explanation for the underperformance of fast growing firms.
