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Author: Xuan Huang
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781124668666
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 108
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Book Description
This dissertation includes 3 chapters, which are about text analysis of earnings press releases. Chapter 1 investigates whether managers exercise discretion over how they present in the headline of earnings press releases. I find that on average headline-salient firms have higher earnings or profitable earnings. Further analysis shows that announcement with salient headlines in the earnings press releases are associated with a stronger market reaction on the announcement day and less subsequent drift. These results suggest that headlines can be a tool for perception management. Chapter 2 and 3 investigate whether managers employ tone of earnings press releases for the purpose of perception management. Chapter 2 finds that managers of firms with high abnormal accruals and firms just meeting or beating earnings targets tend to use more positive words in earnings press releases to hype the discretionary accounting numbers. This evidence implies that managers strategically use tone as a complement to earnings management to manage investor perceptions. Chapter 3 explores whether managers use tone in earnings press releases to enhance quantitative financial reporting or to mislead investors. We estimate abnormal positive tone and finds abnormal positive tone is associated with lower future earnings and cash flows from operations, a higher incidence of meeting/beating three types of earnings thresholds, and a higher incidence of future earnings restatements. Tone is also abnormally positive before firms undertake major corporate transactions such as SEO or M & A. Earnings-announcement-date returns increase with abnormal positive tone, controlling for discretionary accruals. Furthermore, instead of PEAD, after earnings announcements with abnormal positive tone there is post-event return reversal.
Author: Xuan Huang
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781124668666
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 108
Get Book Here
Book Description
This dissertation includes 3 chapters, which are about text analysis of earnings press releases. Chapter 1 investigates whether managers exercise discretion over how they present in the headline of earnings press releases. I find that on average headline-salient firms have higher earnings or profitable earnings. Further analysis shows that announcement with salient headlines in the earnings press releases are associated with a stronger market reaction on the announcement day and less subsequent drift. These results suggest that headlines can be a tool for perception management. Chapter 2 and 3 investigate whether managers employ tone of earnings press releases for the purpose of perception management. Chapter 2 finds that managers of firms with high abnormal accruals and firms just meeting or beating earnings targets tend to use more positive words in earnings press releases to hype the discretionary accounting numbers. This evidence implies that managers strategically use tone as a complement to earnings management to manage investor perceptions. Chapter 3 explores whether managers use tone in earnings press releases to enhance quantitative financial reporting or to mislead investors. We estimate abnormal positive tone and finds abnormal positive tone is associated with lower future earnings and cash flows from operations, a higher incidence of meeting/beating three types of earnings thresholds, and a higher incidence of future earnings restatements. Tone is also abnormally positive before firms undertake major corporate transactions such as SEO or M & A. Earnings-announcement-date returns increase with abnormal positive tone, controlling for discretionary accruals. Furthermore, instead of PEAD, after earnings announcements with abnormal positive tone there is post-event return reversal.
Author: Marius Rombach
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3656040443
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 25
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Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2011 in the subject Computer Science - Commercial Information Technology, University of Freiburg (Chair of Information Systems Research), language: English, abstract: Earnings press releases are the major news event of the season for companies and investors, analysts, financial media and the market. As framework of investor relations (IR) they communicate the financial performance in numerical and narrative forms. For example, earnings press releases are obligatory for firms listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). There are several rules and guidelines how to prepare them. An accurate earnings press release contains, apart from analyses of operating results, historical data, positive and negative factors affecting key financial indicators, a realistic and truthful forecast of future quarters. Whereas numerous studies focus on interpretation of numerical forms in earnings press releases, this paper examines the influence of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases on future firm performance with several studies. It also opposes different approaches to measure the tone. Based on the study "Beyond the Numbers: An Analysis of Optimistic and Pessimistic Language in Earnings Press Releases" published by Davis, Piger and Sedor the paper presents a textual analysis approach with DICTION 5.0. The authors have been the first scientists so far to examine the role language plays in the credible communication of information to investors. The dictionary-based content analysis program DICTION 5.0 is able to identify subtle aspects of language. The systematic textual analysis techniques are based on pre-existing search rules. It is able to analyze a larger sample size than possible by human coding or manual reading. Apart from this, statistical methods - like the naïve Bayesian learning algorithm, reducing a given sentence to a list of words - are introduced and compared with each other. Given the different approaches to analy
Author: Angela Kay Davis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
"In this paper, we examine whether managers use optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases to provide information about expected future firm performance to the market, and whether the market responds to optimistic and pessimistic language usage in earnings press releases after controlling for the earnings surprise and other factors likely to influence the market's response to the earnings announcement. We use textual-analysis software to measure levels of optimistic and pessimistic language for a sample of approximately 24,000 earnings press releases issued between 1998 and 2003. We find a positive (negative) association between optimistic (pessimistic) language usage and future firm performance and a significant incremental market response to optimistic and pessimistic language usage in earnings press releases. Results suggest managers use optimistic and pessimistic language to provide credible information about expected future firm performance to the market, and that the market responds to managers' language usage"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.
Author: Elizabeth Demers
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 66
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Book Description
This paper examines whether the "soft" information contained in the text of management's quarterly earnings press releases is incrementally informative over the company's reported "hard" earnings news. We use Diction, a textual-analysis program, to extract various dimensions of managerial net optimism from more than 20,000 corporate earnings announcements over the period 1998 to 2006 and document that unanticipated net optimism in managers' language affects announcement period abnormal returns and predicts post-earnings announcement drift. We find that it takes longer for the market to understand the implications of soft information than those of hard information. We also find that the market response varies by firm size, turnover, media and analyst coverage, and the extent to which the standard accounting model captures the underlying economics of the firm. We also show that the second moment of soft information, the level of certainty in the text, is an important determinant of contemporaneous idiosyncratic volatility, and it predicts future idiosyncratic volatility.
Author: Sergio Consoli
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030668916
Category : Application software
Languages : en
Pages : 357
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Book Description
This open access book covers the use of data science, including advanced machine learning, big data analytics, Semantic Web technologies, natural language processing, social media analysis, time series analysis, among others, for applications in economics and finance. In addition, it shows some successful applications of advanced data science solutions used to extract new knowledge from data in order to improve economic forecasting models. The book starts with an introduction on the use of data science technologies in economics and finance and is followed by thirteen chapters showing success stories of the application of specific data science methodologies, touching on particular topics related to novel big data sources and technologies for economic analysis (e.g. social media and news); big data models leveraging on supervised/unsupervised (deep) machine learning; natural language processing to build economic and financial indicators; and forecasting and nowcasting of economic variables through time series analysis. This book is relevant to all stakeholders involved in digital and data-intensive research in economics and finance, helping them to understand the main opportunities and challenges, become familiar with the latest methodological findings, and learn how to use and evaluate the performances of novel tools and frameworks. It primarily targets data scientists and business analysts exploiting data science technologies, and it will also be a useful resource to research students in disciplines and courses related to these topics. Overall, readers will learn modern and effective data science solutions to create tangible innovations for economic and financial applications.
Author: Tracey Jean Riley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporate profits
Languages : en
Pages : 132
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Book Description
For years, researchers have examined financial data in corporate earnings announcements and their influence on market participants. More recently, a body of research has been developing recognizing the impact of narrative disclosures and managers' deliberate language choices. However, no prior studies have investigated those language choices of managers which are likely unintentional in composing such narratives; language choices which, as previous research has revealed, escape conscious access. Using an empirically-grounded model which systematically classifies different predicates, I examined whether managers use systematic patterns of language when construing the earnings press release in a likely unintentional effort to channel or direct readers' attention. I found that managers write positive information using a more concrete construal than negative information. Additionally, I used experimental data to examine whether these systematic differences lead to different perceptions of the company and its value as an investment alternative. Nonprofessional investors performed an analysis of an earnings press release where I manipulated the valence of the narrative as positive or negative and the construal of the narrative as abstract or concrete. I found that these manipulations had an interactive influence on investment decisions. Specifically, investors were least likely to invest when a negatively valenced narrative was written concretely. I also found that the influence of the narrative on the investment decision was direct and not the result of the narrative influencing the investors' focus of attention on the accompanying financial statements. Additionally, I tested whether the investor judgments were due to intentional cognitive effects and found that the influence of the narrative on the investment decision was not conscious on the part of the investor. Lastly, I conducted an analysis of archival data to examine the relationship between managers' language use in forward-looking statements of the earnings press release and future firm performance and the extent to which the market responds to these linguistic clues. Results from the analysis suggest that construal is predictive of future firm performance and the market is incorporating this into pricing for firms that meet or beat earnings expectations.
Author: Baruch Lev
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
ISBN: 1422142337
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 394
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Book Description
Pleasing Wall Street used to be easy for executives. Not anymore. The stock market is an uncertain place, and every day executives have to figure out what investors really want. There are right ways and wrong ways to do this. Get it wrong, and you risk alienating investors as well as employees, consumers, and suppliers—which can erode your earnings and stock price. In Winning Investors Over, Baruch Lev draws on his own and other finance scholars’ research to present authoritative, often surprising instructions for dealing intelligently with Wall Street—and boosting your company’s earnings and stock price. Through rigorous data analysis and real-life cases, Lev shows how to: • Understand and address investors’ concerns to secure ongoing funding and support from the capital markets • Deliver disappointing news effectively to investors • Build, rebuild, and maintain credibility on Wall Street • Buy time for your company’s recovery from activist shareholders and hedge fund raiders • Structure your compensation to win shareholders’ support Winning Investors Over demonstrates that despite the uncertainty that characterizes Wall Street today, you can still craft a mutually beneficial, long-term partnership with investors.
Author: Hart, Roderick P.
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1466650001
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 435
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Book Description
While personal variables like age, education, and gender are often thought to contribute to a persons distinctive speech pattern, corporate environments often develop its own way of communication which include larger scale variables like the economy and organizational traditions. Communication and Language Analysis in the Corporate World provides insight into the verbiage of the corporate world and the influence of this environment for a persons speech pattern, language, and terminology. This book will provide a guide for language researchers and business leaders alike so that they may find a way to communicate with everyone customers, colleagues, and CEOs effectively.
Author: Angela K. Davis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31
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Book Description
Earnings press releases are the primary mechanism by which managers announce quarterly earnings and make other concurrent disclosures to investors and other stakeholders. A largely unexplored element of earnings press releases is the language that managers use throughout the press release, which we argue provides a unifying framework for these disclosures and an opportunity for managers to signal, both directly and more subtly, their expectations about future performance. We analyze the full texts of approximately 23,000 earnings press releases issued between 1998 and 2003 and examine whether the language used in these earnings press releases provides a signal about expected future firm performance and whether the market responds to this signal. Using categories derived from linguistic theory, we count words characterized as optimistic and pessimistic and construct a measure of managers' net optimistic language for each earnings press release. We find that this measure is positively associated with future ROA and generates a significant market response in a short window around the earnings announcement date. We include in our models the earnings surprise as well as other quantifiable, concurrent disclosures identified in prior research as associated with the market's reaction to earnings press releases. Our results support the premise that earnings press release language provides a signal regarding managers' future earnings expectations to the market and that the market responds to this signal. We interpret our evidence to suggest that managers use language in earnings press releases to communicate credible information about expected future firm performance.
Author: Matthew Krantz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119263603
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 390
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Book Description
Determine the strength of any business with fundamental analysis Have you ever wondered the key to multibillionaire Warren Buffet's five-decade run as the most successful investor in history? The answer is simple: fundamental analysis. In this easy-to-understand, practical, and savvy guide, you'll discover how it helps you assess a business' overall financial performance by using historical and present data to forecast its future monetary value—and why this powerful tool is particularly important to investors in times of economic downturn. It's more important than ever for investors to know the true financial stability of a business, and this new edition of Fundamental Analysis For Dummies shows you how. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just want to learn how to make more intelligent and prudent investment decisions, this plain-English guide gives you practical tips, tricks, and trade secrets for using fundamental analysis to manage your portfolio and enhance your understanding of shrewdly selecting stocks! Predict the future value of a business based on its current and historical financial data Gauge a company's performance against its competitors Determine if a company's credit standing is in jeopardy Apply fundamental analysis to other investment vehicles, like currency, bonds, and commodities With the help of Fundamental Analysis For Dummies, you just may find the bargains that could make you the next Warren Buffet!
