Testing for Shifts in Trend with an Integrated Or Stationary Noise Component

Testing for Shifts in Trend with an Integrated Or Stationary Noise Component PDF Author: Pierre Perron
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
This paper considers the problem of testing for structural changes in the trend function of a univariate time series without any prior knowledge as to whether the noise component is stationary or contains an autoregressive unit root. We propose a new approach that builds on the work of Perron and Yabu (2005), based on a Feasible Quasi Generalized Least Squares procedure that uses a superefficient estimate of the sum of the autoregressive parameters when =1. In the case of a known break date, the resulting Wald test has a chi-square limit distribution in both the I(0) and I(1) cases. When the break date is unknown, the Exp functional of Andrews and Ploberger (1994) yields a test with nearly identical limit distributions in the two cases so that a testing procedure with nearly the same size in the I(0) and I(1) cases can be obtained. To improve the finite sample properties of the tests, we use the bias corrected version of the OLS estimate of proposed by Roy and Fuller (2001). We show our procedure to be substantially more powerful than currently available alternatives and also to have a power function that is close to that attainable if we knew the true value of in many cases. The extension to the case of multiple breaks is also discussed.--Publisher's description.

Testing for Shifts in Trend with an Integrated Or Stationary Noise Component

Testing for Shifts in Trend with an Integrated Or Stationary Noise Component PDF Author: Pierre Perron
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
This paper considers the problem of testing for structural changes in the trend function of a univariate time series without any prior knowledge as to whether the noise component is stationary or contains an autoregressive unit root. We propose a new approach that builds on the work of Perron and Yabu (2005), based on a Feasible Quasi Generalized Least Squares procedure that uses a superefficient estimate of the sum of the autoregressive parameters when =1. In the case of a known break date, the resulting Wald test has a chi-square limit distribution in both the I(0) and I(1) cases. When the break date is unknown, the Exp functional of Andrews and Ploberger (1994) yields a test with nearly identical limit distributions in the two cases so that a testing procedure with nearly the same size in the I(0) and I(1) cases can be obtained. To improve the finite sample properties of the tests, we use the bias corrected version of the OLS estimate of proposed by Roy and Fuller (2001). We show our procedure to be substantially more powerful than currently available alternatives and also to have a power function that is close to that attainable if we knew the true value of in many cases. The extension to the case of multiple breaks is also discussed.--Publisher's description.

Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis

Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis PDF Author: Steven Durlauf
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230280838
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 417

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Book Description
Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.

Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics

Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics PDF Author: Nigar Hashimzade
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 0857931024
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 627

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Book Description
This comprehensive Handbook presents the current state of art in the theory and methodology of macroeconomic data analysis. It is intended as a reference for graduate students and researchers interested in exploring new methodologies, but can also be employed as a graduate text. The Handbook concentrates on the most important issues, models and techniques for research in macroeconomics, and highlights the core methodologies and their empirical application in an accessible manner. Each chapter is largely self-contained, whilst the comprehensive introduction provides an overview of the key statistical concepts and methods. All of the chapters include the essential references for each topic and provide a sound guide for further reading. Topics covered include unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks, time aggregation, forecasting, the Kalman filter, generalised method of moments, maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation, vector autoregressive, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium and dynamic panel models. Presenting the most important models and techniques for empirical research, this Handbook will appeal to students, researchers and academics working in empirical macro and econometrics.

Unit Roots and Structural Breaks

Unit Roots and Structural Breaks PDF Author: Pierre Perron
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3038428116
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 167

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Book Description
This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Unit Roots and Structural Breaks" that was published in Econometrics

Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2

Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 PDF Author: K. Patterson
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137003316
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 586

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Book Description
Testing for a Unit Root is now an essential part of time series analysis but the literature on the topic is so large that knowing where to start is difficult even for the specialist. This book provides a way into the techniques of unit root testing, explaining the pitfalls and nonstandard cases, using practical examples and simulation analysis.

High-dimensional Econometrics And Identification

High-dimensional Econometrics And Identification PDF Author: Chihwa Kao
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811200173
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 179

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Book Description
In many applications of econometrics and economics, a large proportion of the questions of interest are identification. An economist may be interested in uncovering the true signal when the data could be very noisy, such as time-series spurious regression and weak instruments problems, to name a few. In this book, High-Dimensional Econometrics and Identification, we illustrate the true signal and, hence, identification can be recovered even with noisy data in high-dimensional data, e.g., large panels. High-dimensional data in econometrics is the rule rather than the exception. One of the tools to analyze large, high-dimensional data is the panel data model.High-Dimensional Econometrics and Identification grew out of research work on the identification and high-dimensional econometrics that we have collaborated on over the years, and it aims to provide an up-todate presentation of the issues of identification and high-dimensional econometrics, as well as insights into the use of these results in empirical studies. This book is designed for high-level graduate courses in econometrics and statistics, as well as used as a reference for researchers.

Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data

Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data PDF Author: Gilles Dufrénot
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030542521
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 387

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Book Description
The book provides a comprehensive overview of the latest econometric methods for studying the dynamics of macroeconomic and financial time series. It examines alternative methodological approaches and concepts, including quantile spectra and co-spectra, and explores topics such as non-linear and non-stationary behavior, stochastic volatility models, and the econometrics of commodity markets and globalization. Furthermore, it demonstrates the application of recent techniques in various fields: in the frequency domain, in the analysis of persistent dynamics, in the estimation of state space models and new classes of volatility models. The book is divided into two parts: The first part applies econometrics to the field of macroeconomics, discussing trend/cycle decomposition, growth analysis, monetary policy and international trade. The second part applies econometrics to a wide range of topics in financial economics, including price dynamics in equity, commodity and foreign exchange markets and portfolio analysis. The book is essential reading for scholars, students, and practitioners in government and financial institutions interested in applying recent econometric time series methods to financial and economic data.

30th Anniversary Edition

30th Anniversary Edition PDF Author: Dek Terrell
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1781903093
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 500

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Book Description
The 30th Volume of Advances in Econometrics is in honor of the two individuals whose hard work has helped ensure thirty successful years of the series, Thomas Fomby and R. Carter Hill.

Global Commodity Markets and Development Economics

Global Commodity Markets and Development Economics PDF Author: Stephan Pfaffenzeller
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 131748360X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 197

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Book Description
The early 21st century has seen a prolonged price boom in non-fuel commodities, coupled with a volatile performance in fuel prices. This new collection presents the latest research on commodity prices and economic development in the context of this changing globalized economy. Global Commodity Markets and Development Economics brings together analyses from a number of perspectives in order to explore commodity price developments. Chapters explore long term commodity trends, the evolution of relative price developments, the relationship of the domestic commodity sector with global supply chains, agri-food prices, and the role of oil markets in the global economy. Through considering a diverse range of countries including China, Russia and the United States, the authors examine key fuel and non-fuel commodity markets and offer a window into important trends and developments. This book will be relevant to those with an interest in development economics, international economics and energy markets.

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics PDF Author:
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1349588024
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 7493

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Book Description
The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.