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Author: Jin-Chuan Duan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642172547
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 791
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Book Description
Any financial asset that is openly traded has a market price. Except for extreme market conditions, market price may be more or less than a “fair” value. Fair value is likely to be some complicated function of the current intrinsic value of tangible or intangible assets underlying the claim and our assessment of the characteristics of the underlying assets with respect to the expected rate of growth, future dividends, volatility, and other relevant market factors. Some of these factors that affect the price can be measured at the time of a transaction with reasonably high accuracy. Most factors, however, relate to expectations about the future and to subjective issues, such as current management, corporate policies and market environment, that could affect the future financial performance of the underlying assets. Models are thus needed to describe the stochastic factors and environment, and their implementations inevitably require computational finance tools.
Author: Jin-Chuan Duan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642172547
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 791
Get Book Here
Book Description
Any financial asset that is openly traded has a market price. Except for extreme market conditions, market price may be more or less than a “fair” value. Fair value is likely to be some complicated function of the current intrinsic value of tangible or intangible assets underlying the claim and our assessment of the characteristics of the underlying assets with respect to the expected rate of growth, future dividends, volatility, and other relevant market factors. Some of these factors that affect the price can be measured at the time of a transaction with reasonably high accuracy. Most factors, however, relate to expectations about the future and to subjective issues, such as current management, corporate policies and market environment, that could affect the future financial performance of the underlying assets. Models are thus needed to describe the stochastic factors and environment, and their implementations inevitably require computational finance tools.
Author: Walter Zucchini
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1482253844
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 370
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Book Description
Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R, Second Edition illustrates the great flexibility of hidden Markov models (HMMs) as general-purpose models for time series data. The book provides a broad understanding of the models and their uses. After presenting the basic model formulation, the book covers estimation, forecasting, decoding, prediction, model selection, and Bayesian inference for HMMs. Through examples and applications, the authors describe how to extend and generalize the basic model so that it can be applied in a rich variety of situations. The book demonstrates how HMMs can be applied to a wide range of types of time series: continuous-valued, circular, multivariate, binary, bounded and unbounded counts, and categorical observations. It also discusses how to employ the freely available computing environment R to carry out the computations. Features Presents an accessible overview of HMMs Explores a variety of applications in ecology, finance, epidemiology, climatology, and sociology Includes numerous theoretical and programming exercises Provides most of the analysed data sets online New to the second edition A total of five chapters on extensions, including HMMs for longitudinal data, hidden semi-Markov models and models with continuous-valued state process New case studies on animal movement, rainfall occurrence and capture-recapture data
Author: Yanan Fan
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128158638
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 304
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Book Description
Flexible Bayesian Regression Modeling is a step-by-step guide to the Bayesian revolution in regression modeling, for use in advanced econometric and statistical analysis where datasets are characterized by complexity, multiplicity, and large sample sizes, necessitating the need for considerable flexibility in modeling techniques. It reviews three forms of flexibility: methods which provide flexibility in their error distribution; methods which model non-central parts of the distribution (such as quantile regression); and finally models that allow the mean function to be flexible (such as spline models). Each chapter discusses the key aspects of fitting a regression model. R programs accompany the methods. This book is particularly relevant to non-specialist practitioners with intermediate mathematical training seeking to apply Bayesian approaches in economics, biology, finance, engineering and medicine. - Introduces powerful new nonparametric Bayesian regression techniques to classically trained practitioners - Focuses on approaches offering both superior power and methodological flexibility - Supplemented with instructive and relevant R programs within the text - Covers linear regression, nonlinear regression and quantile regression techniques - Provides diverse disciplinary case studies for correlation and optimization problems drawn from Bayesian analysis 'in the wild'
Author: C. A. Abanto-Valle
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bayesian statistical decision theory
Languages : en
Pages : 42
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Book Description
Author: James E. Gentle
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642215513
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 1180
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Book Description
The Handbook of Computational Statistics - Concepts and Methods (second edition) is a revision of the first edition published in 2004, and contains additional comments and updated information on the existing chapters, as well as three new chapters addressing recent work in the field of computational statistics. This new edition is divided into 4 parts in the same way as the first edition. It begins with "How Computational Statistics became the backbone of modern data science" (Ch.1): an overview of the field of Computational Statistics, how it emerged as a separate discipline, and how its own development mirrored that of hardware and software, including a discussion of current active research. The second part (Chs. 2 - 15) presents several topics in the supporting field of statistical computing. Emphasis is placed on the need for fast and accurate numerical algorithms, and some of the basic methodologies for transformation, database handling, high-dimensional data and graphics treatment are discussed. The third part (Chs. 16 - 33) focuses on statistical methodology. Special attention is given to smoothing, iterative procedures, simulation and visualization of multivariate data. Lastly, a set of selected applications (Chs. 34 - 38) like Bioinformatics, Medical Imaging, Finance, Econometrics and Network Intrusion Detection highlight the usefulness of computational statistics in real-world applications.
Author: Ruey S. Tsay
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471746185
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 576
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Book Description
Provides statistical tools and techniques needed to understandtoday's financial markets The Second Edition of this critically acclaimed text provides acomprehensive and systematic introduction to financial econometricmodels and their applications in modeling and predicting financialtime series data. This latest edition continues to emphasizeempirical financial data and focuses on real-world examples.Following this approach, readers will master key aspects offinancial time series, including volatility modeling, neuralnetwork applications, market microstructure and high-frequencyfinancial data, continuous-time models and Ito's Lemma, Value atRisk, multiple returns analysis, financial factor models, andeconometric modeling via computation-intensive methods. The author begins with the basic characteristics of financialtime series data, setting the foundation for the three maintopics: Analysis and application of univariate financial timeseries Return series of multiple assets Bayesian inference in finance methods This new edition is a thoroughly revised and updated text,including the addition of S-Plus® commands and illustrations.Exercises have been thoroughly updated and expanded and include themost current data, providing readers with more opportunities to putthe models and methods into practice. Among the new material addedto the text, readers will find: Consistent covariance estimation under heteroscedasticity andserial correlation Alternative approaches to volatility modeling Financial factor models State-space models Kalman filtering Estimation of stochastic diffusion models The tools provided in this text aid readers in developing adeeper understanding of financial markets through firsthandexperience in working with financial data. This is an idealtextbook for MBA students as well as a reference for researchersand professionals in business and finance.
Author: Robert A. Meyers
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441977007
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 919
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Book Description
Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.
Author: Ramazan Gençay
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 008049904X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 411
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Book Description
Liquid markets generate hundreds or thousands of ticks (the minimum change in price a security can have, either up or down) every business day. Data vendors such as Reuters transmit more than 275,000 prices per day for foreign exchange spot rates alone. Thus, high-frequency data can be a fundamental object of study, as traders make decisions by observing high-frequency or tick-by-tick data. Yet most studies published in financial literature deal with low frequency, regularly spaced data. For a variety of reasons, high-frequency data are becoming a way for understanding market microstructure. This book discusses the best mathematical models and tools for dealing with such vast amounts of data.This book provides a framework for the analysis, modeling, and inference of high frequency financial time series. With particular emphasis on foreign exchange markets, as well as currency, interest rate, and bond futures markets, this unified view of high frequency time series methods investigates the price formation process and concludes by reviewing techniques for constructing systematic trading models for financial assets.
Author: Gabriele Fiorentini
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
We investigate the effects of dynamic heteroskedasticity on statistical factor analysis. We show that identification problems are alleviated when variation in factor variances is accounted for. Our results apply to dynamic APT models and other structural models. We also find that traditional ML estimation of unconditional variance parameters remains consistent if the factor loadings are identified from the unconditional distribution, but their standard errors must be robustified. We develop a simple preliminary LM test for ARCH effects in the common factors, and discuss two-step consistent estimation of the conditional variance parameters. Finally, we conduct a detailed simulation exercise.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Medicine
Languages : en
Pages : 1504
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Book Description
Vols. for 1963- include as pt. 2 of the Jan. issue: Medical subject headings.
