Surging Investment and Declining Aid

Surging Investment and Declining Aid PDF Author: Mr.John Clark JR
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 148434801X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 23

Get Book Here

Book Description
Rwanda is a unique case among its Sub-Saharan African peers in that it has already undergone a large scaling-up of public investment. The Rwandan government has made clear its desire to lower its reliance on foreign aid while still maintaining high public investment levels. We use the model of public investment, growth, and debt sustainability in Buffie et al. (2012) to evaluate the macroeconomic consequences of a possible scaling-down of investment in Rwanda. Using the model, we can gauge the consequences of different financing mechanisms and investment efficiency levels on the economy. We find that with some commercial borrowing and a modest tax adjustment, the authorities may be able to retain their high investment spending while still reducing their reliance on foreign aid.

Surging Investment and Declining Aid

Surging Investment and Declining Aid PDF Author: Mr.John Clark JR
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 148434801X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 23

Get Book Here

Book Description
Rwanda is a unique case among its Sub-Saharan African peers in that it has already undergone a large scaling-up of public investment. The Rwandan government has made clear its desire to lower its reliance on foreign aid while still maintaining high public investment levels. We use the model of public investment, growth, and debt sustainability in Buffie et al. (2012) to evaluate the macroeconomic consequences of a possible scaling-down of investment in Rwanda. Using the model, we can gauge the consequences of different financing mechanisms and investment efficiency levels on the economy. We find that with some commercial borrowing and a modest tax adjustment, the authorities may be able to retain their high investment spending while still reducing their reliance on foreign aid.

The Macroeconomics of Managing Increased Aid Inflows - Experiences of Low-Income Countries and Policy Implications

The Macroeconomics of Managing Increased Aid Inflows - Experiences of Low-Income Countries and Policy Implications PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498331254
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 67

Get Book Here

Book Description
Investigates the macroeconomic challenges for low-income countries created by a surge in aid inflows. It develops an analytical framework for examining possible policy responses to increased aid, and then applies this framework to the experience of five relatively well-governed countries that experienced a recent surge in aid inflows: Ethiopia, Ghana, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Uganda. Each country’s policies were supported by a PRGF arrangement during most of the period under review.

Enhancing Development Assistance to Africa

Enhancing Development Assistance to Africa PDF Author: Matthew Gaertner
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 146398961X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 75

Get Book Here

Book Description
The pace of progress toward achievement of the Millenium Development Goals (MDG) in many sub-Saharan African countries remains too slow to reach targets by 2015, despite significant progress in the late 1990s. The MDG Africa Steering Group, convened in September 2007 by the UN Secretary-General, designated 10 countries for pilot studies to investigate how existing national development plans would be impacted by scaled up development aid to Africa. This joint publication of the IMF and the United Nations Development Programme reports conclusions drawn from these pilot studies and summarizes country-specific results for Benin, the Central African Republic, Ghana, Liberia, Niger, Rwanda, Tanzania, Togo, Sierra Leone, and Zambia.

Policy Responses to Aid Surges in Countries with Limited International Capital Mobility

Policy Responses to Aid Surges in Countries with Limited International Capital Mobility PDF Author: Mr.Andrew Berg
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484397002
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41

Get Book Here

Book Description
We study the role of the exchange rate regime, reserve accumulation, and sterilization policies in the macroeconomics of aid surges. Absent sterilization, a peg allows for almost full aid absorption — an increase in the current account deficit net of aid—delivering the same effects as those of a flexible regime but with a necessary increase in inflation. Regardless of the regime, policies that limit absorption—and result in large accumulation of reserves—are welfare reducing: they help reduce the real appreciation (and inflation under the peg), but at the expense of reducing private consumption and investment, and therefore medium-term growth.

Research Bulletin, June 2014

Research Bulletin, June 2014 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498366821
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 14

Get Book Here

Book Description
Articles in the June 2014 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin look at “The Rise and Fall of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics” (Joong Shik Kang and Jay C. Shambaugh) and “The Two Sides of the Same Coin?: Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China” (Il Houng Lee, Murtaza Syed, and Xin Wang). The Q&A looks at “Seven Questions on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income Countries” (Andrew Berg, Luisa Charry, Rafael A. Portillo, and Jan Vleck). This issue of the Research Bulletin includes updated listings of IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore. Readers can also find information on free access to a featured article from “IMF Economic Review.”

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 148433986X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 137

Get Book Here

Book Description
The region is seeing a modest growth uptick, but this is not uniform and the medium-term outlook remains subdued. Growth is projected to rise to 3.4 percent in 2018, from 2.8 percent in 2017, on the back of improved global growth, higher commodity prices, and continued strong public spending. About 3⁄4 of the countries in the region are predicted to experience faster growth. Beyond 2018, growth is expected to plateau below 4 percent, modestly above population growth, reflecting continued sluggishness in the oil-exporting countries and sustained growth in non-resource-intensive countries. A number of countries (Burundi, DRC, South Sudan, and parts of the Sahel) remain locked in internal conflict resulting in record levels of refugees and Internally Displaced Persons, with adverse spillovers to neighboring countries.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498388132
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 137

Get Book Here

Book Description
Economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa as a whole has fallen to its lowest level in 15 years, though with large variation among countries in the region. The sharp decline in commodity prices has severely strained many of the largest economies, including oil exporters Angola and Nigeria, and other commodity exporters, such as Ghana, South Africa, and Zambia. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has helped other countries continue to show robust growth, including Kenya and Senegal. A strong policy response to the terms-of-trade shocks is critical and urgent in many countries. This report also examines sub-Saharan Africa’s vulnerability to commodity price shocks, and documents the substantial progress made in financial develop, especially financial services based on mobile technologies.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498386458
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 110

Get Book Here

Book Description
Growth in much of Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to remain strong, driven by efforts to invest in infrastructure and strong agricultural production. The current Ebola outbreak in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone is exacting a heavy toll, with spillovers to neighboring countries. External threats to the region's overall positive outlook include global financial conditions and a slowdown in emerging market growth.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2017, Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2017, Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Céline Allard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475574932
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 122

Get Book Here

Book Description
Growth momentum in sub-Saharan Africa remains fragile, marking a break from the rapid expansion witnessed since the turn of the millennium. 2016 was a difficult year for many countries, with regional growth dipping to 1.4 percent—the lowest level of growth in more than two decades. Most oil exporters were in recession, and conditions in other resource-intensive countries remained difficult. Other nonresource-intensive countries however, continued to grow robustly. A modest recovery in growth of about 2.6 percent is expected in 2017, but this falls short of past trends and is too low to put sub-Saharan Africa back on a path of rising living standards. While sub-Saharan Africa remains a region with tremendous growth potential, the deterioration in the overall outlook partly reflects insufficient policy adjustment. In that context, and to reap this potential, strong and sound domestic policy measures are needed to restart the growth engine.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484312511
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 129

Get Book Here

Book Description
Growth in sub-Saharan Africa has recovered relative to 2016, but the momentum is weak and per capita incomes are expected to barely increase. Further, vulnerabilities have risen in many countries, adding to the urgency of implementing the fiscal consolidations planned in most countries and with stepped up efforts to strengthen growth.