Elements of Forecasting

Elements of Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: South-Western Pub
ISBN: 9780324359046
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 366

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Book Description
ELEMENTARY FORECASTING focuses on the core techniques of widest applicability. The author illustrates all methods with detailed real-world applications, many of them international in flavor, designed to mimic typical forecasting situations.

Elements of Forecasting

Elements of Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: South-Western Pub
ISBN: 9780324359046
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 366

Get Book Here

Book Description
ELEMENTARY FORECASTING focuses on the core techniques of widest applicability. The author illustrates all methods with detailed real-world applications, many of them international in flavor, designed to mimic typical forecasting situations.

Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences

Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences PDF Author: Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316060500
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 297

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Book Description
Time series, or longitudinal, data are ubiquitous in the social sciences. Unfortunately, analysts often treat the time series properties of their data as a nuisance rather than a substantively meaningful dynamic process to be modeled and interpreted. Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences provides accessible, up-to-date instruction and examples of the core methods in time series econometrics. Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier, John R. Freeman, Jon C. Pevehouse and Matthew P. Hitt cover a wide range of topics including ARIMA models, time series regression, unit-root diagnosis, vector autoregressive models, error-correction models, intervention models, fractional integration, ARCH models, structural breaks, and forecasting. This book is aimed at researchers and graduate students who have taken at least one course in multivariate regression. Examples are drawn from several areas of social science, including political behavior, elections, international conflict, criminology, and comparative political economy.

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

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Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

Understanding China's Economic Indicators

Understanding China's Economic Indicators PDF Author: Thomas Orlik
Publisher: Pearson Education
ISBN: 0132620219
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 267

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Book Description
In Understanding China’s Economic Indicators, leading economist and Wall Street Journal columnist Thomas M. Orlik introduces 35 of China's most significant economic statistics. Orlik explains why each indicator matters, how it is collected and computed, and its impact on equity, commodity, and currency markets. As China has emerged as a central player in the global economy, more and more investors are seeking profitable opportunities there. To choose the right investments, it's crucial to understand China's economic environment–and that means finding, interpreting, and utilizing China's growing base of economic indicators. Orlik helps investors make sense of data on everything from Chinese GDP growth to inflation, unemployment, bond yields, electricity production, and aircraft passenger numbers. He draws on the best information supplied by the Chinese government's statistical agency, ministries, and industry associations, as well as private sources. Each indicator is clearly described, along with a practical discussion of its implications for investors.

Regression Modeling with Actuarial and Financial Applications

Regression Modeling with Actuarial and Financial Applications PDF Author: Edward W. Frees
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521760119
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 585

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Book Description
This book teaches multiple regression and time series and how to use these to analyze real data in risk management and finance.

Structural Econometric Models

Structural Econometric Models PDF Author: Eugene Choo
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1783500530
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 447

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Book Description
This volume focuses on recent developments in the use of structural econometric models in empirical economics. The first part looks at recent developments in the estimation of dynamic discrete choice models. The second part looks at recent advances in the area empirical matching models.

Econometrics in Theory and Practice

Econometrics in Theory and Practice PDF Author: Panchanan Das
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9813290196
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 574

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Book Description
This book introduces econometric analysis of cross section, time series and panel data with the application of statistical software. It serves as a basic text for those who wish to learn and apply econometric analysis in empirical research. The level of presentation is as simple as possible to make it useful for undergraduates as well as graduate students. It contains several examples with real data and Stata programmes and interpretation of the results. While discussing the statistical tools needed to understand empirical economic research, the book attempts to provide a balance between theory and applied research. Various concepts and techniques of econometric analysis are supported by carefully developed examples with the use of statistical software package, Stata 15.1, and assumes that the reader is somewhat familiar with the Strata software. The topics covered in this book are divided into four parts. Part I discusses introductory econometric methods for data analysis that economists and other social scientists use to estimate the economic and social relationships, and to test hypotheses about them, using real-world data. There are five chapters in this part covering the data management issues, details of linear regression models, the related problems due to violation of the classical assumptions. Part II discusses some advanced topics used frequently in empirical research with cross section data. In its three chapters, this part includes some specific problems of regression analysis. Part III deals with time series econometric analysis. It covers intensively both the univariate and multivariate time series econometric models and their applications with software programming in six chapters. Part IV takes care of panel data analysis in four chapters. Different aspects of fixed effects and random effects are discussed here. Panel data analysis has been extended by taking dynamic panel data models which are most suitable for macroeconomic research. The book is invaluable for students and researchers of social sciences, business, management, operations research, engineering, and applied mathematics.

Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R

Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R PDF Author: Bernhard Pfaff
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387759670
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 193

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Book Description
This book is designed for self study. The reader can apply the theoretical concepts directly within R by following the examples.

Multivariate Time Series Analysis

Multivariate Time Series Analysis PDF Author: Ruey S. Tsay
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118617754
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 414

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Book Description
An accessible guide to the multivariate time series tools used in numerous real-world applications Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R and Financial Applications is the much anticipated sequel coming from one of the most influential and prominent experts on the topic of time series. Through a fundamental balance of theory and methodology, the book supplies readers with a comprehensible approach to financial econometric models and their applications to real-world empirical research. Differing from the traditional approach to multivariate time series, the book focuses on reader comprehension by emphasizing structural specification, which results in simplified parsimonious VAR MA modeling. Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R and Financial Applications utilizes the freely available R software package to explore complex data and illustrate related computation and analyses. Featuring the techniques and methodology of multivariate linear time series, stationary VAR models, VAR MA time series and models, unitroot process, factor models, and factor-augmented VAR models, the book includes: • Over 300 examples and exercises to reinforce the presented content • User-friendly R subroutines and research presented throughout to demonstrate modern applications • Numerous datasets and subroutines to provide readers with a deeper understanding of the material Multivariate Time Series Analysis is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses on time series and quantitative finance and upper-undergraduate level statistics courses in time series. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in business, finance, and econometrics.

Mathematical Reviews

Mathematical Reviews PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 924

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Book Description