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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Voter turnout
Languages : en
Pages : 72
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Book Description
This publication includes three papers which explain different aspects of measuring voter behavior. The studies indicate that there is a socioeconomic component to overestimating voter turnout, as well as survey design and weighting effects.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Voter turnout
Languages : en
Pages : 72
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Book Description
This publication includes three papers which explain different aspects of measuring voter behavior. The studies indicate that there is a socioeconomic component to overestimating voter turnout, as well as survey design and weighting effects.
Author: Jerry T. Jennings
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Author: United States. Bureau of the Census
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Author: United States. Bureau of the Census. Population Division
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
Author: Donald Green
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 9781412927581
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 208
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Book Description
A powerful new research design in the field of voter mobilization has created a more comprehensive picture of the effectiveness of various get-out-the-vote campaign methods. With an increase in field experiments in the past few years, researchers, campaigns, and policymakers have gleaned important insights into voter participation. Until recently, voting behavior was mainly studied through survey research. And while large national surveys have had a tremendous impact on scientific and policy debates, concerns about the accuracy of survey research remain. Surveys suffer from two major drawbacks. First is the possibility of misreporting by survey participants. Measuring voter turnout through survey research relies on respondents' disclosure of whether they voted or not, and some voters may feel embarrassed that they did not vote and provide false answers. Second, campaigns may focus their energies on likely voters. If so, surveys may show a correlation between voter turnout and voter mobilization activity even when voter mobilization campaigns are ineffective. Aware of the limitations of survey research, political scientists have recently turned to field experimentation to gain a clearer picture of the causal implications of voter mobilization efforts on specific populations. This issue of The ANNALS presents the results of several field experiments, which are at the forefront of research in this area. These field experiments draw important distinctions between different forms of mobilization activities and their effects on a variety of populations – studying personal versus impersonal mobilization efforts as well as partisan versus non-partisan efforts. Challenging conventional wisdom and clarifying important methodological issues, this issue of The ANNALS provides a new approach to the study of voter mobilization. Taken together, these intriguing articles report advances in knowledge gained by field experiments and have the potential to reshape the past assumptions about campaign effectiveness and influence future strategies on mobilizing voters. This issue will also serve as a springboard for new work in the field as political scientists grapple with filling in existing gaps – such as the effects of mass media – and move toward an even clearer theoretical understanding of the conditions under which interventions work. Professionals, volunteers and anyone directly involved in voter mobilization will discover important findings in this collection of studies. And, because the research was conducted in the real world of campaigns and elections, the authors help answer the critical question of how to apply scholarly insights to voter outreach programs on a grand scale.
Author: John B. Holbein
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108488420
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 283
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Book Description
The solution to youth voter turnout requires focus on helping young people follow through on their political interests and intentions.
Author: Ivelisse Cuevas-Molina
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
American politics scholarship has in great measure dedicated itself to the study of democratic participation in elections. Texts that are considered the cannon on electoral participation have extended our knowledge of the factors that increase/decrease turnout, however, this work has relied on self-reports of turnout in surveys. The use of selfreported turnout is problematic because a non-trivial proportion of survey respondents say they went out to vote when they actually did not, meaning they overreport turnout. Overreports of voter turnout are false reports of participation in elections by nonvoters when responding to political surveys. Appropriately, scholars of voting behavior have dedicated a great deal of research to the study of this phenomenon by conducting vote validation studies. This work has engendered important questions about the study of overreporting and how it affects the study of voter turnout. There are four major questions in the literature which I address throughout the dissertation: 1) How accurate is vote validation?, 2) Do overreports bias statistical models of turnout?, 3) What is the correct way to measure and model overreporting?, and 4) What is the cognitive mechanism through which overreports occur? The first chapter describes the phenomenon of voter turnout overreports in surveys and how they affect estimations of turnout in political polling, and derives a social desirability theory of overreporting from the vote validation literature. Chapter 2 presents analysis of the persistence and prevalence of overreporting in the Cooperative Congressional Election Study of 2008 2010, 2012, and 2014. Also, a comprehensive look at the demographic, social and political characteristics of voters, nonvoters and overreporters using data from the 2014 and 2012 CCES. Chapter 3 constitutes the first original contribution to the study of overreporting by proposing a new way of modeling the likelihood of overreporting through multinomial logistic regression analysis. Most Importantly, in Chapter 4, I test the social desirability theory of overreporting, namely analysis of response latency data from the 2014 and 2012 CCES studies. Finally, the conclusion of this dissertation summarizes the main findings of previous chapters and presents analysis of the bias induced by overreports in statistical models of turnout.
Author: Aina Gallego
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 110702353X
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 253
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Book Description
This book describes the levels of unequal electoral participation in thirty-six countries worldwide, examines possible causes of this phenomenon, and discusses its consequences.
Author: Eitan Hersh
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107102898
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 273
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Book Description
Hacking the Electorate focuses on the consequences of campaigns using microtargeting databases to mobilize voters in elections. Eitan Hersh shows that most of what campaigns know about voters comes from a core set of public records, and the content of public records varies from state to state. This variation accounts for differences in campaign strategies and voter coalitions across the nation.
Author: Erik Bumgardner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Party affiliation
Languages : en
Pages : 120
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Book Description
A large amount of research examines the effect of partisan polarization on the institution of Congress, yet we know remarkably little about this political phenomenons precise effect on the political behavior of the American electorate. Some scholars argue that polarization is healthy for democracy because it allows political elites to send clear cues to the mass public, but other scholars postulate that polarization is bad for democracy. Decades of research on voter turnout resulted in a vast accumulation of knowledge on the subject. However, scholars must pay greater attention to data collection and measurement strategies because the prevalent technique to quantify voter turnout artificially deflates participation rates. I take two paths to uncover the effects of partisanship on the decision to vote. From the micro perspective, I utilize a variety of partisanship measures based on survey data. From the aggregate perspective, I argue that calculating voter turnout based on the voting eligible population (VEP) is a superior measurement strategy to other techniques. I adoopt a VEP measure of voter turnout for state-wide races (1994-2010). The results suggest that polarization is an important factor that increases voter turnout at both the individual and aggregate levels.
