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Author: Mario V. Wüthrich
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 303112409X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 611
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Book Description
This open access book discusses the statistical modeling of insurance problems, a process which comprises data collection, data analysis and statistical model building to forecast insured events that may happen in the future. It presents the mathematical foundations behind these fundamental statistical concepts and how they can be applied in daily actuarial practice. Statistical modeling has a wide range of applications, and, depending on the application, the theoretical aspects may be weighted differently: here the main focus is on prediction rather than explanation. Starting with a presentation of state-of-the-art actuarial models, such as generalized linear models, the book then dives into modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and text recognition to improve predictive modeling with complex features. Providing practitioners with detailed guidance on how to apply machine learning methods to real-world data sets, and how to interpret the results without losing sight of the mathematical assumptions on which these methods are based, the book can serve as a modern basis for an actuarial education syllabus.
Author: Mario V. Wüthrich
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 303112409X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 611
Get Book Here
Book Description
This open access book discusses the statistical modeling of insurance problems, a process which comprises data collection, data analysis and statistical model building to forecast insured events that may happen in the future. It presents the mathematical foundations behind these fundamental statistical concepts and how they can be applied in daily actuarial practice. Statistical modeling has a wide range of applications, and, depending on the application, the theoretical aspects may be weighted differently: here the main focus is on prediction rather than explanation. Starting with a presentation of state-of-the-art actuarial models, such as generalized linear models, the book then dives into modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and text recognition to improve predictive modeling with complex features. Providing practitioners with detailed guidance on how to apply machine learning methods to real-world data sets, and how to interpret the results without losing sight of the mathematical assumptions on which these methods are based, the book can serve as a modern basis for an actuarial education syllabus.
Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030258270
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 250
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Book Description
This book reviews some of the most recent developments in neural networks, with a focus on applications in actuarial sciences and finance. It simultaneously introduces the relevant tools for developing and analyzing neural networks, in a style that is mathematically rigorous yet accessible. Artificial intelligence and neural networks offer a powerful alternative to statistical methods for analyzing data. Various topics are covered from feed-forward networks to deep learning, such as Bayesian learning, boosting methods and Long Short Term Memory models. All methods are applied to claims, mortality or time-series forecasting. Requiring only a basic knowledge of statistics, this book is written for masters students in the actuarial sciences and for actuaries wishing to update their skills in machine learning. This is the third of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P&C, life and health insurance. Although closely related to the other two volumes, this volume can be read independently.
Author: Arthur Charpentier
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 303149783X
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 491
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Book Description
Author: Allaberen Ashyralyev
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031626680
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 250
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Book Description
Author: Pietro Parodi
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000860795
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 739
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Book Description
Based on the syllabus of the actuarial profession courses on general insurance pricing – with additional material inspired by the author’s own experience as a practitioner and lecturer – Pricing in General Insurance, Second Edition presents pricing as a formalised process that starts with collecting information about a particular policyholder or risk and ends with a commercially informed rate. The first edition of the book proved very popular among students and practitioners with its pragmatic approach, informal style, and wide-ranging selection of topics, including: Background and context for pricing Process of experience rating, ranging from traditional approaches (burning cost analysis) to more modern approaches (stochastic modelling) Exposure rating for both property and casualty products Specialised techniques for personal lines (e.g., GLMs), reinsurance, and specific products such as credit risk and weather derivatives General-purpose techniques such as credibility, multi-line pricing, and insurance optimisation The second edition is a substantial update on the first edition, including: New chapter on pricing models: their structure, development, calibration, and maintenance New chapter on rate change calculations and the pricing cycle Substantially enhanced treatment of exposure rating, increased limit factors, burning cost analysis Expanded treatment of triangle-free techniques for claim count development Improved treatment of premium building and capital allocation Expanded treatment of machine learning Enriched treatment of rating factor selection, and the inclusion of generalised additive models The book delivers a practical introduction to all aspects of general insurance pricing and is aimed at students of general insurance and actuarial science as well as practitioners in the field. It is complemented by online material, such as spreadsheets which implement the techniques described in the book, solutions to problems, a glossary, and other appendices – increasing the practical value of the book.
Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030258203
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 441
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Book Description
This book summarizes the state of the art in generalized linear models (GLMs) and their various extensions: GAMs, mixed models and credibility, and some nonlinear variants (GNMs). In order to deal with tail events, analytical tools from Extreme Value Theory are presented. Going beyond mean modeling, it considers volatility modeling (double GLMs) and the general modeling of location, scale and shape parameters (GAMLSS). Actuaries need these advanced analytical tools to turn the massive data sets now at their disposal into opportunities. The exposition alternates between methodological aspects and case studies, providing numerical illustrations using the R statistical software. The technical prerequisites are kept at a reasonable level in order to reach a broad readership. This is the first of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P&C, life and health insurance. Although closely related to the other two volumes, this volume can be read independently.
Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783030258283
Category : Actuarial science
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Artificial intelligence and neural networks offer a powerful alternative to statistical methods for analyzing data. This book reviews some of the most recent developments in neural networks, with a focus on applications in actuarial sciences and finance. The third volume of the trilogy simultaneously introduces the relevant tools for developing and analyzing neural networks, in a style that is mathematically rigorous and yet accessible. The authors proceed by successive generalizations, requiring of the reader only a basic knowledge of statistics. Various topics are covered from feed-forward networks to deep learning, such as Bayesian learning, boosting methods and Long Short Term Memory models. All methods are applied to claims, mortality or time-series forecasting. This book is written for masters students in the actuarial sciences and for actuaries wishing to update their skills in machine learning.
Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 303057556X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 228
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Book Description
This book summarizes the state of the art in tree-based methods for insurance: regression trees, random forests and boosting methods. It also exhibits the tools which make it possible to assess the predictive performance of tree-based models. Actuaries need these advanced analytical tools to turn the massive data sets now at their disposal into opportunities. The exposition alternates between methodological aspects and numerical illustrations or case studies. All numerical illustrations are performed with the R statistical software. The technical prerequisites are kept at a reasonable level in order to reach a broad readership. In particular, master's students in actuarial sciences and actuaries wishing to update their skills in machine learning will find the book useful. This is the second of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P&C, life and health insurance.
Author: Edward W. Frees
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521760119
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 585
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Book Description
This book teaches multiple regression and time series and how to use these to analyze real data in risk management and finance.
Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783030258214
Category : Actuarial science
Languages : en
Pages : 441
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Book Description
This book summarizes the state of the art in generalized linear models (GLMs) and their various extensions: GAMs, mixed models and credibility, and some nonlinear variants (GNMs). In order to deal with tail events, analytical tools from Extreme Value Theory are presented. Going beyond mean modeling, it considers volatility modeling (double GLMs) and the general modeling of location, scale and shape parameters (GAMLSS). Actuaries need these advanced analytical tools to turn the massive data sets now at their disposal into opportunities. The exposition alternates between methodological aspects and case studies, providing numerical illustrations using the R statistical software. The technical prerequisites are kept at a reasonable level in order to reach a broad readership. This is the first of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P & C, life and health insurance. Although closely related to the other two volumes, this volume can be read independently.
