Speculation And The Dollar

Speculation And The Dollar PDF Author: Laurence Krause
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000241017
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 298

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Book Description
I began serious consideration of the issues and subject matter that comprise this book as a graduate student at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. In need of a dissertation topic and vaguely curious about international monetary economics, I decided to sit in on Leonard Rapping's undergraduate course on international finance. Needless to say, I was soon hooked. Within several months I was teaching my own course on international money and beginning to write an outline of what would become my doctoral dissertation on foreign exchange speculation. Once completed the dissertation thesis became this basis for this book.

Speculation And The Dollar

Speculation And The Dollar PDF Author: Laurence Krause
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000241017
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 298

Get Book

Book Description
I began serious consideration of the issues and subject matter that comprise this book as a graduate student at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. In need of a dissertation topic and vaguely curious about international monetary economics, I decided to sit in on Leonard Rapping's undergraduate course on international finance. Needless to say, I was soon hooked. Within several months I was teaching my own course on international money and beginning to write an outline of what would become my doctoral dissertation on foreign exchange speculation. Once completed the dissertation thesis became this basis for this book.

Speculation and the Dollar

Speculation and the Dollar PDF Author: Laurence Krause
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9780367288563
Category : Foreign exchange futures
Languages : en
Pages : 298

Get Book

Book Description
I began serious consideration of the issues and subject matter that comprise this book as a graduate student at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. In need of a dissertation topic and vaguely curious about international monetary economics, I decided to sit in on Leonard Rapping's undergraduate course on international finance. Needless to say, I was soon hooked. Within several months I was teaching my own course on international money and beginning to write an outline of what would become my doctoral dissertation on foreign exchange speculation. Once completed the dissertation thesis became this basis for this book.

The Dollar Trap

The Dollar Trap PDF Author: Eswar S. Prasad
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691168520
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 438

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Book Description
Why the dollar is—and will remain—the dominant global currency The U.S. dollar's dominance seems under threat. The near collapse of the U.S. financial system in 2008–2009, political paralysis that has blocked effective policymaking, and emerging competitors such as the Chinese renminbi have heightened speculation about the dollar’s looming displacement as the main reserve currency. Yet, as The Dollar Trap powerfully argues, the financial crisis, a dysfunctional international monetary system, and U.S. policies have paradoxically strengthened the dollar’s importance. Eswar Prasad examines how the dollar came to have a central role in the world economy and demonstrates that it will remain the cornerstone of global finance for the foreseeable future. Marshaling a range of arguments and data, and drawing on the latest research, Prasad shows why it will be difficult to dislodge the dollar-centric system. With vast amounts of foreign financial capital locked up in dollar assets, including U.S. government securities, other countries now have a strong incentive to prevent a dollar crash. Prasad takes the reader through key contemporary issues in international finance—including the growing economic influence of emerging markets, the currency wars, the complexities of the China-U.S. relationship, and the role of institutions like the International Monetary Fund—and offers new ideas for fixing the flawed monetary system. Readers are also given a rare look into some of the intrigue and backdoor scheming in the corridors of international finance. The Dollar Trap offers a panoramic analysis of the fragile state of global finance and makes a compelling case that, despite all its flaws, the dollar will remain the ultimate safe-haven currency.

Speculation And The Dollar

Speculation And The Dollar PDF Author: Laurence Krause
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000312895
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 314

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Book Description
I began serious consideration of the issues and subject matter that comprise this book as a graduate student at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. In need of a dissertation topic and vaguely curious about international monetary economics, I decided to sit in on Leonard Rapping's undergraduate course on international finance. Needless to say, I was soon hooked. Within several months I was teaching my own course on international money and beginning to write an outline of what would become my doctoral dissertation on foreign exchange speculation. Once completed the dissertation thesis became this basis for this book.

The Dollar as a Speculative Bubble

The Dollar as a Speculative Bubble PDF Author: Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dollar, American
Languages : en
Pages : 43

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Book Description


The Returns to Currency Speculation

The Returns to Currency Speculation PDF Author: Craig Burnside
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Devaluation of currency
Languages : en
Pages : 76

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Book Description
Currencies that are at a forward premium tend to depreciate. This 'forward-premium puzzle' represents an egregious deviation from uncovered interest parity. We document the properties of returns to currency speculation strategies that exploit this anomaly. We show that these strategies yield high Sharpe ratios which are not a compensation for risk. In practice bid-ask spreads are an increasing function of order size. In addition, there is price pressure, i.e. exchange rates are an increasing function of net order flow. Together these frictions greatly reduce the profitability of currency speculation strategies. In fact, the marginal Sharpe ratio associated with currency speculation can be zero even though the average Sharpe ratio is positive.

The Future of the Dollar

The Future of the Dollar PDF Author: Eric Helleiner
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 0801457491
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 272

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Book Description
For half a century, the United States has garnered substantial political and economic benefits as a result of the dollar's de facto role as a global currency. In recent years, however, the dollar's preponderant position in world markets has come under challenge. The dollar has been more volatile than ever against foreign currencies, and various nations have switched to non-dollar instruments in their transactions. China and the Arab Gulf states continue to hold massive amounts of U.S. government obligations, in effect subsidizing U.S. current account deficits, and those holdings are a point of potential vulnerability for American policy. What is the future of the U.S. dollar as an international currency? Will predictions of its demise end up just as inaccurate as those that have accompanied major international financial crises since the early 1970s? Analysts disagree, often profoundly, in their answers to these questions. In The Future of the Dollar, leading scholars of dollar's international role bring multidisciplinary perspectives and a range of contrasting predictions to the question of the dollar's future. This timely book provides readers with a clear sense of why such disagreements exist and it outlines a variety of future scenarios and the possible political implications for the United States and the world.

Currency Speculation and the Optimum Control of Bank Lending in Singapore Dollar

Currency Speculation and the Optimum Control of Bank Lending in Singapore Dollar PDF Author: Kenneth S. Chan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451950470
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has a long-standing policy of controlling bank lending in Singapore dollars to nonresidents and to residents who use the funds outside Singapore. While the control may prevent the internationalization of the Singapore dollar and contain exchange rate volatility, it can hinder the deepening and widening of the financial markets in Singapore. This paper suggests three policy options that would allow traders and investors to borrow Singapore dollars without any restrictions, while making it costly for speculators since their activities can cause exchange rate volatility which arguably imposes external costs to society.

Excess Volatility and Speculative Bubbles in the Canadian Dollar

Excess Volatility and Speculative Bubbles in the Canadian Dollar PDF Author: John David Murray
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780662249092
Category : Canada
Languages : en
Pages : 43

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Book Description
Greater intervention by the public sector is often proposed as a solution to the increased speculation and excessive price volatility thought to characterise today's competitive world financial system. This paper attempts to determine whether financial asset prices are in fact subject to excess volatility, using the Canadian dollar as a representative asset. The first section describes the behaviour of the Canadian dollar over 25 years beginning in June 1970, when Canada decided to return to a flexible rate system. Broad movements in the dollar as well as daily changes are examined and compared with those of other major currencies and financial assets. This is followed by a series of tests designed to check for persistent misalignments in the currency. A reduced-form model of real exchange rate determination is estimated using cointegration techniques, and the analysis is extended with a test for speculative bubbles based on a regime-switching specification in which the market is dominated at different times by speculative traders and other agents guided by more fundamental factors. The paper concludes with a discussion of the policy implications of the results obtained.

Early Speculative Bubbles and Increases in the Supply of Money

Early Speculative Bubbles and Increases in the Supply of Money PDF Author:
Publisher: Ludwig von Mises Institute
ISBN: 1610164555
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 147

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Book Description
The Housing Bubble was hardly the first in human history. What's eluded historians is the same issue that eludes commentators today: the underlying cause of bubbles. This book is the first (and only) book to solve the mystery of the most famous bubble in world history: Tulipmania in 17th century Netherlands. It Is a legendary event but explanations have been lacking. People blame irrational exuberance, free markets, and an unleashed aristocracy. Douglas French takes a different route: he follows the money to prove that the bubble resulted from a government intervention that dramatically exploded the money supply and fueled the tulip-price bubble – not altogether different from modern bubbles. This book was French’s Master’s thesis written under the direction of Murray Rothbard and examining three of the most famous speculative bubble episodes in history through the lens of Austrian Business Cycle Theory. Although each of these episodes is well documented, this book examines the monetary interventions that engendered each of these events showing that not only the Mississippi Bubble and the South Sea Bubble were caused by government meddling, but Tulipmania was as well. Tulipmania was unique in that it was the sound money policy of the Dutch combined with free coinage laws that led to an acute increase in the supply of money and fostered an atmosphere that was ripe for speculation and malinvestment, manifesting itself in the intense trading of tulip bulbs. The author examines not only the Mississippi Bubble but also the life and monetary theories of its architect, John Law. Professor Joe Salerno calls Law the world’s first macroeconomist who implemented a Keynesian monetary system in France nearly two hundred years before Keynes was born. At the same time across the English Channel, a nearly bankrupt British government looked on with envy at Law’s system, believing that he was working a financial miracle. It was anything but this and investors in both countries were devastated. Although these episodes occurred centuries ago, readers will find the events eerily similar to today’s bubbles and busts: low interest rates, easy credit terms, widespread public participation, bankrupt governments, price inflation, frantic attempts by government to keep the booms going, and government bailouts of companies after the crash. When will we learn? We first have to get cause and effect in history straight. This book is an excellent contribution to that effort.