Russian Federation: Staff Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation PDF Download
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Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1463904851
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 69
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Book Description
The reports highlights that, even though the Russian economy has started reviving from the crisis, growth has been moderate and inflation high. Executive Directors have advised that the focus should be on reducing fiscal vulnerabilities, lowering inflation, promoting a stronger and more competitive banking system, and creating a favorable environment for investment and economic diversification. Directors encouraged the authorities to undertake growth-friendly, credible, and ambitious fiscal consolidation. They have supported the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) recommendations to strengthen financial sector policies.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1463904851
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 69
Get Book Here
Book Description
The reports highlights that, even though the Russian economy has started reviving from the crisis, growth has been moderate and inflation high. Executive Directors have advised that the focus should be on reducing fiscal vulnerabilities, lowering inflation, promoting a stronger and more competitive banking system, and creating a favorable environment for investment and economic diversification. Directors encouraged the authorities to undertake growth-friendly, credible, and ambitious fiscal consolidation. They have supported the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) recommendations to strengthen financial sector policies.
Author: Mr. Evan Papageorgiou
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616357592
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 14
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Book Description
An interesting disconnect has taken shape between local currency- and hard currency-denominated bonds in emerging markets with respect to their portfolio flows and prices since the start of the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Emerging market assets have recovered sharply from the COVID-19 sell-off in 2020, but the post-pandemic recovery in 2021 has been highly uneven. This note seeks to answer why. Yields of local currency-denominated bonds have risen faster and are approaching their pandemic highs, while hard currency bond yields are still near their post-pandemic lows. Portfolio flows to local currency debt have similarly lagged flows to hard currency bonds. This disconnect is closely linked to the external environment and fiscal and inflationary pressures. Its evolution remains a key consideration for policymakers and investors, since local markets are the main source of funding for emerging markets. This note draws from the methodology developed in earlier Global Financial Stability Reports on fundamentals-based asset valuation models for funding costs and forecasting models for capital flows (using the at-risk framework). The results are consistent across models, indicating that local currency assets are significantly more sensitive to domestic fundamentals while hard currency assets are dependent on the external risk sentiment to a greater extent. This suggests that the post-pandemic, stressed domestic fundamentals have weighed on local currency bonds, partially offsetting the boost from supportive global risk sentiment. The analysis also highlights the risks emerging markets face from an asynchronous recovery and weak domestic fundamentals.
Author: Shalendra D. Sharma
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107027209
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 405
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Book Description
This book is an authoritative account of the economic and political roots of the 2008 financial crisis. It examines why it was triggered in the United States, why it morphed into the Great Recession, and why the contagion spread with such ferocity around the globe. It also examines how and why economies - including the Eurozone, Russia, China, India, East Asia, and the Middle East - have been impacted and explores their response to the unprecedented challenges of the crisis and the effectiveness of their policy measures. Global Financial Contagion specifically looks at how the Obama administration's policy missteps have contributed to America's huge debt and slow recovery, why the Eurozone's response to its existential crisis has become a never-ending saga, and why the G-20's efforts to create a new international financial architecture may fall short. This book will long be regarded as the standard account of the crisis and its aftermath.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 147554054X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 60
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Book Description
The Russian Federation economy saw growth of about 4 percent and a current account surplus—the result of favorable harvest, high oil prices, and reduced unemployment and inflation. Implementation of structural reforms initiated by the Central Bank of Russia (CBR), managing domestic demands, and non-vulnerability to oil price variation were suggested by the Executive Board as short and mid-term challenges. Strengthening monetary policy framework, allowing greater exchange rate flexibility, implementing Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) recommendations, expansion of CBR powers, reduced state involvement in the economy, and enhancement of communication policies were also recommended.
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513509691
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 73
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Book Description
This 2019 Article IV Consultation with Russian Federation discusses that growth is projected at 1.2 percent in 2019, reflecting a weak first quarter estimate, lower oil prices and the impact of the higher value-added tax rate on private consumption. At the same time, gross domestic product growth should be supported by an increase in public sector spending in the context of the national projects announced in 2018. Inflation has begun to fall and is expected to return to the 4 percent target by early 2020. The medium-term growth outlook remains modest. Public infrastructure spending under the national projects together with increase labor supply due to pension reform could have a positive effect on the growth rate of potential output. However, absent deeper structural reforms, long-run growth is projected to settle around 1.8 percent. It is recommended that it is imperative to enhance competition by facilitating entry/exit and reforming public procurement.
Author: Ms.Charleen Gust
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475568037
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 60
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Book Description
Though many aspects of Russia's fiscal policy framework are close to best practice on paper, actual practice in recent years has been moving away from best practice. In particular, the continued focus on the overall rather than the nonoil balance, and the regular use of supplemental budgets to spend windfall oil revenues contribute to procylicality of fiscal policy, risking costly boom-bust cycles. Against this background, this paper suggests several improvements to the framework for fiscal policy.
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264117423
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 156
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Book Description
OECD's 2011 Economic Survey of the Russian Federation examines recent economic developments, policies and prospects; the business climate, the fiscal framework, monetary policy, and energy efficiency.
Author: Frank Eich
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475505515
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 25
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Book Description
Pension reform is a key policy challenge in Russia. This paper examines how pension spending could increase in Russia in the absence of reforms, quantifies the impact of some recent proposals, and suggests some alternatives that would ensure public pension benefits - relative to wages - not fall from current levels while containing spending.
Author: Samya Beidas-Strom
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 151351718X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 66
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Book Description
We build and estimate open economy two-bloc DSGE models to study the transmission and impact of shocks in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom. After accounting for country-specific fiscal and monetary sectors, we estimate their key policy and structural parameters. Our findings suggest that not only has output responded differently to shocks due to differing levels of diversification and structural and policy settings, but also the responses to fiscal consolidation differ: Russia would benefit from a smaller state foot-print, while in Saudi Arabia, unless this is accompanied by structural reforms that remove rigidities, output would fall. We also find that lower oil prices need not be bad news given more oil-intensive production structures. However, lower oil prices have hurt these oil producers as their public finances depend heavily on oil, among other factors. Productivity gains accompanied by ambitious structural reforms, along with fiscal and monetary reforms could support these economies to achieve better outcomes when oil prices fall, including via diversifying exports.
Author: Pekka Sutela
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136338012
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 324
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Book Description
This book constitutes an up-to-date treatment of Russia’s economic development and economic policies since 2000, when Vladimir Putin became the President of Russia. After the slow decline and sudden collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia embarked upon a multi-faceted change. This included transition from central management to a market economy, from one-party rule to democracy, from multi-national empire to nation state, and from relative autarchy to opening up to the European and global communities. This book concentrates on economic change, exploring how in spite of steep production decline, widening welfare differentials and increasing social uncertainty, the 1990s also created many of the institutional and policy preconditions for a functioning market economy.
