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Author: Mark H A Davis
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814578061
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 414
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Book Description
Over the last two decades, risk-sensitive control has evolved into an innovative and successful framework for solving dynamically a wide range of practical investment management problems.This book shows how to use risk-sensitive investment management to manage portfolios against an investment benchmark, with constraints, and with assets and liabilities. It also addresses model implementation issues in parameter estimation and numerical methods. Most importantly, it shows how to integrate jump-diffusion processes which are crucial to model market crashes.With its emphasis on the interconnection between mathematical techniques and real-world problems, this book will be of interest to both academic researchers and money managers. Risk-sensitive investment management links stochastic control and portfolio management. Because of its distinct emphasis on integrating advanced theoretical concepts into practical dynamic investment management tools, this book stands out from the existing literature in fundamental ways. It goes beyond mainstream research in portfolio management in a traditional static setting. The theoretical developments build on contemporary research in stochastic control theory, but are informed throughout by the need to construct an effective and practical framework for dynamic portfolio management.This book fills a gap in the literature by connecting mathematical techniques with the real world of investment management. Readers seeking to solve key problems such as benchmarked asset management or asset and liability management will certainly find it useful.
Author: Mark H A Davis
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814578061
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 414
Get Book Here
Book Description
Over the last two decades, risk-sensitive control has evolved into an innovative and successful framework for solving dynamically a wide range of practical investment management problems.This book shows how to use risk-sensitive investment management to manage portfolios against an investment benchmark, with constraints, and with assets and liabilities. It also addresses model implementation issues in parameter estimation and numerical methods. Most importantly, it shows how to integrate jump-diffusion processes which are crucial to model market crashes.With its emphasis on the interconnection between mathematical techniques and real-world problems, this book will be of interest to both academic researchers and money managers. Risk-sensitive investment management links stochastic control and portfolio management. Because of its distinct emphasis on integrating advanced theoretical concepts into practical dynamic investment management tools, this book stands out from the existing literature in fundamental ways. It goes beyond mainstream research in portfolio management in a traditional static setting. The theoretical developments build on contemporary research in stochastic control theory, but are informed throughout by the need to construct an effective and practical framework for dynamic portfolio management.This book fills a gap in the literature by connecting mathematical techniques with the real world of investment management. Readers seeking to solve key problems such as benchmarked asset management or asset and liability management will certainly find it useful.
Author: Leonard C. MacLean
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814293490
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 883
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Book Description
This volume provides the definitive treatment of fortune's formula or the Kelly capital growth criterion as it is often called. The strategy is to maximize long run wealth of the investor by maximizing the period by period expected utility of wealth with a logarithmic utility function. Mathematical theorems show that only the log utility function maximizes asymptotic long run wealth and minimizes the expected time to arbitrary large goals. In general, the strategy is risky in the short term but as the number of bets increase, the Kelly bettor's wealth tends to be much larger than those with essentially different strategies. So most of the time, the Kelly bettor will have much more wealth than these other bettors but the Kelly strategy can lead to considerable losses a small percent of the time. There are ways to reduce this risk at the cost of lower expected final wealth using fractional Kelly strategies that blend the Kelly suggested wager with cash. The various classic reprinted papers and the new ones written specifically for this volume cover various aspects of the theory and practice of dynamic investing. Good and bad properties are discussed, as are fixed-mix and volatility induced growth strategies. The relationships with utility theory and the use of these ideas by great investors are featured.
Author: José Luis Menaldi
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 9781586030964
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 632
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Book Description
This volume contains more than sixty invited papers of international wellknown scientists in the fields where Alain Bensoussan's contributions have been particularly important: filtering and control of stochastic systems, variationnal problems, applications to economy and finance, numerical analysis... In particular, the extended texts of the lectures of Professors Jens Frehse, Hitashi Ishii, Jacques-Louis Lions, Sanjoy Mitter, Umberto Mosco, Bernt Oksendal, George Papanicolaou, A. Shiryaev, given in the Conference held in Paris on December 4th, 2000 in honor of Professor Alain Bensoussan are included.
Author: Horand Gassmann
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814407518
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 549
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Book Description
This book shows the breadth and depth of stochastic programming applications. All the papers presented here involve optimization over the scenarios that represent possible future outcomes of the uncertainty problems. The applications, which were presented at the 12th International Conference on Stochastic Programming held in Halifax, Nova Scotia in August 2010, span the rich field of uses of these models. The finance papers discuss such diverse problems as longevity risk management of individual investors, personal financial planning, intertemporal surplus management, asset management with benchmarks, dynamic portfolio management, fixed income immunization and racetrack betting. The production and logistics papers discuss natural gas infrastructure design, farming Atlantic salmon, prevention of nuclear smuggling and sawmill planning. The energy papers involve electricity production planning, hydroelectric reservoir operations and power generation planning for liquid natural gas plants. Finally, two telecommunication papers discuss mobile network design and frequency assignment problems.
Author: Takeyuki Hida
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461201675
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 436
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Book Description
During the last fifty years, Gopinath Kallianpur has made extensive and significant contributions to diverse areas of probability and statistics, including stochastic finance, Fisher consistent estimation, non-linear prediction and filtering problems, zero-one laws for Gaussian processes and reproducing kernel Hilbert space theory, and stochastic differential equations in infinite dimensions. To honor Kallianpur's pioneering work and scholarly achievements, a number of leading experts have written research articles highlighting progress and new directions of research in these and related areas. This commemorative volume, dedicated to Kallianpur on the occasion of his seventy-fifth birthday, will pay tribute to his multi-faceted achievements and to the deep insight and inspiration he has so graciously offered his students and colleagues throughout his career. Contributors to the volume: S. Aida, N. Asai, K. B. Athreya, R. N. Bhattacharya, A. Budhiraja, P. S. Chakraborty, P. Del Moral, R. Elliott, L. Gawarecki, D. Goswami, Y. Hu, J. Jacod, G. W. Johnson, L. Johnson, T. Koski, N. V. Krylov, I. Kubo, H.-H. Kuo, T. G. Kurtz, H. J. Kushner, V. Mandrekar, B. Margolius, R. Mikulevicius, I. Mitoma, H. Nagai, Y. Ogura, K. R. Parthasarathy, V. Perez-Abreu, E. Platen, B. V. Rao, B. Rozovskii, I. Shigekawa, K. B. Sinha, P. Sundar, M. Tomisaki, M. Tsuchiya, C. Tudor, W. A. Woycynski, J. Xiong.
Author: George Yin
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN: 0821834126
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 414
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Book Description
Contains papers based on talks given at the first AMS-IMS-SIAM Joint Summer Research Conference on Mathematics of Finance held at Snowbird. This book includes such topics as modeling, estimation, optimization, control, and risk assessment and management. It is suitable for students interested in mathematical finance.
Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Banks and banking
Languages : en
Pages : 1108
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Book Description
Author: Jiongmin Yong
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9810247974
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 286
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Book Description
The book deals with topics such as the pricing of various contingent claims within different frameworks, risk-sensitive problems, optimal investment, defaultable term structure, etc. It also reflects on some recent developments in certain important aspects of mathematical finance.
Author: Jiongmin Yong
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814489697
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 286
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Book Description
The book deals with topics such as the pricing of various contingent claims within different frameworks, risk-sensitive problems, optimal investment, defaultable term structure, etc. It also reflects on some recent developments in certain important aspects of mathematical finance.
Author: William T Ziemba
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9813223863
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 309
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Book Description
'Overall, the book provides an interesting and useful synthesis of the authors’ research on the predictions of stock market crashes. The book can be recommended to anyone interested in the Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential model, and similar methods to predict crashes.'Quantitative FinanceThis book presents studies of stock market crashes big and small that occur from bubbles bursting or other reasons. By a bubble we mean that prices are rising just because they are rising and that prices exceed fundamental values. A bubble can be a large rise in prices followed by a steep fall. The focus is on determining if a bubble actually exists, on models to predict stock market declines in bubble-like markets and exit strategies from these bubble-like markets. We list historical great bubbles of various markets over hundreds of years.We present four models that have been successful in predicting large stock market declines of ten percent plus that average about minus twenty-five percent. The bond stock earnings yield difference model was based on the 1987 US crash where the S&P 500 futures fell 29% in one day. The model is based on earnings yields relative to interest rates. When interest rates become too high relative to earnings, there almost always is a decline in four to twelve months. The initial out of sample test was on the Japanese stock market from 1948-88. There all twelve danger signals produced correct decline signals. But there were eight other ten percent plus declines that occurred for other reasons. Then the model called the 1990 Japan huge -56% decline. We show various later applications of the model to US stock declines such as in 2000 and 2007 and to the Chinese stock market. We also compare the model with high price earnings decline predictions over a sixty year period in the US. We show that over twenty year periods that have high returns they all start with low price earnings ratios and end with high ratios. High price earnings models have predictive value and the BSEYD models predict even better. Other large decline prediction models are call option prices exceeding put prices, Warren Buffett's value of the stock market to the value of the economy adjusted using BSEYD ideas and the value of Sotheby's stock. Investors expect more declines than actually occur. We present research on the positive effects of FOMC meetings and small cap dominance with Democratic Presidents. Marty Zweig was a wall street legend while he was alive. We discuss his methods for stock market predictability using momentum and FED actions. These helped him become the leading analyst and we show that his ideas still give useful predictions in 2016-2017. We study small declines in the five to fifteen percent range that are either not expected or are expected but when is not clear. For these we present methods to deal with these situations.The last four January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections are analzyed using simple volatility-S&P 500 graphs. Another very important issue is can you exit bubble-like markets at favorable prices. We use a stopping rule model that gives very good exit results. This is applied successfully to Apple computer stock in 2012, the Nasdaq 100 in 2000, the Japanese stock and golf course membership prices, the US stock market in 1929 and 1987 and other markets. We also show how to incorporate predictive models into stochastic investment models.
