Managing Downside Risk in Financial Markets

Managing Downside Risk in Financial Markets PDF Author: Frank A. Sortino
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN: 9780750648639
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 302

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Book Description
Quantitative methods have revolutionized the area of trading, regulation, risk management, portfolio construction, asset pricing and treasury activities, and governmental activity such as central banking to name but some of the applications. Downside-risk, as a quantitative method, is an accurate measurement of investment risk, because it captures the risk of not accomplishing the investor's goal. 'Downside Risk in Financial Markets' demonstrates how downside-risk can produce better results in performance measurement and asset allocation than variance modelling. Theory, as well as the practical issues involved in its implementation, is covered and the arguments put forward emphatically show the superiority of downside risk models to variance models in terms of risk measurement and decision making. Variance considers all uncertainty to be risky. Downside-risk only considers returns below that needed to accomplish the investor's goal, to be risky. Risk is one of the biggest issues facing the financial markets today. 'Downside Risk in Financial Markets' outlines the major issues for Investment Managers and focuses on "downside-risk" as a key activity in managing risk in investment/portfolio management. Managing risk is now THE paramount topic within the financial sector and recurring losses through the 1990s has shocked financial institutions into placing much greater emphasis on risk management and control. Free Software Enclosed To help you implement the knowledge you will gain from reading this book, a CD is enclosed that contains free software programs that were previously only available to institutional investors under special licensing agreement to The pension Research Institute. This is our contribution to the advancement of professionalism in portfolio management. The Forsey-Sortino model is an executable program that: 1. Runs on any PC without the need of any additional software. 2. Uses the bootstrap procedure developed by Dr. Bradley Effron at Stanford University to uncover what could have happened, instead of relying only on what did happen in the past. This is the best procedure we know of for describing the nature of uncertainty in financial markets. 3. Fits a three parameter lognormal distribution to the bootstrapped data to allow downside risk to be calculated from a continuous distribution. This improves the efficacy of the downside risk estimates. 4. Calculates upside potential and downside risk from monthly returns on any portfolio manager. 5. Calculates upside potential and downside risk from any user defined distribution. Forsey-Sortino Source Code: 1. The source code, written in Visual Basic 5.0, is provided for institutional investors who want to add these calculations to their existing financial services. 2. No royalties are required for this source code, providing institutions inform clients of the source of these calculations. A growing number of services are now calculating downside risk in a manner that we are not comfortable with. Therefore, we want investors to know when downside risk and upside potential are calculated in accordance with the methodology described in this book. Riddles Spreadsheet: 1. Neil Riddles, former Senior Vice President and Director of Performance Analysis at Templeton Global Advisors, now COO at Hansberger Global Advisors Inc., offers a free spreadsheet in excel format. 2. The spreadsheet calculates downside risk and upside potential relative to the returns on an index Brings together a range of relevant material, not currently available in a single volume source. Provides practical information on how financial organisations can use downside risk techniques and technological developments to effectively manage risk in their portfolio management. Provides a rigorous theoretical underpinning for the use of downside risk techniques. This is important for the long-run acceptance of the methodology, since such arguments justify consultant's recommendations to pension funds and other plan sponsors.

Managing Downside Risk in Financial Markets

Managing Downside Risk in Financial Markets PDF Author: Frank A. Sortino
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN: 9780750648639
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 302

Get Book Here

Book Description
Quantitative methods have revolutionized the area of trading, regulation, risk management, portfolio construction, asset pricing and treasury activities, and governmental activity such as central banking to name but some of the applications. Downside-risk, as a quantitative method, is an accurate measurement of investment risk, because it captures the risk of not accomplishing the investor's goal. 'Downside Risk in Financial Markets' demonstrates how downside-risk can produce better results in performance measurement and asset allocation than variance modelling. Theory, as well as the practical issues involved in its implementation, is covered and the arguments put forward emphatically show the superiority of downside risk models to variance models in terms of risk measurement and decision making. Variance considers all uncertainty to be risky. Downside-risk only considers returns below that needed to accomplish the investor's goal, to be risky. Risk is one of the biggest issues facing the financial markets today. 'Downside Risk in Financial Markets' outlines the major issues for Investment Managers and focuses on "downside-risk" as a key activity in managing risk in investment/portfolio management. Managing risk is now THE paramount topic within the financial sector and recurring losses through the 1990s has shocked financial institutions into placing much greater emphasis on risk management and control. Free Software Enclosed To help you implement the knowledge you will gain from reading this book, a CD is enclosed that contains free software programs that were previously only available to institutional investors under special licensing agreement to The pension Research Institute. This is our contribution to the advancement of professionalism in portfolio management. The Forsey-Sortino model is an executable program that: 1. Runs on any PC without the need of any additional software. 2. Uses the bootstrap procedure developed by Dr. Bradley Effron at Stanford University to uncover what could have happened, instead of relying only on what did happen in the past. This is the best procedure we know of for describing the nature of uncertainty in financial markets. 3. Fits a three parameter lognormal distribution to the bootstrapped data to allow downside risk to be calculated from a continuous distribution. This improves the efficacy of the downside risk estimates. 4. Calculates upside potential and downside risk from monthly returns on any portfolio manager. 5. Calculates upside potential and downside risk from any user defined distribution. Forsey-Sortino Source Code: 1. The source code, written in Visual Basic 5.0, is provided for institutional investors who want to add these calculations to their existing financial services. 2. No royalties are required for this source code, providing institutions inform clients of the source of these calculations. A growing number of services are now calculating downside risk in a manner that we are not comfortable with. Therefore, we want investors to know when downside risk and upside potential are calculated in accordance with the methodology described in this book. Riddles Spreadsheet: 1. Neil Riddles, former Senior Vice President and Director of Performance Analysis at Templeton Global Advisors, now COO at Hansberger Global Advisors Inc., offers a free spreadsheet in excel format. 2. The spreadsheet calculates downside risk and upside potential relative to the returns on an index Brings together a range of relevant material, not currently available in a single volume source. Provides practical information on how financial organisations can use downside risk techniques and technological developments to effectively manage risk in their portfolio management. Provides a rigorous theoretical underpinning for the use of downside risk techniques. This is important for the long-run acceptance of the methodology, since such arguments justify consultant's recommendations to pension funds and other plan sponsors.

Introduction To Derivative Securities, Financial Markets, And Risk Management, An (Third Edition)

Introduction To Derivative Securities, Financial Markets, And Risk Management, An (Third Edition) PDF Author: Robert A Jarrow
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811291691
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 763

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Book Description
The third edition updates the text in two significant ways. First, it updates the presentation to reflect changes that have occurred in financial markets since the publication of the 2nd edition. One such change is with respect to the over-the-counter interest rate derivatives markets and the abolishment of LIBOR as a reference rate. Second, it updates the theory to reflect new research related to asset price bubbles and the valuation of options. Asset price bubbles are a reality in financial markets and their impact on derivative pricing is essential to understand. This is the only introductory textbook that contains these insights on asset price bubbles and options.

Risk Financial Markets & You

Risk Financial Markets & You PDF Author: Alan A. Fustey
Publisher: Alan Fustey
ISBN: 1463525893
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 123

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Book Description
"Buy low, sell high" is likely the most widely quoted financial market truth of all time. It makes so much sense, yet it is one of the most difficult tasks to repeat successfully when investing. Risk, Financial Markets & You offers a unique examination of the hurdles investors must overcome to make successful investment decisions. Alan Fustey, a 25-year financial industry veteran, provides insightful revelations that challenge investing convention and divulge the hidden decision making weaknesses present in every investor. He examines: - How our engrained mental biases make us prone to producing unconscious errors. - Why we struggle to understand probability and overestimate the likelihood of favourable investment results. - If we truly understand the real risk that is present in financial markets. - How the financial advice industry uses our decision making weaknesses to their advantage when they present information, make recommendations and charge for their services. - Why we perceive financial markets as being more predictable than they actually are and subsequently suffer as investors. Risk, Financial Markets & You is thoroughly researched and insightfully written. Fustey draws lessons and offers practical solutions that will benefit even the most experienced investors. He combines anecdotes of investing mistakes to create an entertaining account of how investors can triumph over themselves and the financial advice industry to create investment success.

Managing Credit Risk

Managing Credit Risk PDF Author: John B. Caouette
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471111894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 476

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Book Description
The first full analysis of the latest advances in managing credit risk. "Against a backdrop of radical industry evolution, the authors of Managing Credit Risk: The Next Great Financial Challenge provide a concise and practical overview of these dramatic market and technical developments in a book which is destined to become a standard reference in the field." -Thomas C. Wilson, Partner, McKinsey & Company, Inc. "Managing Credit Risk is an outstanding intellectual achievement. The authors have provided investors a comprehensive view of the state of credit analysis at the end of the millennium." -Martin S. Fridson, Financial Analysts Journal. "This book provides a comprehensive review of credit risk management that should be compulsory reading for not only those who are responsible for such risk but also for financial analysts and investors. An important addition to a significant but neglected subject." -B.J. Ranson, Senior Vice-President, Portfolio Management, Bank of Montreal. The phenomenal growth of the credit markets has spawned a powerful array of new instruments for managing credit risk, but until now there has been no single source of information and commentary on them. In Managing Credit Risk, three highly regarded professionals in the field have-for the first time-gathered state-of-the-art information on the tools, techniques, and vehicles available today for managing credit risk. Throughout the book they emphasize the actual practice of managing credit risk, and draw on the experience of leading experts who have successfully implemented credit risk solutions. Starting with a lucid analysis of recent sweeping changes in the U.S. and global financial markets, this comprehensive resource documents the credit explosion and its remarkable opportunities-as well as its potentially devastating dangers. Analyzing the problems that have occurred during its growth period-S&L failures, business failures, bond and loan defaults, derivatives debacles-and the solutions that have enabled the credit market to continue expanding, Managing Credit Risk examines the major players and institutional settings for credit risk, including banks, insurance companies, pension funds, exchanges, clearinghouses, and rating agencies. By carefully delineating the different perspectives of each of these groups with respect to credit risk, this unique resource offers a comprehensive guide to the rapidly changing marketplace for credit products. Managing Credit Risk describes all the major credit risk management tools with regard to their strengths and weaknesses, their fitness to specific financial situations, and their effectiveness. The instruments covered in each of these detailed sections include: credit risk models based on accounting data and market values; models based on stock price; consumer finance models; models for small business; models for real estate, emerging market corporations, and financial institutions; country risk models; and more. There is an important analysis of default results on corporate bonds and loans, and credit rating migration. In all cases, the authors emphasize that success will go to those firms that employ the right tools and create the right kind of risk culture within their organizations. A strong concluding chapter integrates emerging trends in the financial markets with the new methods in the context of the overall credit environment. Concise, authoritative, and lucidly written, Managing Credit Risk is essential reading for bankers, regulators, and financial market professionals who face the great new challenges-and promising rewards-of credit risk management.

Modern Financial Markets

Modern Financial Markets PDF Author: David W. Blackwell
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470000104
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 516

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Book Description
Throughout this concise, accessible book, readers will quickly learn the fundamental concepts of managerial finance while discovering how things really work. The material is explained using an intuitive theoretical context, providing them with a richer understanding of the material and better insights into solving problems. Finance concepts are covered in a common sense manner and the use of mathematical jargon is minimized. The unifying theme for the book is the concept of valuation since it is the most fundamental concept in finance. The authors define and discuss value in terms of net present value (NPV).

Financial Market Risk

Financial Market Risk PDF Author: Cornelis Los
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134469314
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 513

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Book Description
This new book uses advanced signal processing technology to measure and analyze risk phenomena of the financial markets. It explains how to scientifically measure, analyze and manage non-stationarity and long-term time dependence (long memory) of financial market returns. It studies, in particular, financial crises in persistent financial markets,

Derivatives and Internal Models

Derivatives and Internal Models PDF Author: H. Deutsch
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1403946086
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 686

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Book Description
The successful first edition provided an introduction to the valuation and risk management of modern financial instruments, formulated in a precise mathematical expression and comprehensively covering all relevant topics using consistent and exact notation. In this edition, Deutsch continues with this philosophy covering new and more advanced topics including risk adjusted performance and portfolio optimization. This edition also includes a CD-ROM in the form of Excel workbooks giving detailed models of the concepts discussed in the book.

Managing Records in Global Financial Markets

Managing Records in Global Financial Markets PDF Author: Lynn Coleman
Publisher: Facet Publishing
ISBN: 185604663X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 272

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Book Description
Although there are a number of publications covering records management generically, very few are focused on the specific challenges of particular sectors, and fewer still on current regulatory, legal and governance issues associated with managing records in global banking and finance businesses. This timely book fills this gap by exploring these complex issues fully, and offers strategies and examples of best practice to meet the recordkeeping challenges to which they give rise in corporate and commercial banking enterprises operating in global capital markets. The examples and cases studies encompass recordkeeping in investment banking, asset management, brokerage and other financial services which serve global markets, and the book will be of particular significance to the financial sector. However, covering as it does the issues that arise from operating across borders and jurisdictions, it will also be of relevance to multi-national businesses in other sectors. The key chapters cover: setting the scene: background and concepts regulatory and legal compliance common trends in financial services: balancing risk and return litigation-related issues recordkeeping approaches. Whilst the expert team of authors are careful to ensure that the book reflects recognized records management principles, the accessible language used will assure its value to information professionals and others without a formal records management background. Readership: This much-needed textbook will be essential reading for records managers, archivists and information professionals who manage records in the financial sector. It will also be invaluable for individuals engaged in a wide range of disciplines who rely on records to meet the increasing number of legal and regulatory obligations to which institutions engaged in global banking and finance are now subject. These include: compliance professionals, data protection officers, governance professionals, regulators and risk managers, senior managers and directors, chief operating officers and IT specialists.

Managing Credit Risk

Managing Credit Risk PDF Author: John B. Caouette
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111816069X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 488

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Book Description
Managing Credit Risk, Second Edition opens with a detailed discussion of today’s global credit markets—touching on everything from the emergence of hedge funds as major players to the growing influence of rating agencies. After gaining a firm understanding of these issues, you’ll be introduced to some of the most effective credit risk management tools, techniques, and vehicles currently available. If you need to keep up with the constant changes in the world of credit risk management, this book will show you how.

Financial Risk Forecasting

Financial Risk Forecasting PDF Author: Jon Danielsson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119977118
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 307

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Book Description
Financial Risk Forecasting is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from the authors teaching notes and years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques. Written by renowned risk expert Jon Danielsson, the book begins with an introduction to financial markets and market prices, volatility clusters, fat tails and nonlinear dependence. It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univatiate and multivatiate methods, discussing the various methods used by industry, with a special focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail. Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in basic assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation. The book then moves on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing. The book concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in very large and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated. Every method presented brings together theoretical discussion and derivation of key equations and a discussion of issues in practical implementation. Each method is implemented in both MATLAB and R, two of the most commonly used mathematical programming languages for risk forecasting with which the reader can implement the models illustrated in the book. The book includes four appendices. The first introduces basic concepts in statistics and financial time series referred to throughout the book. The second and third introduce R and MATLAB, providing a discussion of the basic implementation of the software packages. And the final looks at the concept of maximum likelihood, especially issues in implementation and testing. The book is accompanied by a website - www.financialriskforecasting.com – which features downloadable code as used in the book.