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Author: Marjory Aaron
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780982794678
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Clear step-by-step explanations of decision tree analysis along with guidance on assessing probabilities, tangible and intangible costs, and damage ranges.
Author: Marjory Aaron
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780982794678
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Clear step-by-step explanations of decision tree analysis along with guidance on assessing probabilities, tangible and intangible costs, and damage ranges.
Author: Peter Christoffersen
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0123744482
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 346
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Book Description
The Second Edition of this best-selling book expands its advanced approach to financial risk models by covering market, credit, and integrated risk. With new data that cover the recent financial crisis, it combines Excel-based empirical exercises at the end of each chapter with online exercises so readers can use their own data. Its unified GARCH modeling approach, empirically sophisticated and relevant yet easy to implement, sets this book apart from others. Five new chapters and updated end-of-chapter questions and exercises, as well as Excel-solutions manual, support its step-by-step approach to choosing tools and solving problems. Examines market risk, credit risk, and operational risk Provides exceptional coverage of GARCH models Features online Excel-based empirical exercises
Author: Eileen Depka
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781942496984
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Developed specifically for grades K-2, this resource presents classroom-ready lessons that support the ISTE Standards for Students (NET standards). Use the lessons, which focus on four essential skills (communication, collaboration, critical thinking, and creativity), to take instruction and learning to the next level through the use of technology. Each chapter includes strategies for developing authentic learning experiences and ends with discussion questions for personal reflection. Integrate digital learning and support the ISTE Standards (formerly National Educational Technology Standards for Students or NETS): - Understand that real transformational change results from teaching and learning, not ever-changing digital devices. - Give students opportunities to exercise their voice, choice, and creativity using multimedia and digital tools. - Implement practical novice-, operational-, and wow-level lessons and tips for using digital tools in classroom lessons. - Foster digital citizenship, helping students keep themselves and their data safe online and make ethical decisions on the Internet. - Learn how to get students communicating, collaborating, innovating, and thinking critically in grade K-2 classroom lessons. Contents: Chapter 1: Learning Technology Operations and Concepts Chapter 2: Embracing Creativity Chapter 3: Communicating and Collaborating Chapter 4: Conducting Research and Curating Information Chapter 5: Thinking Critically to Solve Problems Chapter 6: Being Responsible Digital Citizens Chapter 7: Expanding Technology and Coding Concepts Epilogue Appendix References and Resources
Author: Rose McDermott
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
ISBN: 9780472087877
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 256
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Book Description
Discusses the way leaders deal with risk in making foreign policy decisions
Author: Jeffrey Baierlein
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781733349116
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 230
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Book Description
Your outdoor program provides fun, personal growth, adventure. It changes lives. But are your safety systems up to standards? If something happens, are you prepared to respond? Risk Management for Outdoor Programs: a Guide to Safety in Outdoor Education, Recreation and Adventure provides essential knowledge for any outdoor professional. Program managers, executives, volunteers and group leaders will learn the critical approaches and strategies for successfully anticipating and addressing outdoor program risks. Packed with real-life stories, current research findings, and best practices, Risk Management for Outdoor Programs: a Guide to Safety in Outdoor Education, Recreation and Adventure gives expert advice on: - Approaches to Risk Management - Standards - Legal Considerations - Safety Culture - Activities and Program Areas - Staff - Equipment - Participants - Subcontractors - Transportation - Business Administration - Risk Transfer - Incident Management - Incident Reporting - Incident Reviews - Risk Management Committee - Medical Screening - Risk Management Reviews - Media Relations - Documentation - Accreditation - Seeing Systems
Author: Geoffrey C. Kabat
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0231542852
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 405
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Book Description
Do cell phones cause brain cancer? Does BPA threaten our health? How safe are certain dietary supplements, especially those containing exotic herbs or small amounts of toxic substances? Is the HPV vaccine safe? We depend on science and medicine as never before, yet there is widespread misinformation and confusion, amplified by the media, regarding what influences our health. In Getting Risk Right, Geoffrey C. Kabat shows how science works—and sometimes doesn't—and what separates these two very different outcomes. Kabat seeks to help us distinguish between claims that are supported by solid science and those that are the result of poorly designed or misinterpreted studies. By exploring different examples, he explains why certain risks are worth worrying about, while others are not. He emphasizes the variable quality of research in contested areas of health risks, as well as the professional, political, and methodological factors that can distort the research process. Drawing on recent systematic critiques of biomedical research and on insights from behavioral psychology, Getting Risk Right examines factors both internal and external to the science that can influence what results get attention and how questionable results can be used to support a particular narrative concerning an alleged public health threat. In this book, Kabat provides a much-needed antidote to what has been called "an epidemic of false claims."
Author: Berç Rustem
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400825113
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 405
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Book Description
Recognizing that robust decision making is vital in risk management, this book provides concepts and algorithms for computing the best decision in view of the worst-case scenario. The main tool used is minimax, which ensures robust policies with guaranteed optimal performance that will improve further if the worst case is not realized. The applications considered are drawn from finance, but the design and algorithms presented are equally applicable to problems of economic policy, engineering design, and other areas of decision making. Critically, worst-case design addresses not only Armageddon-type uncertainty. Indeed, the determination of the worst case becomes nontrivial when faced with numerous--possibly infinite--and reasonably likely rival scenarios. Optimality does not depend on any single scenario but on all the scenarios under consideration. Worst-case optimal decisions provide guaranteed optimal performance for systems operating within the specified scenario range indicating the uncertainty. The noninferiority of minimax solutions--which also offer the possibility of multiple maxima--ensures this optimality. Worst-case design is not intended to necessarily replace expected value optimization when the underlying uncertainty is stochastic. However, wise decision making requires the justification of policies based on expected value optimization in view of the worst-case scenario. Conversely, the cost of the assured performance provided by robust worst-case decision making needs to be evaluated relative to optimal expected values. Written for postgraduate students and researchers engaged in optimization, engineering design, economics, and finance, this book will also be invaluable to practitioners in risk management.
Author: Gert J. J. Biesta
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317263308
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 155
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Book Description
This is a book about what many teachers know but are increasingly being prevented from talking about: that real education always involves a risk. The risk is there because, as W. B. Yeats has put it, education is not about filling a bucket but about lighting a fire. It is there because students are not to be seen as objects to be moulded and disciplined, but as subjects of action and responsibility. The Beautiful Risk of Education is organised around a critical discussion of seven key educational concepts: creativity, communication, teaching, learning, emancipation, democracy, and virtuosity. By opposing the risk aversion that characterises many contemporary educational policies and practices, Gert J.J. Biesta makes a strong argument for giving risk a central place in our educational endeavours and brings risk taking to the forefront of a critical pedagogical practice.
Author: Norman Fenton
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439809119
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 516
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Book Description
Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models. Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. A dedicated website, www.BayesianRisk.com, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software.
Author: Marjorie Corman Aaron
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199970858
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 288
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Book Description
Lawyers know that client counseling can be the most challenging part of legal practice. Clients question and often resist the complexities and uncertainties inherent in law and legal process. Honest advice from the lawyer can make a client doubt his or her allegiance and zeal. Client backlash may be directed at the lawyer who communicates bad news. Thus, the lawyer may feel torn between the obligation to clearly inform a client about weaknesses in legal positions and fear of damaging the client relationship. Too often, the lawyer struggles to counsel a particularly difficult client, but to no avail. Client Science is written to provide insight and advice to lawyers on how to more effectively communicate with their clients with regard to legal realities and difficult decisions. It will help lawyers with the always-difficult task of delivering "bad news," which will result in better-informed and thus more satisfied clients. The book explains applicable social science research and insights and translates them into plain language relevant to legal practice and client counseling. Marjorie Corman Aaron offers specific suggestions related to a lawyer's ordering, timing, phrasing, and type of explanation, as well as style adjustments for the lawyer's voice, gesture, and body position, all to impact client counseling and to improve the lawyer-client relationship.
