Revisiting Covid Scarring in Emerging Markets

Revisiting Covid Scarring in Emerging Markets PDF Author: Chris Jackson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

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Book Description
The Covid-19 pandemic is expected to result in large and persistent losses in economic output, known as scarring. These losses were expected to be more severe in Emerging Markets than in Advanced Economies. This paper examines the impact of Covid on output in Emerging Markets so far and its implications for projections of economic scarring. While Covid has had a material impact on activity, the recovery has been stronger than initially expected. We find that these positive data surprises have over time been treated increasingly as transitory rather than a signal for the state of scarring. Second, we show that the composition of output losses has been qualitatively different from past last shocks. History suggests that the main driver of scarring is weak productivity. Covid losses, however, have so far been more skewed to employment with a smaller than usual impact on productivity. We argue that these findings suggest that scarring, while substantial, may be ultimately less severe than initially feared, at least over the medium term. We provide alternative sets of medium-term projections to indicate potential magnitudes.

Revisiting Covid Scarring in Emerging Markets

Revisiting Covid Scarring in Emerging Markets PDF Author: Chris Jackson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

Get Book Here

Book Description
The Covid-19 pandemic is expected to result in large and persistent losses in economic output, known as scarring. These losses were expected to be more severe in Emerging Markets than in Advanced Economies. This paper examines the impact of Covid on output in Emerging Markets so far and its implications for projections of economic scarring. While Covid has had a material impact on activity, the recovery has been stronger than initially expected. We find that these positive data surprises have over time been treated increasingly as transitory rather than a signal for the state of scarring. Second, we show that the composition of output losses has been qualitatively different from past last shocks. History suggests that the main driver of scarring is weak productivity. Covid losses, however, have so far been more skewed to employment with a smaller than usual impact on productivity. We argue that these findings suggest that scarring, while substantial, may be ultimately less severe than initially feared, at least over the medium term. We provide alternative sets of medium-term projections to indicate potential magnitudes.

A Post-Pandemic Assessment of the Sustainable Development Goals

A Post-Pandemic Assessment of the Sustainable Development Goals PDF Author: Ms. Dora Benedek
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498314902
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 35

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Book Description
The COVID-19 pandemic hit countries’ development agendas hard. The ensuing recession has pushed millions into extreme poverty and has shrunk government resources available for spending on achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This Staff Discussion Note assesses the current state of play on funding SDGs in five key development areas: education, health, roads, electricity, and water and sanitation, using a newly developed dynamic macroeconomic framework.

Economic Effects of the Pandemic

Economic Effects of the Pandemic PDF Author: Ashraf Mishrif
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9819743672
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 331

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Book Description


Navigating COVID-19 in Asia and the Pacific

Navigating COVID-19 in Asia and the Pacific PDF Author: Bambang Susantono
Publisher: Asian Development Bank
ISBN: 9292623567
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 324

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Book Description
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has unleashed unparalleled challenges. At the same time, it offers a window to rethink Asia’s most fundamental development policies and strategies to address inequality, socioeconomic vulnerability, and environmental challenges. This publication gathers blogs and short policy pieces contributed by ADB staff and experts in an attempt to tackle immediate challenges and prepare for what may lie beyond the horizon. It covers a broad range of development challenges and highlights the crucial role of rapid adoption of digital technologies, adequate supply of quality infrastructure, disaster risk management, and strengthening regional cooperation for a resilient and sustainable future by shaping post-pandemic conditions.

Second-Generation Fiscal Rules

Second-Generation Fiscal Rules PDF Author: Luc Eyraud
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484350936
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 132

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Book Description
Fiscal rule frameworks have evolved significantly in response to the global financial crisis. Many countries have reformed their fiscal rules or introduced new ones with a view to enhancing the credibility of fiscal policy and providing a medium-term anchor. Enforcement and monitoring mechanisms have also been upgraded. However, these innovations have made the systems of rules more complicated to operate, while compliance has not improved. The SDN takes stock of past experiences, reviews recent reforms, and presents new research on the effectiveness of rules. It also proposes guiding principles for future reforms to strike a better balance between simplicity, flexibility, and enforceability. Read the blog

After the Virus

After the Virus PDF Author: Hilary Cooper
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1009005200
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 449

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Book Description
Reveals the deep roots of the UK's lack of resilience when COVID-19 hit and sets out an ambitious manifesto for change.

Latin American Economic Outlook 2021 Working Together for a Better Recovery

Latin American Economic Outlook 2021 Working Together for a Better Recovery PDF Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264682317
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 274

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Book Description
The Latin American Economic Outlook 2021: Working Together for a Better Recovery aims to analyse and provide policy recommendations for a strong, inclusive and environmentally sustainable recovery in the region. The report explores policy actions to improve social protection mechanisms and increase social inclusion, foster regional integration and strengthen industrial strategies, and rethink the social contract to restore trust and empower citizens at all stages of the policy‐making process.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles PDF Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513536990
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

BSP Unbound

BSP Unbound PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9786218173019
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Revisiting Sustainable Tourism in the Philippines

Revisiting Sustainable Tourism in the Philippines PDF Author: John Paolo R. Rivera
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1837536805
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

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Book Description
Revisiting Sustainable Tourism in the Philippines offers a novel perspective about how sustainable tourism can be pursued against the backdrop of the events that have occurred over the years, through four themes: value chain integration, thinking small, customization of services, and quality over quantity.