Realignment Expectations, Forward Rate Bias, and Sterilized Intervention in an Adjustable Peg Exchange Rate Model with Policy Optimization

Realignment Expectations, Forward Rate Bias, and Sterilized Intervention in an Adjustable Peg Exchange Rate Model with Policy Optimization PDF Author: Mr.Peter Isard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451922043
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
The paper models an adjustable peg exchange rate arrangement as a policy rule with an escape clause under which the timing and magnitudes of realignments are the outcomes of policy optimization decisions. Under the assumptions that market participants are rational, risk averse, and fully informed about the incentives of policymakers, the analysis focuses on the implications for relating realignment expectations to the state variables that enter the policy objective function, for modeling the bias in using forward exchange rates to predict future spot rates, and for characterizing the effectiveness of sterilized intervention.

Realignment Expectations, Forward Rate Bias, and Sterilized Intervention in an Adjustable Peg Exchange Rate Model with Policy Optimization

Realignment Expectations, Forward Rate Bias, and Sterilized Intervention in an Adjustable Peg Exchange Rate Model with Policy Optimization PDF Author: Mr.Peter Isard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451922043
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
The paper models an adjustable peg exchange rate arrangement as a policy rule with an escape clause under which the timing and magnitudes of realignments are the outcomes of policy optimization decisions. Under the assumptions that market participants are rational, risk averse, and fully informed about the incentives of policymakers, the analysis focuses on the implications for relating realignment expectations to the state variables that enter the policy objective function, for modeling the bias in using forward exchange rates to predict future spot rates, and for characterizing the effectiveness of sterilized intervention.

Realignment Expectations, Forward Rate Bias, and Sterilized Intervention in an Adjustable Peg Exchange Rate Model with Policy Optimization

Realignment Expectations, Forward Rate Bias, and Sterilized Intervention in an Adjustable Peg Exchange Rate Model with Policy Optimization PDF Author: Peter Isard
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
The paper models an adjustable peg exchange rate arrangement as a policy rule with an escape clause under which the timing and magnitudes of realignments are the outcomes of policy optimization decisions. Under the assumptions that market participants are rational, risk averse, and fully informed about the incentives of policymakers, the analysis focuses on the implications for relating realignment expectations to the state variables that enter the policy objective function, for modeling the bias in using forward exchange rates to predict future spot rates, and for characterizing the effectiveness of sterilized intervention.

Working Paper Summaries (WP/94/1 - WP/94/76)

Working Paper Summaries (WP/94/1 - WP/94/76) PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451850956
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 86

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Book Description
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.

IMF Staff papers

IMF Staff papers PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451957068
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 244

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Book Description
This paper provides a critical survey of the literature on politico-institutional determinants of the government budget. We organize our discussion around two questions: Why did certain OECD countries, but not others, accumulate large public debts? Why did these fiscal imbalances appear in the last twenty years rather than sooner? We begin by discussing the “tax smoothing” model and conclude that this approach alone cannot provide complete answers to these questions. We then proceed to a discussion of political economy models, which we organize into six groups: (1) models based upon opportunistic policy makers and naive voters with “fiscal illusion”; (2) models of intergenerational redistributions; (3) models of debt as a strategic variable, linking the current government with the next one; (4) models of coalition governments; (5) models of geographically dispersed interests; and (6) models emphasizing the effects of budgetary institutions. We conclude by briefly discussing policy implications.

IMF Working Paper

IMF Working Paper PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Finance
Languages : en
Pages : 514

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Book Description


Modern Perspectives on the Gold Standard

Modern Perspectives on the Gold Standard PDF Author: Tamim Bayoumi
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521571693
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 432

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Book Description
Currency crises in Europe and Mexico during the 1990s provided stark reminders of the importance and the fragility of international financial markets. These experiences led some commentators to conclude that open international capital markets are incompatible with financial stability. But the pre-1914 gold standard is an obvious challenge to the notion that open capital markets are sources of instability. To deepen our understanding of how this system worked, this volume draws together recent research on the gold standard. Theoretical models are used to guide qualitative discussions of historical experience, while econometric methods are used to help the historical data speak clearly. The result is an overview of the gold standard, a survey of the relevant applied research in international macroeconomics, and a demonstration of how the past can help to inform the present.

Working Paper Summaries, January-June 1994

Working Paper Summaries, January-June 1994 PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : IMF working paper
Languages : en
Pages : 90

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Book Description


Exchange Rates and Economic Fundamentals

Exchange Rates and Economic Fundamentals PDF Author: Mr.Tamim Bayoumi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557754516
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
This paper summarizes the methods and types of indicators that are often employed, both insid and outside the IMF, to assess whether exchange rates are broadly in line with economic fundamentals.

Publications Catalog

Publications Catalog PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : International finance
Languages : en
Pages : 112

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Book Description


Bibliographie der Wirtschaftswissenschaften

Bibliographie der Wirtschaftswissenschaften PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 982

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Book Description