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Author: Tomomi Takada
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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We examine the relation between the quality of financial inputs (indirectly measured by the existence or otherwise of restatements of the condensed financial statements), and management forecast accuracy in Japan. The Japanese market provides a unique environment to identify firms with poor-quality financial inputs because the stock exchanges require firms simultaneously to disclose (1) condensed financial statements for the current year and (2) management forecasts for the following year in their financial highlights (Kessan Tanshin) after the settlement of financial accounts and board approval before the final financial statements are issued. The simultaneous disclosure of management forecasts and earnings announcements implies that the firms that have restated their financial highlights are relying on poor-quality financial inputs to generate the statements and, most likely, the earnings forecast, as well. Our results suggest that restatement firms are likely to use poor-quality financial inputs and consequently report less accurate management forecasts.
Author: Tomomi Takada
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
We examine the relation between the quality of financial inputs (indirectly measured by the existence or otherwise of restatements of the condensed financial statements), and management forecast accuracy in Japan. The Japanese market provides a unique environment to identify firms with poor-quality financial inputs because the stock exchanges require firms simultaneously to disclose (1) condensed financial statements for the current year and (2) management forecasts for the following year in their financial highlights (Kessan Tanshin) after the settlement of financial accounts and board approval before the final financial statements are issued. The simultaneous disclosure of management forecasts and earnings announcements implies that the firms that have restated their financial highlights are relying on poor-quality financial inputs to generate the statements and, most likely, the earnings forecast, as well. Our results suggest that restatement firms are likely to use poor-quality financial inputs and consequently report less accurate management forecasts.
Author: Robert M. Conroy
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780943205274
Category : Corporate profits
Languages : en
Pages : 59
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Author: Wenjun Kuang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Author: Don Herrmann
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Not all components of earnings are expected to provide similar information regarding future earnings. For example, basic financial statement analysis indicates that the persistence of ordinary income should be greater than the persistence of special, extraordinary, or discontinued operations. Because the market assigns higher multiples to earnings components that are more persistent, differentiating earnings components on the basis of relative persistence would appear to be useful. A focus on relative predictive value is consistent with research findings and user recommendations on separating earnings components that are persistent or permanent from those that are transitory or temporary. This paper examines the persistence and forecast accuracy of earnings components for retail and manufacturing companies listed in the world's two largest equity markets; the USA and Japan. We find the forecast accuracy of earnings in both the USA and Japan increases with greater disaggregation of earnings components. The results further indicate that the improvements in forecast accuracy due to earnings disaggregation are greater in the USA than in Japan. The greater emphasis and more detailed guidelines for reporting earnings components in the USA produce a better differentiation in the persistence of earnings components resulting in greater forecast improvements from earnings disaggregation.
Author: Huong N. Higgins
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38
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This paper examines analyst forecasts of Japanese firms' earnings during Japan's economic burst period in the 1990s. Using the evidence of analyst earnings forecasts in the U.S. as benchmark, the paper documents the following three findings. First, whereas the forecast accuracy of U.S. analysts following U.S. firms improves over time, the forecast accuracy of U.S. and Japanese analysts following Japanese firms does not. Second, whereas decreases in forecast errors of U.S. analysts following U.S. firms are best explained by decreases in forecast bias of the analysts, increases in forecast errors of U.S. and Japanese analysts following Japanese firms are best explained by increases in the frequency of losses experienced by Japanese firms. Third, Japanese analysts forecast earnings less accurately than do U.S. analysts. These findings reflect the difficulty of producing accurate earnings forecasts during economic downturns. These findings also suggest that Japanese analysts are more bound than their U.S. counterparts by cultural ties that impede forecast accuracy.
Author: Masako N. Darrough
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporate profits
Languages : en
Pages : 80
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Author: Kenji Yasukata
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Virtually all firms listed on Japanese stock exchanges report point forecasts of sales and earnings in their annual press releases. The availability of management forecasts in Japan provides a unique research opportunity to investigate managers' prediction of cost behavior of their company. Forecasted costs are available by subtracting forecasted earnings from forecasted sales. Using recent “sticky cost” research methods, the forecasted rate of change in costs can be compared with the actual rate of change in costs. Specifically, I describe the forecasted rate of change in costs as a function of the forecasted rate of change in sales, and comparing the forecasted rate of change in costs with the actual rate of change in costs. The rationale for this approach is, in theory, that costs are resources sacrificed to generate sales; hence, it is generally expected that costs increase (decrease) as sales increase (decrease). Basically, focusing on the relationship between forecasted sales and costs provide deeper insights into management earnings forecasts than focusing on the forecasted earnings because earnings are the aggregated measure of sales and costs. The major findings of this paper are that managers underestimate the rate of increase in costs when sales are expected to increase; however, they tend to overestimate the rate of decrease in costs when sales are expected to decrease, indicating that costs are underestimated regardless of the forecasted direction of change in sales. These findings imply that optimistic bias in management earnings forecasts can partly be attributed to the forecast error of rate of change in costs.
Author: Megumi Suto
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9811089868
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 240
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Book Description
This book explores the linkages between the evolution of corporate social responsibility (CSR) and corporate financing and governance in Japan since the late 2000s. Since the 1990s, increasing economic and financial globalization has steadily eroded the Japanese style of business based on relationships and influenced the awareness and practices of CSR that are unique to Japanese companies. In Japan’s two “lost decades” after the bubble economy, the business model and corporate financing seem to have continued a gradual financial reform toward a more market-oriented system. CSR awareness and practices of Japanese companies have been influenced by social and environmental issues that global society and communities face. Furthermore, the Fukushima nuclear accident in 2011 triggered increasing attention paid to the responsibility of business toward society. In this process, major players in corporate governance and components of governance structure have continued to change. The conventional view of Japanese corporate governance and corporate finance is too narrow to understand this field in Japan. This book is based on empirical research to investigate how multifaceted CSR has aligned with business and finance and has influenced the corporate governance structure of Japanese companies. The findings and discussions in this book act are stepping stones in further research on the linkages between business and society, and provide empirical evidence on changes in Japanese corporate finance and governance.
Author: Akihiro Yamada
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Purpose: Current systems of regulation in Japan require that listed firms disclose earnings forecasts for the coming fiscal year. The Japanese Business Federation is contesting this requirement, requesting that mandatory forecast disclosures be abolished. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationships (1) between accruals and initial management earnings forecast errors, and (2) between accruals and forecast revisions. Further, the study offers a preliminary discussion of the economic costs of mandatory earnings forecasting, with a specific focus on firms operating under conditions of uncertainty or facing difficulty in analyzing economic information.Design/Methodology/Approach: To investigate the relationship between accruals and management forecast errors (revisions), multiple regression models were designed using data covering the period between 2003 and 2013, pertaining to listed Japanese firms. A model developed by Dechow and Dichev (2002) was applied to estimate normal and abnormal accruals. Findings: I found a positive relationship between accruals and initial management earnings forecast errors, and a negative relationship between accruals and forecast revisions. Further, the relationship between accruals and management forecast errors (revisions) is more pronounced among firms operating in uncertain business environments or facing difficulty in analyzing economic information.Originality/Value: The study provides an important analysis of abnormal working capital accruals in relation to both initial management earnings forecast errors and forecast revisions. While total accruals or working capital accruals have been documented in prior studies in this regard, abnormal accruals have not. Furthermore, this study offers a preliminary discussion of the economic costs associated with earnings forecasting under conditions of mandatory disclosure. The economic impact of forecasting has not previously been addressed under either mandatory or voluntary conditions.
Author: Robert M. Conroy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stock exchanges
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
