Prior Uncertainty, Analyst Bias, and Subsequent Abnormal Returns

Prior Uncertainty, Analyst Bias, and Subsequent Abnormal Returns PDF Author: Lucy F. Ackert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
In this paper, we examine the relation between analysts' over-optimism and uncertainty as proxied by the standard deviation of earnings forecasts. We find a positive relation between over-optimism and uncertainty, but very little or no optimism when uncertainty is low. If the uncertainty surrounding a firm is high, analysts have fewer reputational concerns when they act on their inclinations to issue optimistic forecasts. Portfolio strategies based on these findings generate abnormal returns. The results suggest that greater prior uncertainty leads to higher analyst optimism, which in turn causes market overvaluation and profitable portfolio strategies.

Prior Uncertainty, Analyst Bias, and Subsequent Abnormal Returns

Prior Uncertainty, Analyst Bias, and Subsequent Abnormal Returns PDF Author: Lucy F. Ackert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Get Book Here

Book Description
In this paper, we examine the relation between analysts' over-optimism and uncertainty as proxied by the standard deviation of earnings forecasts. We find a positive relation between over-optimism and uncertainty, but very little or no optimism when uncertainty is low. If the uncertainty surrounding a firm is high, analysts have fewer reputational concerns when they act on their inclinations to issue optimistic forecasts. Portfolio strategies based on these findings generate abnormal returns. The results suggest that greater prior uncertainty leads to higher analyst optimism, which in turn causes market overvaluation and profitable portfolio strategies.

Outperform with Expectations-Based Management

Outperform with Expectations-Based Management PDF Author: Tom Copeland
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111816105X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 295

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Book Description
CEOs and managers live and die by delivering superior performance to shareholders. This is why expectations-based management has been developed. Outperform with Expectations-Based Management (EBM) introduces a revolutionary new performance metric that links performance standards, performance measurement, and the achievement of performance. It's easy to say that if a CEO can get performance measurement right, then performance improvement will follow. But what is the "right" measure of performance, and how do you use it to improve performance? Authors Tom Copeland and Aaron Dolgoff answer these questions and many more, as they show you how to find the measure of performance that has the strongest link to the creation of wealth for the owners of both public and private companies. They answer the puzzle of why growth in earnings is not correlated with shareholder returns and explain the under- and over-investment traps. And they explain how clear communications to investors and managers alike improve value. The bottom line is that share prices go up when companies exceed expectations -- short-term and long-term -- of income statement and balance sheet performance and daily operating value drivers. Gain a complete understanding of EBM and discover how to do this, and much more, while staying competitive in an unforgiving business environment.

Value Creation in European Equity Carve-Outs

Value Creation in European Equity Carve-Outs PDF Author: Nikolas Pojezny
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3835093630
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 334

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Book Description
Employing the most comprehensive sample of European carve-outs to date, Nikolas Pojezny analyzes the performance of carve-outs along various dimensions: Both the reaction of parent firms to the announcement of a carve-out as well as share price and operating performance in a multi-year window around the event are examined in detail.

A Simultaneous Equations Analysis of Analysts' Forecast Bias and Institutional Ownership

A Simultaneous Equations Analysis of Analysts' Forecast Bias and Institutional Ownership PDF Author: Lucy F. Ackert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporate profits
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description


Asset Management

Asset Management PDF Author: Stephen Satchell
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319307940
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 389

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Book Description
This book presents a series of contributions on key issues in the decision-making behind the management of financial assets. It provides insight into topics such as quantitative and traditional portfolio construction, performance clustering and incentives in the UK pension fund industry, pension fund governance, indexation, and tracking errors. Markets covered include major European markets, equities, and emerging markets of South-East and Central Asia.

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance

Journal of Applied Corporate Finance PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital investments
Languages : en
Pages : 1032

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Book Description


Institutional Investors, Analyst Following, and the January Anomaly

Institutional Investors, Analyst Following, and the January Anomaly PDF Author: Lucy F. Ackert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Seasonal variations (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description


Short Selling

Short Selling PDF Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471704334
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 434

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Book Description
The latest theoretical and empirical evidence on short selling in the United States and throughout the world To get the most success out of what the finance community regards as a risky business, short sellers need high-level information. The Theory and Practice of Short Selling offers managers and investors the information they need to maximize and enhance their short selling capabilities for bigger profits. Frank Fabozzi collects a group of market experts who share their knowledge on everything from the basics to the complex in the world of short sales, including mechanics of short selling, the empirical evidence on short-selling, the implications or restrictions on short selling for investment strategies, short-selling strategies pursued by institutional investors, and identifying short-selling candidates. Frank J. Fabozzi, PhD, CFA (New Hope, PA), is the Frederick Frank Adjunct Professor of Finance at Yale University's School of Management and Editor of the Journal of Portfolio Management. He is the author or editor of over 100 books on finance and investing.

Judgment and Decision Making in Accounting

Judgment and Decision Making in Accounting PDF Author: Sarah E. Bonner
Publisher: Prentice Hall
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 488

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Book Description
This unique first edition is the only book on the market that delivers a contemporary synthesis of both psychology and accounting literature related to judgment and decision making. Judgment and Decision Making in Accounting is structured around an innovative framework that provides a unique way of thinking about JDM projects and organizing JDM research. Developed based on many years of teaching and research on accounting JDM, this unique framework succinctly describes the key issues in accounting JDM research, enabling readers to more quickly assimilate the vast material related to those issues. The framework also provides a basis to help readers evaluate their own current JDM research ideas, as well as generate further research questions.

Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices

Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices PDF Author: John G. Cragg
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226116727
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 185

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Book Description
John G. Cragg and Burton G. Malkiel collected detailed forecasts of professional investors concerning the growth of 175 companies and use this information to examine the impact of such forecasts on the market evaluations of the companies and to test and extend traditional models of how stock market values are determined.