Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics

Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics PDF Author: Juan C. Vallejo
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030286304
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 207

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Book Description
This book is primarily concerned with the computational aspects of predictability of dynamical systems - in particular those where observations, modeling and computation are strongly interdependent. Unlike with physical systems under control in laboratories, in astronomy it is uncommon to have the possibility of altering the key parameters of the studied objects. Therefore, the numerical simulations offer an essential tool for analysing these systems, and their reliability is of ever-increasing interest and importance. In this interdisciplinary scenario, the underlying physics provide the simulated models, nonlinear dynamics provides their chaoticity and instability properties, and the computer sciences provide the actual numerical implementation. This book introduces and explores precisely this link between the models and their predictability characterization based on concepts derived from the field of nonlinear dynamics, with a focus on the strong sensitivity to initial conditions and the use of Lyapunov exponents to characterize this sensitivity. This method is illustrated using several well-known continuous dynamical systems, such as the Contopoulos, Hénon-Heiles and Rössler systems. This second edition revises and significantly enlarges the material of the first edition by providing new entry points for discussing new predictability issues on a variety of areas such as machine decision-making, partial differential equations or the analysis of attractors and basins. Finally, the parts of the book devoted to the application of these ideas to astronomy have been greatly enlarged, by first presenting some basics aspects of predictability in astronomy and then by expanding these ideas to a detailed analysis of a galactic potential.

Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics

Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics PDF Author: Juan C. Vallejo
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030286304
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 207

Get Book Here

Book Description
This book is primarily concerned with the computational aspects of predictability of dynamical systems - in particular those where observations, modeling and computation are strongly interdependent. Unlike with physical systems under control in laboratories, in astronomy it is uncommon to have the possibility of altering the key parameters of the studied objects. Therefore, the numerical simulations offer an essential tool for analysing these systems, and their reliability is of ever-increasing interest and importance. In this interdisciplinary scenario, the underlying physics provide the simulated models, nonlinear dynamics provides their chaoticity and instability properties, and the computer sciences provide the actual numerical implementation. This book introduces and explores precisely this link between the models and their predictability characterization based on concepts derived from the field of nonlinear dynamics, with a focus on the strong sensitivity to initial conditions and the use of Lyapunov exponents to characterize this sensitivity. This method is illustrated using several well-known continuous dynamical systems, such as the Contopoulos, Hénon-Heiles and Rössler systems. This second edition revises and significantly enlarges the material of the first edition by providing new entry points for discussing new predictability issues on a variety of areas such as machine decision-making, partial differential equations or the analysis of attractors and basins. Finally, the parts of the book devoted to the application of these ideas to astronomy have been greatly enlarged, by first presenting some basics aspects of predictability in astronomy and then by expanding these ideas to a detailed analysis of a galactic potential.

Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics

Predictability of Chaotic Dynamics PDF Author: Juan C. Vallejo
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319518933
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 147

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Book Description
This book is primarily concerned with the computational aspects of predictability of dynamical systems – in particular those where observation, modeling and computation are strongly interdependent. Unlike with physical systems under control in laboratories, for instance in celestial mechanics, one is confronted with the observation and modeling of systems without the possibility of altering the key parameters of the objects studied. Therefore, the numerical simulations offer an essential tool for analyzing these systems. With the widespread use of computer simulations to solve complex dynamical systems, the reliability of the numerical calculations is of ever-increasing interest and importance. This reliability is directly related to the regularity and instability properties of the modeled flow. In this interdisciplinary scenario, the underlying physics provide the simulated models, nonlinear dynamics provides their chaoticity and instability properties, and the computer sciences provide the actual numerical implementation. This book introduces and explores precisely this link between the models and their predictability characterization based on concepts derived from the field of nonlinear dynamics, with a focus on the finite-time Lyapunov exponents approach. The method is illustrated using a number of well-known continuous dynamical systems, including the Contopoulos, Hénon-Heiles and Rössler systems. To help students and newcomers quickly learn to apply these techniques, the appendix provides descriptions of the algorithms used throughout the text and details how to implement them in order to solve a given continuous dynamical system.

Chaos Detection and Predictability

Chaos Detection and Predictability PDF Author: Charalampos (Haris) Skokos
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3662484102
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Book Description
Distinguishing chaoticity from regularity in deterministic dynamical systems and specifying the subspace of the phase space in which instabilities are expected to occur is of utmost importance in as disparate areas as astronomy, particle physics and climate dynamics. To address these issues there exists a plethora of methods for chaos detection and predictability. The most commonly employed technique for investigating chaotic dynamics, i.e. the computation of Lyapunov exponents, however, may suffer a number of problems and drawbacks, for example when applied to noisy experimental data. In the last two decades, several novel methods have been developed for the fast and reliable determination of the regular or chaotic nature of orbits, aimed at overcoming the shortcomings of more traditional techniques. This set of lecture notes and tutorial reviews serves as an introduction to and overview of modern chaos detection and predictability techniques for graduate students and non-specialists. The book covers theoretical and computational aspects of traditional methods to calculate Lyapunov exponents, as well as of modern techniques like the Fast (FLI), the Orthogonal (OFLI) and the Relative (RLI) Lyapunov Indicators, the Mean Exponential Growth factor of Nearby Orbits (MEGNO), the Smaller (SALI) and the Generalized (GALI) Alignment Index and the ‘0-1’ test for chaos.

Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics

Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics PDF Author: Alistair I. Mees
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461201772
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 484

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Book Description
This book describes the state of the art in nonlinear dynamical reconstruction theory. The chapters are based upon a workshop held at the Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge University, UK, in late 1998. The book's chapters present theory and methods topics by leading researchers in applied and theoretical nonlinear dynamics, statistics, probability, and systems theory. Features and topics: * disentangling uncertainty and error: the predictability of nonlinear systems * achieving good nonlinear models * delay reconstructions: dynamics vs. statistics * introduction to Monte Carlo Methods for Bayesian Data Analysis * latest results in extracting dynamical behavior via Markov Models * data compression, dynamics and stationarity Professionals, researchers, and advanced graduates in nonlinear dynamics, probability, optimization, and systems theory will find the book a useful resource and guide to current developments in the subject.

Chaos

Chaos PDF Author: Angelo Vulpiani
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814277665
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 482

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Book Description
Chaos: from simple models to complex systems aims to guide science and engineering students through chaos and nonlinear dynamics from classical examples to the most recent fields of research. The first part, intended for undergraduate and graduate students, is a gentle and self-contained introduction to the concepts and main tools for the characterization of deterministic chaotic systems, with emphasis to statistical approaches. The second part can be used as a reference by researchers as it focuses on more advanced topics including the characterization of chaos with tools of information theory and applications encompassing fluid and celestial mechanics, chemistry and biology. The book is novel in devoting attention to a few topics often overlooked in introductory textbooks and which are usually found only in advanced surveys such as: information and algorithmic complexity theory applied to chaos and generalization of Lyapunov exponents to account for spatiotemporal and non-infinitesimal perturbations. The selection of topics, numerous illustrations, exercises and proposals for computer experiments make the book ideal for both introductory and advanced courses. Sample Chapter(s). Introduction (164 KB). Chapter 1: First Encounter with Chaos (1,323 KB). Contents: First Encounter with Chaos; The Language of Dynamical Systems; Examples of Chaotic Behaviors; Probabilistic Approach to Chaos; Characterization of Chaotic Dynamical Systems; From Order to Chaos in Dissipative Systems; Chaos in Hamiltonian Systems; Chaos and Information Theory; Coarse-Grained Information and Large Scale Predictability; Chaos in Numerical and Laboratory Experiments; Chaos in Low Dimensional Systems; Spatiotemporal Chaos; Turbulence as a Dynamical System Problem; Chaos and Statistical Mechanics: Fermi-Pasta-Ulam a Case Study. Readership: Students and researchers in science (physics, chemistry, mathematics, biology) and engineering.

Fractional Discrete Chaos: Theories, Methods And Applications

Fractional Discrete Chaos: Theories, Methods And Applications PDF Author: Adel Ouannas
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811271224
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 218

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Book Description
In the nineteenth-century, fractional calculus had its origin in extending differentiation and integration operators from the integer-order case to the fractional-order case. Discrete fractional calculus has recently become an important research topic, useful in various science and engineering applications. The first definition of the fractional-order discrete-time/difference operator was introduced in 1974 by Diaz and Osler, where such operator was derived by discretizing the fractional-order continuous-time operator. Successfully, several types of fractional-order difference operators have then been proposed and introduced through further generalizing numerous classical operators, motivating several researchers to publish extensively on a new class of systems, viz the nonlinear fractional-order discrete-time systems (or simply, the fractional-order maps), and their chaotic behaviors. This discovery of chaos in such maps, has led to novel control methods for effectively stabilizing their chaotic dynamics.The aims of this book are as follows:

How Hits Happen

How Hits Happen PDF Author: Winslow Farrell
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781587990274
Category : Adaptive control systems
Languages : en
Pages : 236

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Book Description
Applying the Complexity Theory, the author sheds light on the intricate world of consumer behaviour. In doing so, he helps managers to identify the emerging patterns and forces that lead to a hit in the market, and the triggers that will enable businesses to capture and sustain it. First published in 1998.

Deep Learning in Multi-step Prediction of Chaotic Dynamics

Deep Learning in Multi-step Prediction of Chaotic Dynamics PDF Author: Matteo Sangiorgio
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030944824
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 111

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Book Description
The book represents the first attempt to systematically deal with the use of deep neural networks to forecast chaotic time series. Differently from most of the current literature, it implements a multi-step approach, i.e., the forecast of an entire interval of future values. This is relevant for many applications, such as model predictive control, that requires predicting the values for the whole receding horizon. Going progressively from deterministic models with different degrees of complexity and chaoticity to noisy systems and then to real-world cases, the book compares the performances of various neural network architectures (feed-forward and recurrent). It also introduces an innovative and powerful approach for training recurrent structures specific for sequence-to-sequence tasks. The book also presents one of the first attempts in the context of environmental time series forecasting of applying transfer-learning techniques such as domain adaptation.

Advanced Mathematical Methods in Biosciences and Applications

Advanced Mathematical Methods in Biosciences and Applications PDF Author: Faina Berezovskaya
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030157156
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 268

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Book Description
Featuring contributions from experts in mathematical biology and biomedical research, this edited volume covers a diverse set of topics on mathematical methods and applications in the biosciences. Topics focus on advanced mathematical methods, with chapters on the mathematical analysis of the quasispecies model, Arnold’s weak resonance equation, bifurcation analysis, and the Tonnelier-Gerstner model. Special emphasis is placed on applications such as natural selection, population heterogeneity, polyvariant ontogeny in plants, cancer dynamics, and analytical solutions for traveling pulses and wave trains in neural models. A survey on quasiperiodic topology is also presented in this book. Carefully peer-reviewed, this volume is suitable for students interested in interdisciplinary research. Researchers in applied mathematics and the biosciences will find this book an important resource on the latest developments in the field. In keeping with the STEAM-H series, the editors hope to inspire interdisciplinary understanding and collaboration.

Entropy in Dynamic Systems

Entropy in Dynamic Systems PDF Author: Jan Awrejcewicz
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039216163
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 172

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Book Description
In order to measure and quantify the complex behavior of real-world systems, either novel mathematical approaches or modifications of classical ones are required to precisely predict, monitor, and control complicated chaotic and stochastic processes. Though the term of entropy comes from Greek and emphasizes its analogy to energy, today, it has wandered to different branches of pure and applied sciences and is understood in a rather rough way, with emphasis placed on the transition from regular to chaotic states, stochastic and deterministic disorder, and uniform and non-uniform distribution or decay of diversity. This collection of papers addresses the notion of entropy in a very broad sense. The presented manuscripts follow from different branches of mathematical/physical sciences, natural/social sciences, and engineering-oriented sciences with emphasis placed on the complexity of dynamical systems. Topics like timing chaos and spatiotemporal chaos, bifurcation, synchronization and anti-synchronization, stability, lumped mass and continuous mechanical systems modeling, novel nonlinear phenomena, and resonances are discussed.