Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics PDF Download
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Author: J. Grasman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401109621
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 662
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Book Description
Researchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve the quality of forecasts of processes that are sensitive to environmental conditions. Nonlinearity of a system may significantly complicate the predictability of future states: a small variation of parameters can dramatically change the dynamics, while sensitive dependence of the initial state may severely limit the predictability horizon. Uncertainties also play a role. This volume addresses such problems by using tools from chaos theory and systems theory, adapted for the analysis of problems in the environmental sciences. Sensitive dependence on the initial state (chaos) and the parameters are analyzed using methods such as Lyapunov exponents and Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in the structure and the values of parameters of a model is studied in relation to processes that depend on the environmental conditions. These methods also apply to biology and economics. For research workers at universities and (semi)governmental institutes for the environment, agriculture, ecology, meteorology and water management, and theoretical economists.
Author: J. Grasman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401109621
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 662
Get Book Here
Book Description
Researchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve the quality of forecasts of processes that are sensitive to environmental conditions. Nonlinearity of a system may significantly complicate the predictability of future states: a small variation of parameters can dramatically change the dynamics, while sensitive dependence of the initial state may severely limit the predictability horizon. Uncertainties also play a role. This volume addresses such problems by using tools from chaos theory and systems theory, adapted for the analysis of problems in the environmental sciences. Sensitive dependence on the initial state (chaos) and the parameters are analyzed using methods such as Lyapunov exponents and Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in the structure and the values of parameters of a model is studied in relation to processes that depend on the environmental conditions. These methods also apply to biology and economics. For research workers at universities and (semi)governmental institutes for the environment, agriculture, ecology, meteorology and water management, and theoretical economists.
Author: Landbouwuniversiteit Wageningen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 106
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Book Description
Author: Michael L. McManus
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forest insects
Languages : en
Pages : 364
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Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forests and forestry
Languages : en
Pages : 494
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Book Description
Author: Martin Casdagli
Publisher: Westview Press
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 564
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Book Description
Based on a Santa Fe Institute and NATO sponsored workshop, this book brings together the ideas of leading researchers in the rapidly expanding, interdisciplinary field of nonlinear modeling in an attempt to stimulate the cross-fertilization of ideas and the search for unifying themes. The central theme of the workshop was the construction of nonlinear models from time-series data. Approaches to this problem have drawn from the disciplines of multivariate function approximation and neural nets, dynamical systems and chaos, statistics, information theory, and control theory. Applications have been made to economics, mechanical engineering, meteorology, speech processing, biology, and fluid dynamics.
Author: Alexander Gelbukh
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3540766316
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 1255
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Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 6th Mexican International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, MICAI 2007, held in Aguascalientes, Mexico, in November 2007. The 116 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions for inclusion in the book. The papers are organized in sections on topics that include computational intelligence, neural networks, knowledge representation and reasoning, agents and multiagent systems.
Author: Alexey A. Voinov
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0080886175
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 433
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Book Description
Modeling is a key component to sciences from mathematics to life science, including environmental and ecological studies. By looking at the underlying concepts of the software, we can make sure that we build mathematically feasible models and that we get the most out of the data and information that we have. Systems Science and Modeling for Ecological Economics shows how models can be analyzed using simple math and software to generate meaningful qualitative descriptions of system dynamics. This book shows that even without a full analytical, mathematically rigorous analysis of the equations, there may be ways to derive some qualitative understanding of the general behavior of a system. By relating some of the modeling approaches and systems theory to real-world examples the book illustrates how these approaches can help understand concepts such as sustainability, peak oil, adaptive management, optimal harvest and other practical applications. Relates modeling approaches and systems theory to real-world examples Teaches students to build mathematically feasible models and get the most out of the data and information available Wide range of applications in hydrology, population dynamics, market cycles, sustainability theory, management, and more
Author: J. Alcamo
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401112002
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 319
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Book Description
Only a few laboratories in the world have taken the bold step to attempt the integration of sub-models of the climate system, the global biogeochemical cycles and the human/societal components. This volume reports such a major undertaking and it is an important step towards an integrated approach to global change science. The IMAGE 2 model is important in demonstrating our current ability to model the complex global system.
Author: Sjoukje Osinga
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642211089
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 226
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Book Description
Artificial economics is a computational approach that aims to explain economic systems by modeling them as societies of intelligent software agents. The individual agents make autonomous decisions, but their actual behaviors are constrained by available resources, other individuals' behaviors, and institutions. Intelligent software agents have communicative skills that enable simulation of negotiation, trade, reputation, and other forms of knowledge transfer that are at the basis of economic life. Incorporated learning mechanisms may adapt the agents' behaviors. In artificial economics, all system behavior is generated from the individual agents' simulated decisions; no system level laws are a priori imposed. For instance, price convergence and market clearing may emerge, but not necessarily. Thus, artificial economics facilitates the study of the mechanisms that make the economy function. This book presents a selection of peer-reviewed papers addressing recent developments in this field between economics and computer science.
Author: Stephen P. Ellner
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400840961
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 352
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Book Description
From controlling disease outbreaks to predicting heart attacks, dynamic models are increasingly crucial for understanding biological processes. Many universities are starting undergraduate programs in computational biology to introduce students to this rapidly growing field. In Dynamic Models in Biology, the first text on dynamic models specifically written for undergraduate students in the biological sciences, ecologist Stephen Ellner and mathematician John Guckenheimer teach students how to understand, build, and use dynamic models in biology. Developed from a course taught by Ellner and Guckenheimer at Cornell University, the book is organized around biological applications, with mathematics and computing developed through case studies at the molecular, cellular, and population levels. The authors cover both simple analytic models--the sort usually found in mathematical biology texts--and the complex computational models now used by both biologists and mathematicians. Linked to a Web site with computer-lab materials and exercises, Dynamic Models in Biology is a major new introduction to dynamic models for students in the biological sciences, mathematics, and engineering.
